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Porto vs Alverca Live Stream & Betting Tips - Porto to Win and Clinch the Liga Portugal Title

matthew-marshall
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Last updated: Wed 29 Apr 2026 18:11
Porto are on the cusp of winning the Liga Portugal title and need a win against Alverca to seal the deal. Undefeated in their last 20 home matches, Porto’s strong form and Deniz Gül’s scoring streak make them heavy favorites, especially against an Alverca side that has struggled to score at Porto. Alverca have achieved safety but lack consistency away from home. The recommendation is Porto to win to nil, with a continued hot streak for Deniz Gül.
Matthew Marshall 29 Apr 2026
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  • Alverca have failed to score in their last 4 matches in Porto
  • The Dragons can seal the Liga Portugal title with a win
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Deniz Gul
Deniz Gul scored two goals in Porto's last match (Getty)

Porto have been the best team in Liga Portugal and can win the title with a victory against Alverca. I can’t see them missing the opportunity against the promoted club, Deniz Gul to continue his goalscoring form.

2025/26 Primeira Liga Porto Alverca
Current Position 1st 9th
Wins 26 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 63 (2.03 pg) 34 (1.10 pg)
Goals Conceded 15 (0.48 pg) 49 (1.58 pg)

HTH - Dragons Undefeated


Porto have never lost against Alverca, winning eight times alongside three draws.

Porto One Win Away


Porto recently exited two competitions, the first in the Europa League quarter-finals where they went out to Nottingham Forest.

The Dragons drew 0-0 draw against Sporting CP in the Portuguese Cup semi-final second leg. Trailing 1-0 after a first leg defeat in Lisbon, they had 18-2 shots but couldn’t find the net.

Francesco Farioli’s side returned to Liga Portugal action with a 2-1 win at Estrela da Amadora. Deniz Gül scored twice in the first half before Porto held on under heavy pressure.

Farioli talked about the difference between halves: “The first half was really positive. In the second half, there was much more suffering. But sometimes, winning is also about that.

“What we have to take away is that these are three more points, there are three games left until the end, and we'll move on to the next one."

Alverca Avoid Relegation


Alverca have done well to achieve safety with three matches remaining. Three wins in their previous four games means they will have another season in the top flight. 

Custodio’s side beat Rio Ave and Casa Pia before a 1-0 defeat at Nacional. They had just 0.36 xG in Madeira and had no complaints.

The promoted club are coming off a 2-1 win against Arouca after registering 35% possession and 7-14 shots. Marezi came off the bench to score the winning goal, his ninth this season.

Predicted Lineups & Team News


Porto (4-3-3) Diogo Costa; Alberto Costa, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Zaidu Sanusi; Victor Froholdt, Alan Varela, Gabri Veiga; Pepe, Deniz Gül, Oskar Pietuszewski

PlayerPositionStatusReason
Nehuen Perez Centre Back Confirmed Out Achilles tendon rupture
Luuk de Jong Striker Confirmed Out Cruciate ligament injury
Samu Aghehowa Striker Confirmed Out Knee injury

Zaidu Sanusi has returned to training and could return at left back. Alan Varela returns from suspension.

Alverca (3-4-3) Matheus Mendes; Kaiky Naves, Sergi Gomez, Bastien Meupiyou; Nabil Touaizi, Lincoln, Rhaldney, Isaac James; Figueiredo, Sandro Lima, Chiquinho

PlayerPositionStatusReason
Julián Martínez
Centre back Confirmed Out Meniscus injury
Francisco Chissumba
Left back Confirmed Out Muscle Injury
Fabrício Garcia
Left back Doubtful Unknown Injury
Tomas Mendes Midfielder Confirmed Out Knee injury
Sabit Abdulai Midfielder Confirmed Out Knee injury

Verdict

Porto can seal the Liga Portugal title by beating Alverca. The stars have aligned for Francesco Farioli’s side who are unlikely to miss a golden opportunity in front of their fans.

Best Bet1: Porto Win To Nil @17/20 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Deniz Gul Anytime Goalscorer @13/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Deniz Gul First Goalscorer @9/2 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Porto
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