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Wellington vs Waikato Betting Tips - Wellington poor form to continue at home in NPC clash

ralph-staniforth
Editor
Last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026 00:21
Wellington have endured a devastating NPC season, losing all eight games and sitting last in the standings. Despite a historic edge over Waikato (10 wins out of 16), recent performance has been disappointing with ten consecutive defeats. Waikato have shown inconsistencies but remain in the playoff hunt and recently secured important victories. Given Wellington's form, Waikato are tipped to dominate and cover the -14.5 handicap, keeping their quarter-final hopes alive.
Ralph Staniforth 2 hours ago
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  • Wellington have lost 10 consecutive NPC matches and are last in standings.
  • Waikato are fighting for a playoff spot and are favored by -14.5 handicap.
  • Prediction: Waikato tipped to win convincingly against struggling Wellington.
Waikato
Waikato are in contention to reach the season-ending play-offs (Getty Images)

Wellington are winless in this season's NPC and are on a lengthy losing streak. Waikato must win to remain in the hunt to reach the quarter-finals.

Key Stats - Wellington 10 Defeats in a Row


  • Waikato have won 5 of their last 10 fixtures.
  • Wellington have lost 10 consecutive games.
  • Wellington have lost 5 consecutive home matches.

Wellington Hold Historic Advantage


Wellington have the advantage over Waikato, with ten victories to six in 16 meetings in the National Provincial Championship. 

Wellington Horrid Season to Continue 


Wellington scored two converted tries in the first half against Northland last weekend, but went into the break trailing 19-15. 

The Wellington Lions added two converted tries in the second half, but leaked too many points, losing 52-28 to Northland at home. 

Before that result, Wellington lost 52-33 to Hawke's Bay at home, 34-31 away to Auckland, 47-7 to North Harbour at home, 61-22 away to Otago, 46-35 to Counties Manukau at home, 42-28 away to Tasman, and 66-19 away to Canterbury. 

The Lions are last in the NPC standings with six points after eight rounds. 

Wellington have found the going tough this season, having failed to win a single fixture while being on a five-match losing streak at home. Can they find a way to emerge victorious?

Waikato Inconsistent but too good for Wellington 


Waikato scored two tries and a conversion in the first half against Manawatu last weekend, but went into the tunnel trailing 21-12 at half-time. 

The home side improved in the second stanza, scoring three converted tries and a penalty to secure a 36-27 home win over Manawatu. 

Earlier in their campaign, the Mooloos defeated Bay of Plenty 38-26 at home and Taranaki 38-32 away, lost 32-31 away to Southland, thrashed Counties Manukau 45-12 before losing 43-38 to Otago away, 36-14 to Canterbury at home, and 34-17 away to Northland. 

Waikato are seventh in the National Provincial Championship table with 24 points from eight matches. 

Waikato will fancy their chances of securing all the points on offer to keep their hopes of reaching the play-offs alive, as Wellington have been out of sorts lately, losing all eight of their fixtures this season. 

Starting Lineups


Wellington

Du'Plessis Kirifi scored a brace against Northland last weekend. 

Matolu Petaia and Stanley Solomon each scored a try in the match, while Callum Harkin slotted all four conversions. 

Starting XV: Jake Turnbull, James O’Reilly, Siale Lauaki, Matolu Petaia, Hugo Plummer, Dominic Ropeti, Du’Plessis Kirifi, Rupeni Raviyawa, Logan Henry, Stanley Solomon, William Davis, Losi Filipo, Matt Proctor, Jackson Ropata, Callum Harkin

Replacements: Penieli Poasa, Sekope Lopeti-Moli, Alex Hewitt, Kenkichi Yanagawa, Murphy Taramai, Riley Williams, Cameron Burgess, Reo Matsushita

Waikato

Senita Lauaki, Sean Ralph, Mitch Jacobson, Taha Kemara, and Hamilton Burr each scored a try against Manawatu last weekend.

Taha Kemara kicked over four conversions and a penalty in the match.

Starting XV: Mason Tupaea, Sean Ralph, Sefo Kautai, Dylan Eti, Hamilton Burr, Jahrome Brown, Oli Mathis, Senita Lauaki, Cortez Ratima, Taha Kemara, Nathan Stephens, Austin Anderson, David Lewai, Waisake Salabiau, Dallas Rata Makene

Replacements: Manaaki Boyle-Tiatia, Taipari Quinn, George Dyer, Andrew Smith, Mitch Jakobson, Daiki Naka-Jima, D’Angelo Leuila, Aki Tuivailala  

Verdict

Waikato are in better form than Wellington and are tipped to cover the -14.5 handicap.

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ralph-staniforth
Ralph Staniforth

Sports Editor, South African Sports Writer • 10+ Years of Experience, South African Sports Specialist

Ralph is a passionate sports journalist and coach based in Cape Town. Find his coverage across the biggest rugby union and cricket events as well as South African soccer and tennis.


Ralph is from South Africa and studied Sports Science post school at ETA (Education Teachers Academy) in Cape Town.
He has always had a great passion for sport and this led him into the world of sports journalism, while coaching on the side. 

Since 2012 Ralph has worked as a journalist and covered many topics from business to sport.

Over the last decade and more, he has interviewed numerous top rugby and cricket players and coaches in South Africa.

You can follow Ralph on LinkedIn and Muckrack and find him featured on Mzansiwins, Bets.co.za and Cape Media Corporation.

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