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Benfica vs Porto Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips - Benfica to Win and Blow the Title Race Wide Open

matthew-marshall
Editor
Last updated: Sun 08 Mar 2026 17:21
In a highly anticipated Primeira Liga matchup, Benfica will host Porto as the only undefeated team in the league. With Jose Mourinho at the helm, Benfica aims to continue their winning streak and take a decisive step in the title race. Their recent performances and home advantage make them favorites, while Porto is coming off a difficult run with key defeats. Predicted lineups suggest strategic formations for both teams, emphasizing Benfica's ambition to capitalize on Porto's vulnerabilities. A victory could significantly impact the title race, showcasing Benfica's strength and strategy.
Matthew Marshall 08 Mar 2026
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  • Benfica are the only undefeated team in the Primeira Liga
  • Porto are coming off a 1-0 Cup defeat at Sporting CP
  • The stage is set for a Jose Mourinho special in Lisbon
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Benfica Porto luz
Benfica have won their previous two home matches against Porto (Getty)

Porto showed some weaknesses in February and are coming off a deserved 1-0 defeat at Sporting CP. Benfica haven’t lost in the Primeira Liga and Jose Mourinho can mastermind a vital victory here.

2025/26 Primeira Liga Benfica Porto
Current Position 3rd 1st
Wins 17 21
Draws 7 2
Losses 0 1
Goals Scored 51 (2.13 pg) 47 (1.96 pg)
Goals Conceded 14 (0.58 pg) 8 (0.33 pg)

HTH


Porto have a 103-93 advantage against Benfica alongside 63 draws. Benfica have won the previous two encounters in Lisbon.

Benfica Still in the Race


Benfica remain unbeaten in the Primeira Liga and haven’t given up on winning the title.

The Eagles recently exited the Champions League in the playoffs. They lost 1-0 against Real Madrid at home, taking on an early lead in the second leg before going down 2-1 in Spain.

Jose Mourinho’s side beat Gil Vicente 2-1 on Monday. They were pegged back in the second half, Andreas Schjelderup restoring the lead with his sixth goal of the season.

The manager was unhappy with the start of the second half: “What I didn't like about the game was the way we didn't manage the start of the 2nd half, because obviously Gil reacted immediately.

“We have the substitution, then there's an accumulation of throw-ins and corner kicks. We have to manage with a different kind of maturity.”

Worrying Signs for Porto


Porto’s unbeaten run in the Primeira Liga came to an end in early February after a 2-1 defeat at Casa Pia. They then conceded deep into added time in a 1-1 draw against Sporting CP.

Francesco Farioli’s side edged past Nacional and Rio Ave before needing two added time goals to secure a 3-1 victory against Arouca. Oskar Pietuszewski opened the scoring after 13 seconds, but once again they failed to put the opposition away.

The Dragons are coming off a 3-0 defeat at Sporting in the Portuguese Cup semi-final first leg. They had 0.33-2.32 xG in Lisbon where they were second best in a physical match.

Farioli tried to be positive after the loss: “We have to leave here with the right energy because we played a good game.

“The second half was different, but when we finished the game with the players in good spirits, and even so we only conceded a penalty against the best attack in the league, that says a lot about our performance.”

Confirmed Lineups & Team News


Benfica (4-2-3-1) Anatoliy Trubin, Amar Dedic, Tomas Araujo, Nicolas Otamendi, Samuel Dahl; Richard Rios, Enzo Barrenechea; Gianluca Prestianni, Rafa, Andreas Schjelderup; Vangelis Pavlidis

Fredrik Aursnes came off early in the second half in Barcelos, Mourinho saying: “It's well known that he's been carrying on with this problem for weeks. He is not in the matchday squad.

Alexander Bah, Georgiy Sudakov and Dodi Lukeakio could appear off the bench.

PlayerPositionStatusReason
Nuno Felix Midfielder Confirmed Out Knee ligament rupture
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder Confirmed Out Muscle injury
Joao Veloso Attacking Midfielder Confirmed Out Shoulder injury
Bruma Winger Confirmed Out Muscle injury

Porto (4-3-3) Diogo Costa; Alberto Costa, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Martim Fernandes; Victor Froholdt, Alan Varela, Gabri Veiga; Pepe, Deniz Gul, Oskar Pietuszewski

Jan Bednarek came off before half-time in Lisbon but has made the starting lineup. William Gomes and Terem Moffi have made way for Oskar Pietuszewski and Deniz Gul.

 Borja Sainz might return to the squad after going on bereavement leave.

PlayerPositionStatusReason
Nehuen Perez Centre Back Confirmed Out Achilles tendon rupture
Luuk de Jong Striker Confirmed Out Cruciate ligament injury
Samu Aghehowa Striker Confirmed Out Knee ligament rupture

Verdict

Benfica haven’t lost in the Primeira Liga and a victory over Porto would blow the title race wide open. The stage is set for a Jose Mourinho masterclass.

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