Newcastle vs Brentford Betting Tips - Home Win Predicted in the Premier League
Newcastle United is reportedly in a strong position to capitalize on their home ground advantage at St James’ Park, where they are hoping to reverse recent downturns in performance. This prediction comes in light of Brentford’s offsite difficulties this season, particularly their struggle with away games, making a win for Newcastle highly likely. The match is forecasted with a Newcastle win probability of 2.1, promising an intense matchup on their home turf.
- Newcastle are tough to beat at home
- Brentford drop a lot of points on the road
- A home Premier League win is the best bet
Newcastle vs Brentford Preview
Newcastle are a good home side and will be desperate to bounce back after some inconsistent results. Brentford’s long-term away form is poor and the Magpies can win in the Premier League.
- Newcastle vs Brentford Preview
- Key Stats - Newcastle Home Strength
- H2H - Magpies Dominate
- Newcastle Home Advantage
- Brentford Lose a Lot of EPL Away Games
- Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News
Key Stats - Newcastle Home Strength
- Newcastle have won 2 of their last 3 EPL home matches.
- Newcastle have won their last 4 home games against Brentford.
- Brentford have lost 6 of their last 9 EPL away matches.
| 2025/26 Premier League | Newcastle | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Current Position | 11th | 7th |
| Form (Last 5) | L L D W W | W L L W W |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored (pg) | 33 (1.38) | 36 (1.50) |
| Goals Conceded (pg) | 33 (1.38) | 32 (1.33) |
| Clean Sheets | 6 (25%) | 6 (25%) |
| Failed to Score | 6 (25%) | 5 (21%) |
| Matches Over 2.5 Goals | 13 (54%) | 13 (54%) |
| Matches Over 3.5 Goals | 6 (25%) | 8 (33%) |
| Matches with BTTS | 12 (50%) | 13 (54%) |
H2H - Magpies Dominate
Newcastle have a 15-6 advantage against Brentford, alongside one draw.
Newcastle Good at St James' Park
Newcastle are mid-table in the Premier League in 11th place. The Toon have gained 23 of their 33 points at St James’ Park this season.
Eddie Howe’s side were unbeaten in 13 consecutive home matches before a 2-0 loss to Man City in the EFL Cup. Newcastle responded with a 3-0 home win over PSV before losing 2-0 to Aston Villa and 4-1 at Liverpool in the Premier League.
The Magpies lost 3-1 at Man City in the EFL Cup semi-final second leg. Newcastle allowed 2.22 XG, were 3-0 down at half time and Anthony Elanga scored a late consolation.
Brentford Lose a Lot of EPL Away Games
Keith Andrews’ Brentford are seventh in the 2025/26 Premier League table. Eight of the Bees’ 10 league losses have come on the road this season.
Brentford were on a six-match unbeaten run in all competitions before losing 2-0 at Chelsea and against Nottingham Forest.
The London side responded with a 1-0 victory at Aston Villa. The Bees allowed 2.41 XG, faced 27 shots and Dango Ouattara scored the winner after 46 minutes.
Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News
Newcastle (4-3-3): Aaron Ramsdale; Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Dan Burn, Kieran Trippier; Jacob Ramsey, Sandro Tonali, Jacob Murphy; Harvey Barnes, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Elanga
Midfield duo Bruno Guimaraes and Lewis Miley could return after missing the Man City match. Defenders Fabian Schar, Emil Krafth and Tino Livramento and midfielder Joelinton are unavailable due to injury.
Anthony Gordon came off injured during the City game on Wednesday. Eddie Howe was cautious about the winger’s condition and said, “I don’t quite know how bad it is but it was enough for him to come off so that’s a big worry.”
Brentford (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher; Michael Kayode, Kristoffer Ajer, Sepp van den Berg, Rico Henry; Jordan Henderson, Vitaly Janelt; Dango Ouattara, Mathias Jensen, Mikkel Damsgaard; Igor Thiago
Midfielder Kevin Schade was sent off against Aston Villa and is suspended here.
Defender Antoni Milambo, midfielder Josh Dasilva and Fabio Carvalho are injured.
Verdict
Newcastle are strong at St James’ Park and can hit back from recent defeats here. Brentford have lost a lot of away games this season and a Toon win is predicted.
Newcastle Win
Full Time Result
@11/10 - 3 Units
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Alex is a full-time sports writer, covering football, cricket, golf, rugby and tennis as well as providing informative betting guides.
Alex was born in London and studied at Swansea University in Wales. He used to work as a teacher in London but changed a few years ago to work as a full-time sports writer. Mostly enjoys watching and writing about football, cricket, golf, rugby and tennis.
Also featured at OneFootball, Football Whispers and World Soccer Talk and can be found at Muckrack, LinkedIn, X and Game Day Stories SubStack.
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