Finland vs Italy Betting Tips & Predictions – One-Sided Clash Expected at the Winter Olympics 2026
Italy's previous matches against Sweden and Slovakia have seen them heavily outshot, casting doubt on their offensive capabilities. As they prepare to face Finland, the likelihood of replicating similar performances is low. With Finland's strong tactics, a win seems probable, complemented by a prediction of the game having fewer than 6.5 goals. This suggests a focus on strategic play over sheer scoring, setting the stage for an exciting match where Finland is favored to come out on top.
- Finland are the reigning Olympics champions
- We are backing them to cruise past Italy
- Check our preview for Finland vs Italy below
Match Preview
Finland held Sweden to just one goal in the second round, and I can see them delivering another strong defensive performance against underdogs Italy when a positive result is needed. I am backing the Scandinavian side to win, with under 6.5 goals in the match.
Finland Back on Track
The math is clear for Finland heading into the final Group B round. A convincing win over Italy would most likely secure a quarterfinal spot as the highest-ranked second-placed team.
Their opening-round display was extremely disappointing, as they suffered a shock 4-1 loss to underdogs Slovakia, with Eeli Tolvanen scoring a consolation goal in the second period. Despite dominating the shot count 40-25, defensive lapses proved costly.
Finland responded in the second round with an impressive 4-1 win over fellow Scandinavians Sweden. They were outshot 35-24 in that game and failed to capitalize on 14 minutes of power-play time, but their efficiency made the difference.
Italy Fighting but Falling Short
Italy are still without a point after two rounds, but the overall impression they have left has been more positive than expected.
The Azzurri were always expected to lose their opener against Sweden, yet they were level at 2-2 midway through the second period before eventually going down 5-2.
They were also heavy underdogs in the second round against Slovakia, battling tooth and nail before narrowly losing 3-2, with Matthew Bradley and Dustin Gazley getting on the scoresheet.
Verdict
Italy have been heavily outshot in both matches so far against Sweden and Slovakia, and it is hard to see them creating much offensively here. Finland to win and under 6.5 goals is my main pick.
Finland & Under 6.5
Asian Handicap
@9/10 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS
Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad
Related
Top Betting Sites
Betting offers
Upcoming Events
08 May 2026
- WNBA 2026 -
- Basketball
09 July 2026
- VCT 2026 China Stage 2 -
- Esports
15 July 2026
Load More
Finland v Italy
Today's Acca Tips
-
Soccer tips
-
Horse Racing tips
-
Tennis tips
