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Arsenal vs Burnley Predictions & Tips - Home Win to Nil in the Premier League

alex-waite
Editor
Last updated: Sat 16 May 2026 10:53
Arsenal are in impressive form as the season wraps up, regularly keeping clean sheets. Burnley, on the other hand, continue to struggle defensively and have faced difficulty scoring. The recommended bets focus on Arsenal winning with a clean sheet (win to nil) and covering a -2 handicap. These tips reflect confidence in Arsenal's defense and attacking prowess against out-of-form Burnley, highlighting strong home advantage for the Gunners.
Alex Waite 16 May 2026
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  • Arsenal haven’t conceded in 4 consecutive home games
  • Burnley are on a long losing streak on the road
  • The Gunners can win to nil in this Premier League clash
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Arsenal
Arsenal have won to nil in their last 3 home matches (Getty)

Arsenal vs Burnley Preview


Arsenal score plenty of goals at the Emirates and keep a lot of clean sheets at home. The Gunners can edge towards the Premier League title with a one-sided win over Burnley. 

Key Stats - Gunners Rock Solid at the Emirates


  • Arsenal have won to nil in their last 3 home matches.
  • Arsenal have won to nil in their last 2 games against Burnley.
  • Burnley have lost 4 consecutive away matches. 

2025/26 Premier LeagueArsenalBurnley
Current Position1st19th
Wins244
Draws79
Losses523
Goals Scored (pg)68 (1.89)37 (1.03)
Goals Conceded (pg)26 (0.72)73 (2.03)

H2H 


Arsenal have a 58-34 advantage against Burnley, alongside 24 draws.

Arsenal Closing in on the EPL Title


Arsenal hold a two-point lead over Man City in the 2025/26 Premier League title race. The Gunners can move five points clear with a victory against Burnley on Monday.

Mikel Arteta’s side have been in top form, winning four of their last five in all competitions and conceding one goal. 

The North Londoners have won three league matches in that period, including home victories over Newcastle 1-0 and Fulham 3-0.

Arsenal continued their impressive winning streak with a 1-0 away triumph at West Ham. Leandro Trossard scored a late winner and the Gunners had 1.18 XG, 15 shots and 64% possession. 

Burnley Lose and Concede a Lot


Burnley are winless in 11 consecutive games in all competitions, losing eight. The Clarets have conceded 24 goals in that spell.

The Lancashire outfit lost five league games in a row between March and May and shipped 13 goals. Burnley also lost three away matches at Fulham 3-1, Nottingham Forest 4-1 and Leeds 3-1.

Michael Jackson’s team ended that losing streak with a 2-2 home draw against Aston Villa. The Clarets had just 33% possession and goals from Jaidon Anthony and Zian Flemming helped to earn a point. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Arsenal (4-2-3-1): David Raya; Cristhian Mosquera, William Saliba, Gabriel, Piero Hincapie; Declan Rice, Martin Zubimendi; Bukayo Saka, Eberechi Eze, Leandro Trossard; Viktor Gyokeres

Full-back Ben White has been ruled out for the season with a knee injury. Midfielder Mikel Merino is also injured and unavailable.

Defensive pair Riccardo Calafiori and Jurrien Timber are injury doubts for the Burnley match. Mikel Arteta was unsure about Calafiori’s availability and said, “We don't know whether he is going to be available or not. 

“Hopefully it's nothing serious, but we'll have to wait and see how he reacts to that.”

Burnley (4-2-3-1): Max Weiss; Kyle Walker, Axel Tuanzebe, Maxime Esteve, Lucas Pires; Florentino, Lesley Ugochukwu; Loum Tchaouna, Lyle Foster, Jaidon Anthony; Zian Flemming

Midfielder Hannibal Mejbri came off injured against Aston Villa and is doubtful ahead of the Arsenal game.

Defender Jordan Beyer and midfielder Josh Cullen are sidelined with long-term injuries. 

Verdict

Arsenal are ending the season in strong form and the Gunners keep loads of clean sheets. Burnley are out of form, conceding goals and a home win to nil is the best bet.

Best Bet1: Arsenal Win to Nil Win to Nil @11/17 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Arsenal -2 Handicap @7/8 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Arsenal Win to Nil
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