South Africa vs New Zealand 4th Test Betting Tips - South Africa set for victory in Greatest Rivalry clash
South Africa have asserted dominance over New Zealand in their recent encounters, clinching 14 of their last 15 matches and leading the current series 2-1. The Springboks’ set piece play, particularly their strong scrum, has been the decisive factor. Despite some late efforts by the All Blacks, New Zealand has struggled to counter South Africa's physicality. With strategic team consistency and an uncompromising approach from Rassie Erasmus, the Springboks are tipped to cover the -6.5 handicap unless New Zealand can finally nullify their set piece power.
- South Africa has won 14 of their last 15 matches and leads the series 2-1.
- Springbok set piece dominance has given them a clear edge over New Zealand.
- The All Blacks must improve at the scrum to avoid losing the series.
New Zealand have struggled to contain the Springbok set piece in all three matches to date. If that continues in Baltimore, it is tough to see the All Blacks leveling the series.
- Key Stats - Springboks Dominant in World Rugby
- Recent South African Dominance
- South Africa have Won 14 of their last 15
- New Zealand Returning to their Best
Key Stats - Springboks Dominant in World Rugby
- South Africa have won 14 of their last 15 matches.
- South Africa have won 6 of their last 8 matches against New Zealand.
- New Zealand have lost their last 2 matches.
Recent South African Dominance
New Zealand still hold a comfortable advantage overall but in recent years the Springboks have dominated.
South Africa have Won 14 of their last 15
South Africa lead the series 2-1 and have bounced back well after losing the first Test. They have been largely dominant in the matches, but have allowed the All Blacks to score late points in both games.
The Springboks have not been at their best in this series either, but their set piece dominance has carried them throughout. That is unlikely to change in Baltimore with New Zealand seemingly having no answer to the Boks scrum.
It is clear how serious Rassie Erasmus has taken this series. Usually he rotates a lot but has kept largely the same side for all three matches and has yet again made no unforced changes.
New Zealand Returning to their Best
New Zealand enter this fourth test as a must-win just to level the series after they won the opening match of the series. At Ellis Park in the opener, New Zealand held on for the first 55 minutes before pulling away in the final quarter.
However, in the subsequent two matches, South Africa made their early dominance count enough to build a lead going into the final 20 minutes. That said, the All Blacks are in a better space than they were 12 months ago with Dave Rennie bringing back a faster type of game.
New Zealand will have to find a way to nullify the Springbok set piece though, if they are to level the series. That has been the biggest issue, handing the Springboks penalties, territory and points with the scrum going back at a rate of knots.
Verdict
South Africa are backed to cover the -6.5 handicap.
South Africa -6.5
Handicap
@10/11 - 5 Units
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Ralph is from South Africa and studied Sports Science post school at ETA (Education Teachers Academy) in Cape Town.
He has always had a great passion for sport and this led him into the world of sports journalism, while coaching on the side.
Since 2012 Ralph has worked as a journalist and covered many topics from business to sport.
Over the last decade and more, he has interviewed numerous top rugby and cricket players and coaches in South Africa.
You can follow Ralph on LinkedIn and Muckrack and find him featured on Mzansiwins, Bets.co.za and Cape Media Corporation.
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