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Southern Brave vs Welsh Fire Betting Tips - Southern Brave to continue dominance over Fire

ralph-staniforth
Ralph Staniforth
Editor
Last updated: Wed 22 Jul 2026 01:01
Southern Brave have enjoyed a clear upper hand over Welsh Fire, winning eight of the past ten encounters between these sides. After an inconsistent 2025, Brave revamp their squad and look to start 2026 on a strong note, with Chris Jordan as captain and key additions like Jamie Smith. Welsh Fire, who finished last in 2025, now boast new skipper Phil Salt and several international stars. The Rose Bowl conditions slightly favor chasing teams and pacers. Key players to watch are Jamie Smith, Chris Jordan, Joe Root, and Ben Kellaway.
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Ralph Staniforth 22 Jul 2026
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  • Southern Brave have dominated recent clashes, winning 8 of the last 10 vs Welsh Fire.
  • Both teams strengthened squads for 2026, with new captains and international stars.
  • Key players tipped: Jamie Smith, Chris Jordan, Joe Root, and Ben Kellaway.
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Joe Root
Joe Root has scored 76*, 99* & 74* in his last 3 knocks (Getty Images)

Southern Brave have dominated the rivalry between the two sides, winning eight of the last 10 meetings. Welsh Fire have won once, with one match ending without a result.

Key Stats - Brave Dominant


  • Southern Brave’s Jamie Smith has scored 39 & 60 in his last 3 knocks.
  • Southern Brave’s Ben McKinney has scores of 42, 26, 16* & 31 in his last 5 innings.
  • Southern Brave’s Chris Jordan has figures of 2/23,  2/5 & 3/22 in 4 matches.
  • Welsh Fire’s Joe Root has scored 76*, 99* & 74* in his last 3 knocks.
  • Welsh Fire’s Ben Kellaway has scores of 43, 24, 32 & 47 in his last 4 innings.
  • Welsh Fire’s Ben Kellaway has taken 3/24, 3/22, 3/35 & 2/31 in his last 5 matches.

Southern Brave have Won four of the last Five


Southern Brave lead 4-1 in their last five matches against Welsh Fire.

Southern Brave Inconsistent Last season


Southern Brave had an inconsistent 2025 campaign, finishing fourth with four wins and four defeats. They ended level on points with the third-placed team but missed the knockouts on Net Run Rate.

The squad has changed significantly for 2026. Chris Jordan takes over as captain, while Jamie Smith, Marcus Stoinis, David Miller, Tristan Stubbs and Michael Pepper add major depth.

Jofra Archer and Adil Rashid remain key figures, giving the Brave quality pace and spin. With more balance than last season, they will aim to start strongly at home.

Welsh Fire 2025 Struggles to Continue


Welsh Fire endured a poor 2025 season, finishing eighth with only two wins from eight matches. After missing the knockouts, they will be targeting a much stronger campaign.

Phil Salt has arrived from Manchester Super Giants and takes over as captain, while Jordan Cox joins after finishing as the leading run-scorer in The Hundred 2025.

Rachin Ravindra, Marco Jansen and Lockie Ferguson also strengthen the squad. With more international quality and better depth, Welsh Fire will hope to make an immediate impact.

Predicted Lineups


The Rose Bowl usually offers a balanced Hundred surface, though chasing has held a slight edge with 12 wins from 21 matches. The average first-innings score is 142, dropping to 129 in the second innings. Pacers have also fared better recently, taking 71 wickets compared to spinners’ 46.

Southern Brave (possible XI): Jamie Smith, Tristan Stubbs, David Miller, Tom Abell, Marcus Stoinis, Nikhil Chaudhary, Chris Jordan (c), Jofra Archer, Adil Rashid, Luke Wood, Daniel Worrall.

Welsh Fire (possible XI): Phil Salt (c), Tom Kohler-Cadmore, Joe Root, Jordan Cox, Rachin Ravindra, Chris Woakes, Marco Jansen, Jordan Clark, Lockie Ferguson, Sam Cook, Dillon Pennington.

Verdict

Southern Brave Welsh Fire is tipped to win, with Jamie Smith, Chris Jordan, Joe Root and Ben Kellaway backed to star with bat and ball.
     
Best Bet1: Ben Kellaway Take Over 1.5 Wickets @5/2 at Hollywoodbets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Joe Root Best Welsh Fire Batter @10/3 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Chris Jordan Best Southern Brave Bowler @7/2 at 10bet - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Jamie Smith Best Southern Brave Batter @5/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Ben Kellaway
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Bet at Star Sports
ralph-staniforth
Ralph Staniforth

Sports Editor • 15+ Years of Experience, South African Sports Specialist

Ralph is from South Africa and studied Sports Science post school at ETA (Education Teachers Academy) in Cape Town. 


He has always had a great passion for sport and this led him into the world of sports journalism, while coaching on the side. Since 2012 Ralph has worked as a journalist and covered many topics from business to sport. 

Over the last seven years he has interviewed numerous top rugby and cricket players and coaches in South Africa. 

Ralph has been betting on sports for the last ten years. He’s knowledgeable on numerous topics including football, rugby, cricket, tennis and golf. 


He supports Manchester United (football), Cheetahs (rugby), Knights (cricket) and has a newly found appreciation for Dominic Thiem on the tennis courts.

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