Argentina vs South Africa Betting Tips - Los Pumas can challenge Springboks at home
South Africa enters the match against Argentina as strong favorites, having dominated recent head-to-head encounters and riding an impressive winning streak. However, with many Springbok players returning from injury and making their 2026 debut, there's potential for some rustiness. Given Argentina's poor but competitive start to the year, analysts recommend backing Argentina +18.5 in the handicap market, as the large spread may be difficult for South Africa to cover.
- Springboks have won 11 of last 12 vs Argentina.
- Several South Africans are returning and could be rusty.
- Argentina tipped to cover the +18.5 points handicap.
Rassie Erasmus has selected a strong side for this clash but many of the players feature for the first time in green and gold in 2026. They could prove rusty, which means I am leaning towards Argentina on +18.5.
- Key Stats - Springboks well Ahead
- South Africa have won 11 of last 12
- Argentina Poor Start to 2026
- South Africa Ahead of the pack
Key Stats - Springboks well Ahead
- Argentina won their last home match against South Africa.
- South Africa have won their last 8 matches.
- South Africa have won 11 of their last 12 matches against Argentina.
South Africa have won 11 of last 12
South Africa have won 11 of their last 12 games against Argentina. Last year, they beat Argentina twice - the first being a 67-30 drubbing in Durban before the Springboks won 29-27 at Twickenham.
Argentina Poor Start to 2026
Argentina have become one of the powerhouses of world rugby in recent years, regularly defeating the top nations. However, 2026 has not been kind to them as they've lost two of their three Nations Championship games already.
In the first round, Los Pumas went down 47-38 at home to Scotland before bouncing back to beat Wales 35-21. In the third round, Argentina lost again, this time 31-24 to England at home.
South Africa Ahead of the pack
South Africa are the envy of world rugby at the moment with very few teams managing to compete. Ahead of the Greatest Rivalry Tour against the All Blacks, the Bokke will not want to lose momentum.
The Springboks won the Rugby Championship in 2025, which included a 43-10 thrashing of New Zealand in Wellington. They then went on to clean sweep the November tour, beating France, Wales, Italy and Ireland.
In the Nations Championship this year, South Africa cruised past England, beat Scotland, who put up a great fight, before sweeping Wales aside, 43-0.
Verdict
I expect South Africa to win but the 18.5 handicap is steep with a few players returning from injury. Argentina are backed in the handicap market.
Argentina +18.5
Handicap
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He has always had a great passion for sport and this led him into the world of sports journalism, while coaching on the side. Since 2012 Ralph has worked as a journalist and covered many topics from business to sport.
Over the last seven years he has interviewed numerous top rugby and cricket players and coaches in South Africa.
Ralph has been betting on sports for the last ten years. He’s knowledgeable on numerous topics including football, rugby, cricket, tennis and golf.
He supports Manchester United (football), Cheetahs (rugby), Knights (cricket) and has a newly found appreciation for Dominic Thiem on the tennis courts.
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