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Australia vs Bangladesh Test Match Betting Tips & Preview - Smith and Cummins to be the difference

jeremy-darke
Editor
Last updated: Tue 11 Aug 2026 10:15
The 1st Test between Australia and Bangladesh in Darwin is expected to be a one-sided contest, with Australia boasting a superior head-to-head record and current World Test Championship form. Experts recommend backing the Australian opening partnership (Head & Weatherald) to exceed 34.5 runs, Steve Smith to score a century, and Pat Cummins to finish as top match bowler. Bangladesh faces challenges, especially with a depleted bowling attack and a poor showing in the warm-up. The consensus is a comfortable Australian victory with value in specific player performance props.
Jeremy Darke 3 hours ago
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  • Australia favored for a dominant win in 1st Test vs Bangladesh
  • Expert bets: Opening stand over 34.5 runs, Smith century, Cummins top bowler
  • Bangladesh hampered by depleted attack and warm-up defeat
pat cummins test match
Pat Cummins to lead Australia to victory (Getty Images)

Australia vs Bangladesh Verdict 


Australia are backed for a comfortable win to start to the test season. Opt for the runs and wickets props with Travis Head, Jake Weatherald, Steve Smith and Pat Cummins all backed for a big impact in Darwin.

  • Australia have won five of their six Tests against Bangladesh, with their only defeat coming by 20 runs in Mirpur in 2017.
  • Australia sit top of the World Test Championship standings with seven wins and one loss for a points percentage of 87.50.
  • Australia's pace attack has averaged 20.75 runs per wicket across the past two years of Test cricket, second only to South Africa at 20.16.
  • Bangladesh were dismissed for 54 in their second innings against the Cricket Australia XI in their Darwin warm-up and lost by an innings and 38 runs.

Head to Head


Australia have won five of their six Tests against Bangladesh, with the Tigers' only victory coming by 20 runs in Mirpur in 2017.

Darwin also holds positive history for Australia in this matchup. Bangladesh played one of the venue's only two previous Tests in 2003, with Australia winning by an innings and 132 runs.

Australia Form


Australia return to Test cricket for the first time since completing a 4-1 Ashes series victory over England at the start of the year. Their past 10 Tests have produced eight victories and only two defeats.

The biggest change comes at the top following Khawaja's retirement. Head is expected to retain the opening position after his successful Ashes campaign, partnering Weatherald as Australia looks to establish a long-term combination.

Australia also welcome Cummins, Josh Hazlewood and Nathan Lyon back into a full-strength squad. Cummins returns as captain, while Hazlewood sits five wickets short of becoming the ninth Australian to reach 300 Test wickets.

Bangladesh Form


Bangladesh arrive with four wins from their past six Tests but face an enormous jump in difficulty against Australia's full-strength attack.

They defeated Pakistan 2-0 at home in May, winning by 104 runs and 78 runs, after previously sweeping Ireland 2-0. That four-Test winning streak ended emphatically when Zimbabwe defeated them by an innings and 85 runs in Harare.

Their preparation in Darwin was even more concerning. Bangladesh lost their warm-up against the Cricket Australia XI by an innings and 38 runs after collapsing to 54 in the second innings.

The Tigers do have quality through the middle order. Litton Das has scored six Test centuries across the past five years and averages 41.70 during that period, while Mehidy Hasan Miraz has taken 55 Test wickets across the past two years and averages 31.7 with the bat.

Squads


Australia: Pat Cummins (c), Scott Boland, Alex Carey, Cameron Green, Josh Hazlewood, Travis Head, Josh Inglis, Marnus Labuschagne, Nathan Lyon, Steve Smith, Mitchell Starc, Jake Weatherald, Beau Webster.

Bangladesh: Najmul Hossain Shanto (c), Mehidy Hasan Miraz (vc), Soumya Sarkar, Shadman Islam, Tanzid Hasan Tamim, Mominul Haque Showrab, Mushfiqur Rahim, Litton Das, Amite Hasan, Jaker Ali Anik, Taijul Islam, Taskin Ahmed, Hasan Mahmud, Syed Khaled Ahmed, Ebadot Hossain Chowdhury, Musfik Hasan.

Verdict

Head and Weatherald are backed to partner for over 34.5 runs, Smith 100+ runs and Pat Cummins as the best bowler in the match.

Best Bet1: Australian Opening Par Over 34.5 Runs @10/11 at Hollywoodbets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Steve Smith 100+ Runs @7/8 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Pat Cummins Top Match Bowler @7/2 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Australian Opening Par
Over 34.5 Runs
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Pat Cummins
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Bet at Star Sports
jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke

Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • 15+ Years of Experience, Australian Sports Specialist

Jeremy is a freelance journalist who is a true sports activist. A die-hard fan of the NRL all his life and also has a passion for all the major American sports.


From when he was a little fella he has played most sports ranging from rugby, ice hockey, tennis and football, just to name a few. His interest in analytics and statistics helps him find the edge while writing previews and being a regular tipster.

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