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Sweden vs Slovakia Betting Tips & Predictions – Slovaks Underestimated at the Olympics 2026

vedran-ostojic
Editor
Last updated: Fri 13 Feb 2026 23:03
Slovakia delivered a significant upset by defeating defending champions Finland with an impressive 4-1 victory. This result signals Slovakia's potential to disrupt proceedings in Milano. Despite their strong showing, Sweden is expected to pose a significant challenge, though overcoming a 2.5-point handicap seems unlikely for them. Slovakia's performance underlines their readiness to compete at the highest level, making them a team to watch in the current tournament.
Vedran Ostojic 13 Feb 2026
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  • Slovakia are flying after two straight victories
  • We are backing them to cause trouble against Sweden
  • Check our full match preview for Sweden vs Slovakia below
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Slovakia won both of their matches so far (Getty Images)

Match Preview 


There are no reasons to underestimate Slovakia in this matchup. They have won both of their games so far, while Sweden slipped up against Finland with a 4-1 loss, so I am not convinced this will be a one-sided clash. 

Sweden Under Pressure in Final Group Game 


The situation is very clear for Sweden heading into the final Group B round at the Olympics. Only a convincing win against Slovakia would secure first place and direct qualification for the quarterfinals. 

The Swedes opened the tournament in convincing fashion, beating underdogs Italy 5-2 while dominating the shot count 60-22. Rasmus Dahlin starred with three assists, while Gustav Forsling and Mika Zibanejad chipped in with one goal and one assist each. 

However, they were heavy favorites again in the second round against Finland but suffered a surprising 4-1 defeat, with Dahlin scoring Sweden’s lone goal in the second period. 

Slovakia Continue to Impress 


Despite not being listed among the main medal contenders before the tournament, Slovakia’s performances so far have been nothing short of outstanding. 

In their opening match, the Slovaks comfortably beat Finland 4-1, with goaltender Samuel Hlavaj playing a huge role after making 39 saves. Juraj Slafkovsky dominated in open ice, registering two goals and one assist to earn man-of-the-match honors. 

They followed that up with another strong display against Italy, controlling large spells of the game, even though the narrow 3-2 scoreline might suggest otherwise. 

Verdict

Slovakia have clearly shown they are in Milano to cause problems, highlighted by a statement 4-1 win over reigning champions Finland. Sweden should still be competitive here, but I don’t see them covering a –2.5 handicap in this matchup. 

Best Bet1: Slovakia +2.5 Asian Handicap @9/10 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Slovakia +2.5
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