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Toulouse vs Montpellier Betting Tips - Toulouse to dominate at home in Top 14

ralph-staniforth
Editor
Last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026 00:21
Toulouse continue to impress in the Top 14, especially at home, where they have won four of their last five matches. Their dominance over Montpellier is clear, with ten wins in their last eleven clashes and five consecutive home victories against them. Montpellier, though strong last week, have struggled away and have a poor recent record in Toulouse. Ultimately, the prediction is that Toulouse's home strength and winning momentum should see them cover the -24.5 handicap for this fixture.
Ralph Staniforth 2 hours ago
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  • Toulouse have won 10 of last 11 vs Montpellier and are superb at home
  • Montpellier have lost their last 5 games in Toulouse
  • Toulouse tipped to cover -24.5 handicap in Top 14 clash
Toulouse
Toulouse are on a winning streak against Montpellier at home (Getty Images)

Toulouse are superb at home and they also have a very strong record against Montpellier. It could be tight for a while but in the end, the hosts should be too good.

Key Stats - Toulouse Close to Perfect at Home


  • Toulouse have won 4 of their last 5 home fixtures.
  • Toulouse have won 10 of their last 11 matches against Montpellier. 
  • Montpellier have lost their last 5 visits to Toulouse. 
  • Montpellier lost to Toulouse in last season's Top 14 final. 

Comfortable Lead for Toulouse


Toulouse lead 28-14 against Montpellier in 42 matches.

Toulouse Superb at Home 


Toulouse scored two converted tries and a penalty in the first half against Vannes last weekend to go into the break with a slender 17-16 lead. 

Le Stade scored two tries and a conversion to their tally to come out on top against Vannes, winning 29-23 away from home.   

Before that, Les Rouge et Noir fell to a 30-27 away defeat to La Rochelle at the start of their Top 14 season before thrashing rivals Bordeaux 48-12 at home. 

Le Stade are second in the French Rugby Championship table with ten points from three games.

Toulouse are difficult to beat at home, and they have an outstanding record against Montpellier in recent encounters, winning ten of their last 11 matches, giving them the advantage to secure the win this weekend. 

Montpellier Good Form but Away Results a Concern 


Montpellier Hérault had a slow first half against Perpignan last weekend, scoring two tries and a conversion to lead 12-3 at half-time. 

However, the home side were in fine form in the second stanza, scoring six tries and four conversions to thump Perpignan 50-13.

Before that, Montpellier lost their Top 14 season opener 27-19 to Pau at home before securing a 26-12 away victory over Vannes. 

Les Cistes are fifth in the French Rugby Championship standings with nine points from three matches. 

Montpellier Hérault will be out to turn the tables on Toulouse after losing to their opponents in last season's Top 14 final; however, their record at their hosts' stadium has been poor in recent clashes, losing five in a row. 

Team News


Toulouse

Paul Graou, Santiago Chocobares, Teddy Thomas, and Blair Kinghorn each scored a try against Vannes last weekend. 

Romain Ntamack slotted three conversions and a penalty in the match. 

Montpellier

Dimitri Delibes, Christopher Tolofua, Lennox Anyanwu, Lyam Akrab, Valentin Welsch, and Alexis Bernadet each crossed the try line against Perpignan last weekend. 

Domingo Miotti landed three conversions in the match, while Stuart Hogg slotted two conversions.

Verdict

Toulouse have consistently had success against Montpellier in the Top 14 in recent seasons and are tipped to cover the -24.5 handicap.

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ralph-staniforth
Ralph Staniforth

Sports Editor, South African Sports Writer • 10+ Years of Experience, South African Sports Specialist

Ralph is a passionate sports journalist and coach based in Cape Town. Find his coverage across the biggest rugby union and cricket events as well as South African soccer and tennis.


Ralph is from South Africa and studied Sports Science post school at ETA (Education Teachers Academy) in Cape Town.
He has always had a great passion for sport and this led him into the world of sports journalism, while coaching on the side. 

Since 2012 Ralph has worked as a journalist and covered many topics from business to sport.

Over the last decade and more, he has interviewed numerous top rugby and cricket players and coaches in South Africa.

You can follow Ralph on LinkedIn and Muckrack and find him featured on Mzansiwins, Bets.co.za and Cape Media Corporation.

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