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Portugal vs Denmark Predictions & Betting Tips - Félix to Fire Portugal to Victory in the Nations League

eddy-tora
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Last updated: Wed 11 Nov 2026 12:45
Portugal are tipped to win against Denmark in the UEFA Nations League, having secured four consecutive group victories, including a 4-2 win in Denmark. João Félix has been influential, scoring in three of those matches. Denmark have shown attacking potential, scoring in their last 11 competitive games, but their defence has struggled against strong opposition. Portugal's recent form and head-to-head record support the selection, though Denmark could find the net in Porto.
Eddy Tora 1 hour ago
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  • Portugal have won all 4 Nations League matches
  • João Félix scored in 3 of those victories
  • The winning run can continue against Denmark
felix denmark
Portugal have won 5 of their last 6 matches against Denmark (Getty)

Portugal have been perfect in the Nations League and were deserved winners in Denmark. Back at home, I expect the visitors have the capability to score but fall short once again.

Stats


  • Portugal have won their last 4 matches.
  • Portugal have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 7 matches (Nations League).
  • João Félix has scored in 3 of his last 4 matches for Portugal.
  • Portugal have won 5 of their last 6 matches against Denmark.
  • Denmark have lost 2 of their last 4 matches.
  • Denmark have scored in their last 11 competitive matches.

HTH


Portugal have a 13-4 advantage against Denmark alongside two draws.

Four Straight Wins for Portugal


Portugal have won all four Nations League matches to seal an early spot in the quarter-finals.

João Félix scored in a 1-0 win against Wales and netted first again in a 2-1 win in Norway where they had 38% possession, 12-22 shots and 1.04-2.52 xG.

The Seleção won 4-2 in Denmark where goals to João Cancelo and Gonçalo Ramos were cancelled out. Vitinha and Félix scored in the final 25 minutes to secure a deserved victory.

Jorge Jesus’ side beat Norway 2-1 in Porto where they fell behind. Cancelo equalised before the break and Ramos scored the winning goal late on, his third goal in three games.

Portugal Squad, Team News & Predicted Line Up


Goalkeepers: Diogo Costa, Rui Silva, Samuel Soares
Defenders: Rúben Dias, João Cancelo, Diogo Dalot, Renato Veiga, António Silva, Gonçalo Inácio, Alberto Costa, Flávio Nazinho
Midfielders: Bernardo Silva, Bruno Fernandes, Rúben Neves, Vitinha, João Palhinha, João Neves, Mateus Fernandes
Forwards: João Félix, Rafael Leão, Pedro Neto, Gonçalo Ramos, Francisco Trincão, Carlos Forbs, Fábio Silva, Rodrigo Mora, Gustavo Varela, Geovany Quenda

Nuno Tavares, Tomás Araújo and Rafael Leão were called up before being released due to gitness concerns. Gonçalo Inácio and Flávio Nazinho were called up as a result.

Jesus has used the opportunity to call up some young players including Alberto Costa, Mateus Fernandes, Carlos Forbs, Rodrigo Mora, Geovany Quenda and Gustavo Varela.

Nuno Mendes is injured and Francisco Conceição is suspended. Nélson Semedo, Matheus Nunes, Samú Costa and Gonçalo Guedes haven’t been called up since the World Cup.

Cristiano Ronaldo recently announced his retirement after scoring a record 146 goals in 234 internationals.

Portugal (4-4-1-1): Diogo Costa; João Cancelo; Rúben Dias, Renato Veiga, Diogo Dalot; Pedro Neto, Vitinha, João Palhinha, Bruno Fernandes; João Félix; Gonçalo Ramos

Danes Defeated Twice


Denmark have been inconsistent in the Nations League, starting with a 3-2 defeat in Norway where they trailed 2-0 after 18 minutes.

Brian Riemer’s side returned to Copenhagen where they had 20-10 shots and 1.39-0.62 xG in a 2-0 victory over Wales.

The Danes remained at Parken Stadium where they went down 4-2 to Portugal. Goals to Mikkel Damsgaard and Rasmus Hojlund drew them level twice but there were no excuses after ending with 0.76-2.25 xG.

A Rasmus Hojlund was the difference in a 1-0 win in Wales where Denmark had 13-6 shots and 2.15-0.26 xG.

Denmark Squad, Team News & Predicted Line Up


Goalkeepers: Mads Hermansen, Filip Jorgensen, Andreas Jungdal
Defenders: Joakim Maehle, Joachim Andersen, Rasmus Kristensen, Alexander Bah, Victor Nelsson, Oliver Provstgaard, Victor Bak Jensen, Rasmus Nicolaisen
Midfielders: Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Mathias Jensen, Morten Hjulmand, Victor Froholdt, Albert Gronbaek, Mads Bidstrup
Forwards: Mikkel Damsgaard, Andreas Skov Olsen, Rasmus Hojlund, Gustav Isaksen, Jesper Lindstrom, Mohamed Daramy, William Osula

Andreas Christensen, Patrick Dorgu and Kasper Dolberg are injured. Riemer is likely to continue finding a spot for Victor Froholdt in his system.

Denmark (4-4-1-1): Mads Hermansen; Alexander Bah, Joachim Andersen, Oliver Provstgaard, Joakim Maehle; Gustav Isaksen, Morten Hjulmand, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Mohamed Daramy; Victor Froholdt; Rasmus Hojlund

Verdict

Denmark have the weapons to score in Porto but their defence has been found lacking against the top teams in Group A4. Portugal were too strong in Copenhagen and I expect the trend to continue on home soil.

Best Bet1: BTTS Yes BTTS @7/10 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet2: João Félix Anytime Goalscorer @23/17 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Portugal Win & BTTS Win & BTTS Yes @19/10 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: João Félix First Goalscorer @11/2 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
BTTS Yes
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eddy-tora
Eddy Tora

Sports Editor • 15+ Years of Experience, Football & Tennis Betting Specialist

Eddy writes about a number of sports with a strong focus on European football and tennis.

  
You will find him covering big football matches from around Europe and beyond as well as ATP Tour tennis.

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