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Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres Betting Tips – Brewers To Take MLB Series Opener

leigh-copson
Editor
Last updated: Mon 10 Aug 2026 09:05
The Milwaukee Brewers face off against the San Diego Padres, with both teams showcasing strong recent form – each winning seven of their last ten games. Despite the Padres' historical edge, the Brewers are tipped to take the series opener thanks to the impressive pitching of Logan Henderson, who has been dominant in recent starts, while Casey Mize of the Padres is coming off a tough debut. The key recommendation is to back the Brewers on the moneyline and consider betting the under for total runs.
Leigh Copson 3 hours ago
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  • Brewers have won 5 of their last 6
  • Logan Henderson (MIL) shows pitching consistency; Mize (SDP) had a rough debut
  • Betting tip: Brewers Moneyline & Under 7.5 runs recommended
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Milwaukee are tipped to draw first blood in this series in San Diego.

The Brewers and starting pitcher Logan Henderson arrive in good form, while Casey Mize is coming off a rough debut outing for the Padres.

Key Numbers – Can Brewers Make It 6 Wins In 7 Games?

  • Milwaukee Brewers have won 5 of their last 6 games
  • Milwaukee starter Logan Henderson has allowed 2 earned or less in his last 4 starts
  • San Diego pitcher Casey Mize gave up 8 runs in his debut for the Padres
  • The 2 starting pitchers have a combined ERA of 6.10

Padres Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Brewers Won Last Meeting

  • San Diego Padres lead the all-time series 96-93
  • Milwaukee Brewers won 7-1 when the two teams last met on May 14

Milwaukee Brewers Form – Last 10 Games

Milwaukee head to San Diego in good form, having won back-to-back games to make it seven victories in their last 10 outings.

DateOppositionW/LScore
Jul-31 at Los Angeles Angels W 6-2
Aug-01 at Los Angeles Angels W 3-1
Aug-02 at Los Angeles Angels L 0-3
Aug-03 vs Pittsburgh Pirates L 3-4
Aug-04 vs Pittsburgh Pirates W 4-2
Aug-05 vs Pittsburgh Pirates W 4-2
Aug-06 vs Pittsburgh Pirates W 5-2
Aug-07 vs Minnesota Twins L 6-8
Aug-08 vs Minnesota Twins W 4-3
Aug-09 vs Minnesota Twins W 4-3 W/O

San Diego Padres Form – Last 10 Games

San Diego enter this matchup having won back-to-back games for the first time since the start of the month – also making in seven wins in their last 10 games.

DateOppositionW/LScore
Jul-31 vs San Francisco Giants W 7-0
Aug-01 vs San Francisco Giants W 6-5 W/O
Aug-02 vs San Francisco Giants W 5-4
Aug-03 at Arizona Diamondbacks L 1-5
Aug-04 at Arizona Diamondbacks W 9-4
Aug-05 at Arizona Diamondbacks L 4-10
Aug-06 at Arizona Diamondbacks W 5-1
Aug-07 vs Houston Astros L 3-6
Aug-08 vs Houston Astros W 3-2
Aug-09 vs Houston Astros W 7-2

Starting Pitchers

PlayerTeamRecordERAStrikeoutsInnings
Logan Henderson Milwaukee Brewers 6-1 2.70 62 50.0
Casey Mize San Diego Padres 4-7 3.40 86 89.3

Verdict

Both teams are in solid form entering this matchup, but the starting pitchers can be the difference.

Mize is expected to perform much better than he did in his debut, but Henderson has been consistent all season long and has given up little over his past few outings.

Best Bet1: Milwaukee Win Moneyline @9/10 at Hollywoodbets - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Under 7.5 Total Runs @4/5 at bet365 - 2 Units
Milwaukee Win
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@9/10 - 4 Units
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Under 7.5
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leigh-copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

During his career he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final. He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.


Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack.

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