Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz Betting Tips & Prediction – Stick with Goals in the Europa League

Vedran Ostojic

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Last updated: Tue 20 Jan 2026 16:13

Vedran Ostojic 20 Jan 2026

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A majority of Feyenoord's recent home games were high-scoring
We are predicting an open clash with a lot of action on Thursday
Check our full preview for Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz below

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Feyenoord welcome Sturm Graz (Getty)

Feyenoord’s back line has been a mess recently, conceding 16 goals in their last 6 games. Both sides must aim for three points here, so we should witness an open clash in Rotterdam, BTTS & over 2.5 goals being the best bet.

Key Stats
Four Previous Meetings
Feyenoord Leaking Goals
First Competitive Match in 2026 for Sturm
Predicted Lineups & Team News

Key Stats

Feyenoord have seen BTTS & over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 11 matches.
Feyenoord have seen over 3.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches.
Sturm Graz have seen over 3.5 goals in their last 3 matches (including club friendlies).

Four Previous Meetings

Sturm Graz have been slightly more successful in previous h2h against Feyenoord, winning two out of four games, the Dutch side claiming one victory.

Feyenoord Leaking Goals

Feyenoord will need a miracle in the final two Europa League rounds to secure a spot in the playoffs, currently sitting in 30th place with just three points after six games, winning one and losing five encounters.

That sole victory came in 3rd round against Panathinaikos 3-1 but then they lost three in a row to Stuttgart 2-0, Celtic 3-1 and most recently FCSB 4-3 (wasted a 3-1 lead).

Robin van Persie’s side is going an awful job domestically too, failing to record a single victory in 2026, starting with a 2-2 draw at Heerenveen, while losing the Rotterdam derby to Sparta 4-3 last weekend as hosts, conceding four goals from five shots on target.

First Competitive Match in 2026 for Sturm

Sturm Graz’s chances to play in the Europa League playoffs are also not looking good, sitting in 29th place with just four points after six rounds, netting just four goals.

They were shoulder to shoulder against Crvena Zvezda in their most recent appearance in mid-December, had 1.55-1.57 xG, 59% possession and 16-15 shots, but still lost that fixture at home 1-0.

The Blackies enter 2026 with a new manager Fabio Ingolitsch, hoping he could bring stability to their Bundesliga campaign and push Sturm back into the title race, currently sitting in 3rd place with a four-point deficit from the leaders Salzburg.

Predicted Lineups & Team News

Feyenoord (4-2-3-1) Timon Wellenreuther; Jordan Lotomba, Tsuyoshi Watanabe, Anel Ahmedhodzic, Quilindschy Bos; Hwang In-beom, Quinten Timber; Igor Borges, Sem Steijn, Leo Sauer; Ayase Ueda

The hosts have a lengthy injury list right now, Thomas Beelen, Jakub Moder, Bart Nieuwkoop, Gernot Trauner, Malcolm Jeng and Gaoussnou Diarra all being sidelined.

Sturm Graz (4-4-2) Oliver Christensen; Jon Gorenc-Stankovic, David Aiwu, Gregory Geyrhofer, Amadou Dante Karic; Alexander Chukwuani, Tomi Horvat Rozga, Otar Kiteishvili; Emegha Malone, Abdallah Sima Jatta

Aleksandar Borkovic and Dimitri Lavalee are ruled out for the visitors, recovering from long term injuries.

Verdict

Feyenoord v SK Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz have played two friendlies this month, high-scoring draws against Copenhagen 4-4 and Brugge 2-2. Nine of Feyenoord’s last ten home games were high-scoring affairs, so BTTS & over 2.5 goals is my top recommendation.

BTTS Yes & Over 2.5

Both To Score/Total Goals

@9/10 - 2 Units

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Over 3.5 Goals

Total Goals

@6/5 - 1 Unit

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