Liverpool vs Burnley Betting Tips - Premier League Home Win & Goals Tipped
Liverpool is poised for a strong performance against Burnley at Anfield, given their impressive home form and Burnley's challenging away record. Liverpool has won three of their last four home matches and remains unbeaten in 11 consecutive games. Meanwhile, Burnley, sitting 19th in the Premier League, struggles away, with just four points from many games. Liverpool’s winning streak over Burnley and key player injuries on both sides set the stage for an intriguing matchup. With Mohamed Salah on AFCON duty, Liverpool will aim to maintain dominance with a dynamic lineup.
- Liverpool have hit good form at Anfield
- Burnley are winless in their last 5 away games
- A high-scoring Premier League home win is likely
Liverpool vs Burnley Preview
Liverpool have been hard to beat recently and the Reds score goals at Anfield. Burnley are one of the Premier League’s worst away teams and a home win with over 2.5 goals is predicted.
Key Stats - Reds in Good Home Form
- Liverpool have won 3 of their last 4 home matches.
- Liverpool have seen 4 of their last 6 games.
- Liverpool have won 6 consecutive matches against Burnley.
- Burnley have lost 8 of their last 10 away games.
- Burnley have seen over 3.5 goals in their last 2 matches.
| 2025/26 Premier League | Liverpool | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Current Position | 4th | 19th |
| Form (Last 5) | D D D W W | D L L D D |
| Wins | 10 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored (pg) | 32 (1.52) | 22 (1.05) |
| Goals Conceded (pg) | 28 (1.33) | 41 (1.95) |
| Clean Sheets | 6 (28.6%) | 3 (14.3%) |
| Failed to Score | 4 (19.0%) | 7 (33.3%) |
| Matches Over 2.5 Goals | 11 (52.4%) | 11 (52.4%) |
| Matches Over 3.5 Goals | 4 (19.0%) | 6 (28.6%) |
| Matches with BTTS | 11 (52.4%) | 11 (52.4%) |
H2H - Liverpool Dominant
Liverpool have a 62-38 advantage against Burnley, alongside 29 draws.
Liverpool Hard to Beat
Liverpool’s form has improved recently after an 11-match unbeaten run in all competitions. The Reds have won six in that streak, including three home victories.
The Merseyside outfit notched four wins in a row before three consecutive Premier League draws. Liverpool were held to 0-0 stalemates against Leeds and Arsenal either side of a 2-2 draw at Fulham.
Arne Slot’s side continued their unbeaten run with a 4-1 FA Cup home win against Barnsley. The Reds dominated with 2.04 XG and Dominik Szoboszlai, Jeremie Frimpong, Florian Wirtz and Hugo Ekitike scored.
Burnley Struggling in the EPL
Scott Parker’s Burnley are 19th in the Premier League and have 13 points from 21 matches. The Clarets have the second-worst away record in the division, taking just four points on the road.
Burnley are winless in 12 consecutive league games, losing nine and conceding 24. The Lancashire side lost 3-1 against Newcastle and 2-0 at Brighton before a 2-2 draw with Man United.
Parker’s side won for the first time since October on Saturday and beat Millwall 5-1 in the FA Cup. Ashley Barnes scored twice and Loum Tchaouna, Jaidon Anthony and Jaydon Banel also found the net.
Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News
Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Alisson; Jeremie Frimpong, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez; Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai; Cody Gakpo, Alexis Mac Allister, Florian Wirtz; Hugo Ekitike
Forward Mohamed Salah is on AFCON duty and unavailable. Defenders Conor Bradley and Giovanni Leoni and striker Alexander Isak are injured.
Wataru Endo is also sidelined with an ankle issue. Arne Slot provided a recent update on the midfielder and said, “He might start to train one of these days, but he has been out for two months now, that's of course different to being out for one week.”
Burnley (4-2-3-1): Martin Dubravka, Kyle Walker, Hjalmar Ekdall, Maxime Esteve, Quilindschy Hartman; Josh Laurent, Lesley Ugochukwu; Marcus Edwards, Hannibal Mejbri, Jaidon Anthony; Armando Broja
Midfielder Josh Cullen and forward Zeki Amdouni are out with long-term knee injuries. Defensive trio Conor Roberts, Joe Worrall and Jordan Beyer are also unavailable due to injury.
Zian Flemming is likely to return to the squad at Anfield. Scott Parker was positive about the attacker’s recovery from a recent knock and said, “He's progressing well - hopefully not too far away.”
Verdict
Liverpool are in good form and have enough quality to put goals past a leaky Burnley side. The Reds can keep winning and secure a high-scoring Premier League home victory.
Liverpool & Over 2.5
Full Time Result & Total Goals
@8/11 - 3 Units
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