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Aston Villa vs Leeds Betting Tips - BTTS Likely in the Premier League

alex-waite
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Last updated: Thu 19 Feb 2026 14:42
In the forthcoming Premier League match, Aston Villa and Leeds are set to clash in what promises to be an exhilarating encounter. Both teams have struggled with defensive solidity but have shown prowess in attack, suggesting a high-scoring affair. Betting experts recommend placing bets on Both Teams To Score (BTTS) at odds of 1.75, Over 2.5 goals at 1.87, and even Over 3.5 goals at 3.2. This suggests that spectators can anticipate an electrifying match filled with goal-scoring opportunities.
Alex Waite 19 Feb 2026
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  • Aston Villa have conceded in 7 of their last 8 home games
  • Leeds see BTTS in most of their EPL away matches
  • More goals are tipped in this Premier League game
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Aston Villa
Aston Villa have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 8 home games (Getty)

Aston Villa vs Leeds Preview


Aston Villa have struggled to keep the goals out recently and Leeds are BTTS specialists on the road. It’s worth sticking with goals in this Premier League clash.

5 Consecutive BTTS Results For Leeds


  • Aston Villa have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 8 home games.
  • Aston Villa have seen over 3.5 goals in 3 of their last 6 home matches.
  • Aston Villa have seen BTTS in their last 2 games against Leeds.
  • Aston Villa have seen over 2.5 goals in 2 consecutive matches against Leeds.
  • Leeds have seen BTTS in 5 consecutive away games.
  • Leeds have seen over 3.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 EPL away matches.

2025/26 Premier LeagueAston VillaLeeds
Current Position3rd15th
Form (Last 5)W D L W LD W L D W
Wins157
Draws59
Losses610
Goals Scored (pg)37 (1.42)36 (1.38)
Goals Conceded (pg)27 (1.04)45 (1.73)
Clean Sheets8 (31%)4 (15%)
Failed to Score7 (27%)6 (23%)
Matches Over 2.5 Goals12 (46%)14 (54%)
Matches Over 3.5 Goals4 (15%)10 (38%)
Matches with BTTS11 (42%)16 (62%)

H2H - Recent High-Scorers 


Aston Villa have a 43-32 advantage against Leeds, alongside 32 draws.

Aston Villa Concede a Lot of Chances


Aston Villa have hit patchy form recently after just two wins in their last five games in all competitions. The Midlands side have seen 13 total goals during that run. 

The Villans have struggled to keep the goals out and have allowed high XG against recent opponents. Villa allowed 2.22 XG in a 3-2 home win over Slazburg and 2.06 in their 2-2 draw at Bournemouth. 

Unai Emery’s side gave up a 1-0 lead and lost 3-1 at home against Newcastle in the FA Cup. Tammy Abraham scored early on before Villa allowed 1.21 XG and conceded three second half goals.

Leeds Are BTTS Regulars 


Daniel Farke’s Leeds have one of the worst away records in the 2025/26 Premier League, with one victory all season. The Whites have been high scoring on the road this season, shipping 27 goals and scoring 14.

The Yorkshire side have also allowed the fourth-highest total XG away in the Premier League, allowing 24.92 in 13 games. 

Leeds have drawn their last two away matches in all competitions, including a 2-2 stalemate at Chelsea. 

Farke’s outfit followed that result with a 1-1 FA Cup draw at Birmingham. Lukas Nmecha scored early in the second half and Birmingham levelled on 89 minutes before Leeds won on penalties. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez; Lamare Bogarde, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Lucas Digne; Amadou Onana, Douglas Luiz; Jadon Sancho, Emiliano Buendia, Morgan Rogers; Ollie Watkins

Goalkeeper Marco Bizot was sent off against Newcastle and is suspended here. Defender Matty Cash is an injury doubt due to a knee issue.

Midfield trio John McGinn, Youri Tielemans and Boubacar Kamara are sidelined with injuries. Centre-back Anders Garcia is also out with a thigh problem. 

Leeds (3-5-1-1): Karl Darlow; Pascal Struijk, Joe Rodon, Jaka Bijol; Jayden Bogle, Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Illa Gruev, Gabriel Gudmundsson; Brenden Aaronson; Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Attacker Noah Okafor has been ruled out with a hamstring issue.

Midfielder Anton Stach, winger Dan James and defender Pascal Struijk have been passed fit for the Villa game following recent injuries. Daniel Farke confirmed the trio’s availability for Saturday and said, “Anton Stach back in training, available. Pascal Struijk back in training, available.

“And also Daniel James is back. Hopefully he stays also fit right now but it looks good. All three are back in training.”

Verdict

Aston Villa and Leeds lack defensive solidity and both sides know how to score. BTTS and over 2.5 goals are the best picks in the Premier League.

Best Bet1: BTTS Yes BTTS @3/4 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 2.5 Goals Total Goals @7/8 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Over 3.5 Goals Total Goals @11/5 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
BTTS Yes
BTTS
@3/4 - 2 Units
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Bet at bet365
Over 3.5 Goals
Total Goals
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