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Waikato vs Bay of Plenty Betting Tips - Waikato to upset the odds in opening NPC clash

ralph-staniforth
Editor
Last updated: Wed 29 Jul 2026 01:46
The 2026 NPC opening match between Waikato and Bay of Plenty promises excitement, with both teams boasting quality squads. Waikato, despite their mixed 2025 season—finishing seventh—are favored to clinch a home victory against the odds. Bay of Plenty, consistent finalists and third-place finishers last season, have dominated recent clashes and ended 2025 in strong form. However, with both squads missing key international players due to All Blacks commitments, Waikato have the edge at home. Expect a closely contested and entertaining match.
Ralph Staniforth 2 hours ago
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  • Waikato tipped for a home win in 2026 NPC opener despite 2025 inconsistency.
  • Bay of Plenty dominated 2025 season and recent head-to-heads.
  • Both sides missing key internationals due to All Blacks tour.
Waikato NPC rugby
Waikato to start season with a home win (Getty Images)

The opening match of the 2026 NPC is expected to be a thriller. Waikato were inconsistent last season but at home they were very dangerous. That trend is set to continue this season.

Key Stats - Waikato Dangerous at Home


  • Waikato have lost 2 of their last 3 NPC matches (2025)
  • Bay of Plenty have won 4 of their last 5 NPC matches (2025).
  • Bay of Plenty have won 4 of their last 5 matches against Waikato.
  • Bay of Plenty finished 3rd on the 2025 NPC table.

Dominant Bay


Bay of Plenty lead 4-1 in their last five matches against Waikato.

Waikato Inconsistent in 2025


Waikato will be looking for vast improvement on their 2025 NPC performance. They were inconsistent throughout, finishing seventh with six wins and four defeats.

They did enough to make the quarterfinals through, where they put up a massive fight against the eventual runners-up, Otago away from home. In the end, Waikato went down 44-41 in a pulsating knockout clash.

Bay of Plenty Ended last season with Four Wins in Last Five


Bay of Plenty finished the 2025 NPC in third place, five points off Otago in second and six off Canterbury at the top.

The semi-final is where Bay of Plenty’s run came to an end after an impressive season. They lost 41-17 away to Otago in that semi-final, a disappointing performance to end their season.

Nevertheless, Bay of Plenty have been consistent in the NPC over the last few years and much is expected from them once again. 

Waikato vs Bay of Plenty News


Both teams will be missing their international stars throughout the season, or for at least the vast majority of it as the All Blacks are touring South Africa from the beginning of August.

Verdict

Waikato are backed to win at home against Bay of Plenty in round one of the 2026 NPC.

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ralph-staniforth
Ralph Staniforth

Sports Editor • 15+ Years of Experience, South African Sports Specialist

Ralph is from South Africa and studied Sports Science post school at ETA (Education Teachers Academy) in Cape Town. 


He has always had a great passion for sport and this led him into the world of sports journalism, while coaching on the side. Since 2012 Ralph has worked as a journalist and covered many topics from business to sport. 

Over the last seven years he has interviewed numerous top rugby and cricket players and coaches in South Africa. 

Ralph has been betting on sports for the last ten years. He’s knowledgeable on numerous topics including football, rugby, cricket, tennis and golf. 


He supports Manchester United (football), Cheetahs (rugby), Knights (cricket) and has a newly found appreciation for Dominic Thiem on the tennis courts.

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