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Netherlands vs Finland Prediction & Tips – Handicap in Play in the World Cup 2026 Qualifiers

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Fri 10 Oct 2025 13:07
The Netherlands showcased an impressive performance by defeating Finland 2-0 in Helsinki, continuing their winning streak from earlier encounters. The Finnish team has consistently struggled with away games, indicating that their upcoming match may also be one-sided in favor of the Netherlands. As the form trends suggest, spectators and fans might anticipate another dominant display by the Dutch team, reinforcing their strong position in the tournament.
Vedran Ostojic 10 Oct 2025
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  • Netherlands defeated Finland 2-0 in Helsinki
  • We are predicting even more convincing win on Sunday
  • Check our preview for Netherlands vs Finland below
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Netherlands are tipped to win in handicap (Getty)

Netherlands vs Finland Preview 


Netherlands have absurdly talented team, collecting 13 out of 15 possible points so far while maintaining an impressive 18-3 goal difference. Finland struggle on the road, so a home win in handicap is the best bet. 
  • Netherlands vs Finland Preview 
  • Stats 
  • HTH 
  • Netherlands Form 
  • Finland Form 
  • Team News 
  • Predicted Starting Lineups  

Stats 


  • Netherlands have won 4 of their last 5 matches. 
  • Netherlands have covered a –2 handicap in 3 of their last 5 matches. 
  • Netherlands have won 11 of their last 12 matches against Finland. 
  • Cody Gakpo has scored 3 goals in his last 2 matches for Liverpool & Netherlands. 
  • Finland have lost their last 2 away matches. 

HTH 


Netherlands have an 11-0 advantage against Finland with 1 draw in 12 matches. 

They last me in June, the game being won by Netherlands 2-0. 

Netherlands Form 


Netherlands are in the leading position in Group G, having secured 13 points from five matches so far.  

Oranje had their first games in June, claiming back to back victories against Finland 2-0 and Malta 8-0, Memphis Depay scoring three goals in these encounters, Donyell Malen bagging two.  

Despite having 1.24-0.30 xG, 74% possession and 14-6 shots, the Netherlands were held to a 1-1 draw by Poland at home in early September, Denzel Dumfries breaking the deadlock, but recovered with a 3-2 win at Lithuania a few days later, Depay bagging a brace. 

Ronald Koeman’s side had zero problems on Thursday, beating underdog Malta 4-0 with Cody Gakpo scoring twice, Depay and Tijani Reijnders also on target. 

Finland Form 


Finland’s chances to qualify for the World Cup 2026 are slim at the moment, sitting in 3rd place in Group G with ten points with two matches left to be played.  

In March, they defeated Malta 1-0 on the road, while a trip to Kaunas few days later ended with a 2-2 draw against Lithuania.  

The first loss was recorded in early June, losing 2-0 against the Netherlands at home, but bounced back right after with a 2-1 victory against favored Poland in Helsinki.  

The Finns were beaten by Poland 3-1 in early September, Benjamin Kallman scoring a consolation in the 88th minute, but bounced back on Thursday with a 2-1 home win over Lithuania, Kallman on target once again, Adam Markhiev also finding the net. 

Team News 


Ronald Koeman didn’t invite Matthijs de Light, Sam Steijn and Noa Lang this time, while Jurrien Timber is injured. Memphis Depay has 105 appearances and 53 goals for the national team. 

Finland’s first-option goalkeeper and captain Lukas Hradecky was not in contention due to an injury, as well as Roman Eremenko. Naatan Skytta could make his debut on Thursday. Teemu Pukki has the most appearances (131) and goals (42) on this roster.   

Predicted Starting Lineups  


Netherlands: Verbruggen, Ake, Van Dijk, De Vrij, Dumfries, Koopmeiners, Schouten, Reijnders, Gakpo, Malen, Depay   

Finland: Joronen, Alho, Koski, Uronen, Peltola, Suhonen, Antman, Kairinen, Tenho, Kallman, Pohjanpalo   

Verdict

Netherlands had no problems beating Finland 2-0 in Helsinki in June and maintained great form since then. The Finns struggle on the road, so all signs are pointing at one-sided clash on Sunday. 

I will also back in-form Cody Gakpo to find the net, since he bagged three in his last two appearances for Liverpool and Netherlands. 


Best Bet1: Netherlands -2 Handicap @11/20 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Cody Gakpo Anytime Goalscorer @9/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Cody Gakpo First Goalscorer @4/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Netherlands Win 3-0 Correct Score @11/2 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Netherlands -2
Handicap
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Bet at bet365
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Bet at Star Sports
Netherlands Win 3-0
Correct Score
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