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Norway vs Wales Predictions & Betting Tips - Back BTTS in the Nations League

matthew-marshall
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Last updated: Wed 11 Nov 2026 14:38
Norway host Wales in Oslo, with both teams to score (BTTS) the main selection. Norway have conceded two goals in each of their last three defeats and have seen BTTS in their last 12 matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Wales, managed by Craig Bellamy, are expected to attack as they have nothing to lose, further supporting the BTTS tip.
Matthew Marshall 12 minutes ago
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  • Norway haven’t kept a clean sheet in 12 games
  • The Scandinavian side are short priced favourites
  • Wales have enough weapons to score in Oslo
Norway vs Wales Predictions & Betting Tips
Norway’s Erling Haaland has scored 65 goals in 59 internationals (Getty)

Norway lost their last three matches, conceding two goals in each defeat. Wales have nothing to lose so I expect Craig Bellamy’s side to attack, BTTS my best bet in Oslo.

Stats


  • Norway have won 8 of their last 9 home matches.
  • Norway have seen BTTS in their last 12 matches.
  • Norway have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 9 matches against Wales.
  • Wales have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

HTH


Wales have won three straight games against Norway, both teams registering four wins alongside four draws.

Norway Lose Three Straight


Norway got off to a great start in the Nations League, leading Denmark 2-0 thanks to goals from Oscar Bobb and Erling Haaland. They were pegged back before Haaland scored to secure a 3-2 victory.

The Vikings were unlucky in a 2-1 defeat to Portugal, Haaland equalising before a howler from Orjan Nyland saw them fall behind again. They couldn’t find a way back despite ending with 62% possession and 2.52-1.04 xG.

Oscar Bobb scored early in Wales but Torbjorn Heggem was sent off with the score tied at 1-1. They did well with 10 men but went down 2-1 in Cardiff.

Stale Solbakken’s side took another lead in Portugal thanks to a rare goal from Kristoffer Ajer. Norway were outplayed after that however, losing 2-1 after ending with 9-20 shots and 0.45-1.78 xG.

Norway Squad, Team News & Predicted Line Up


Goalkeepers: Orjan Nyland, Egil Selvik, Sander Tangvik
Defenders: Kristoffer Ajer, Julian Ryerson, Leo Ostigard, Marcus Holmgren Pedersen, David Moller Wolfe, Torbjorn Heggem, Eivind Helland, Odin Bjortuft
Midfielders: Martin Odegaard, Sander Berge, Patrick Berg, Kristian Thorstvedt, Fredrik Aursnes, Thelo Aasgaard, Felix Horn Myhre, Hugo Vetlesen
Forwards: Erling Haaland, Alexander Sorloth, Antonio Nusa, Oscar Bobb, Andreas Schjelderup, Erik Botheim

Fredrik Sjovold and Kristian Thorstvedt miss out here with Fredrik Aursnes and Jorgen Strand Larsen not called up due to injury.

Egil Selvik could continue in goal with Orjan Nyland falling out of favour. Eivind Helland, Felix Horn Myhre, Hugo Vetlesen and Alexander Sorloth have been called up. 

Norway (4-3-3): Egil Selvik; Julian Ryerson, Kristoffer Ajer, Leo Ostigard, David Moller Wolfe; Martin Odegaard, Sander Berge, Patrick Berg; Oscar Bobb, Erling Haaland, Antonio Nusa

Difficult Group for Wales


Wales had a tough start in the Nations League but managed to keep it close on the road.

They were second best for most of the contest in Portugal, Lewis Koumas missing a great opportunity to equalise late on in a 1-0 defeat.

The Dragons lost 2-0 in Denmark, ending with 38% possession and 0.62-1.39 xG after holding on until half time.

Craig Bellamy’s side returned to Cardiff where they had some help in a 2-1 win over Norway. Daniel James equalised before the break and Neco Williams scored after the visitors had been reduced to 10 men.

Wales had no excuses after losing 1-0 to Denmark in their previous match. They had 6-13 shots including 0.26-2.15 xG.

Wales Squad, Team News & Predicted Line Up


Goalkeepers: Danny Ward, Karl Darlow, Joe Duncan
Defenders: Ben Davies, Connor Roberts, Joe Rodon, Neco Williams, Chris Mepham, Rhys Norrington-Davies, Ben Cabango, Jay Dasilva, Jayden Lienou
Midfielders: Ethan Ampadu, Josh Sheehan, Liam Cullen, Rubin Colwill, Joel Colwill, Kai Andrews, Cian Ashford
Forwards: Harry Wilson, Daniel James, Brennan Johnson, David Brooks, Sorba Thomas, Mark Harris, Lewis Koumas, Aaron Collins

Goalkeepers Karl Darlow and Joe Duncan have been called up but Danny Ward should retain his starting spot. Joe Rodon, Rubin Colwill, Kai Andrews and David Brooks return to the squad.

Rhys Norrington-Davies, Jordan James and Wes Burns miss out with Kieffer Moore and Nathan Broadhead injured. Daniel James might have to settle for a spot on the bench.

Wales (4-2-3-1): Danny Ward; Neco Williams, Ben Cabango, Joe Rodon, Jay Dasilva; Ethan Ampadu, Josh Sheehan; Brennan Johnson, Harry Wilson, Sorba Thomas; Lewis Koumas

Verdict

Wales beat Norway 2-1 in Cardiff and although it will be a tougher assignment in Oslo, I am backing BTTS here. I don’t see how the Welsh defence can stop Erling Haaland however, the star striker to score first.

Best Bet1: BTTS Yes BTTS @1/1 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Norway Win & BTTS Win & BTTS Yes @17/10 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Erling Haaland First Goalscorer @9/5 at bet365 - 1 Unit
BTTS Yes
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Bet at bet365
Norway Win & BTTS
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matthew-marshall
Matthew Marshall

Football & Tennis Editor/Writer • Portuguese Football Expert, ATP Tour Tennis Writer

Matthew Marshall is an Australian who worked in a number of industries before combining his love of football and media communications degree to become a sports journalist. Now living in Portugal, he is a Portuguese football expert at PortuGOAL and has covered multiple UEFA U21 European Championships, the 2022 and 2026 FIFA World Cup and the 2024 European Championship.


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