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Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips & Predictions – Barca to Build Advantage in the Champions League

vedran-ostojic
Vedran Ostojic
Editor
Last updated: Mon 06 Apr 2026 20:01
Barcelona has consistently dominated at home since early October, securing victories in every home match. Remarkably, they've also triumphed over Atletico Madrid three times this season. The team's impressive streak makes a home win a dependable bet for punters. For those looking to take more risks, considering a bet on a Barcelona win combined with both teams to score (BTTS) could be rewarding.
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Vedran Ostojic 06 Apr 2026
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  • Barcelona have won every home match since early October
  • We are backing them to win the first leg against Atletico Madrid
  • Check our full preview for Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid below
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Barcelona beat Atletico Madrid 2-1 last weekend (Getty)

Barcelona’s results have been sensational in 2026, winning 18 out of 22 games across competitions. They also hold a strong record against Atletico Madrid this season, so a home win is a logical pick. 

Key Stats  


  • Barcelona have won their last 17 home matches. 
  • Barcelona have won 5 of their last 6 matches against Atletico Madrid. 
  • Barcelona have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches. 
  • Atletico Madrid have lost their last 3 matches. 
  • Atletico Madrid have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 matches. 

Barca Lead H2H 


Barcelona hold an 115-78 advantage against Atletico Madrid in terms of victories, 57 games ending without a winner. 

Hansi Flick’s Side on a Great Run 


Barcelona have been on a great run in the last six weeks, securing eight victories in their last nine appearances across competitions. 

After barely escaping St James with a 1-1 draw against Newcastle in the previous Champions League round, Blaugrana crushed the English side 7-2 at home to advance. Raphinha and Robert Lewandowski scored two goals each, Fermin Lopez, Lamine Yamal and Marc Bernal also on target. 

Hansi Flick’s side has played two domestic games since. Barca beat Rayo Vallecano 1-0 just before the international break, while last weekend’s derby against Atletico Madrid ended 2-1 in Barca’s favor. They had 2.52-0.92 xG, 68% possession and 22-6 shots. 

Atleti Hit a Rough Patch 


Atletico Madrid are going through a crisis and are desperate to put an end to their three-game losing streak. This negative run started with a 3-2 loss to Tottenham in London in the previous UCL round, although they advanced 7-5 on aggregate. 

Just before the international break, Atleti were deservedly beaten in the city derby at Santiago Bernabeu, losing 3-2 to Real Madrid, with the expected goals at 1.01-2.41. 

Another La Liga defeat followed at home last weekend against Barcelona. Things were looking good for Diego Simeone’s side, with Giuliano Simeone breaking the deadlock in the 39th minute, but they conceded three minutes later, while Nicolas Gonzalez was sent off just before the break. 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


Barcelona (4-2-3-1): Joan Garcia, Jules Kounde, Pau Cubarsi, Gerard Martin, Joao Cancelo, Eric Garcia, Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Fermin Lopez, Marcus Rashford, Robert Lewandowski

Andreas Christensen (knee), Raphinha (hamstring), Frenkie de Jong (hamstring) and Marc Bernal (ankle) are ruled out for Barcelona due to injuries. Jules Kounde is doubtful, likely to start on bench. 

Atletico Madrid (4-2-3-1): Jan Oblak, Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Koke, Alex Baena, Giuliano Simeone, Antoine Griezmann, Ademola Lookman, Julian Alvarez

The visiting side can't count on services of Pablo Barrios (thigh problem), while Jose Gimenez, Johnny Cardoso, Marc Pubill and Jan Oblak are doubtful.

Verdict

Barcelona have won every single home match since early October, while also beating Atletico Madrid three times this season already. A home win is a banker bet, while a bit more adventurous punters can go with Barca win & BTTS. 

Best Bet1: Barcelona Win Full-Time Result @11/20 at Hollywood bets - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Barcelona Win & BTTS Result/Both To Score @8/5 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Barcelona Win 3-1 Correct Score @10/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Barcelona Win
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Bet at Star Sports

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