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Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets A-League Tips - Jets bid to seal minor premiership

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Wed 15 Apr 2026 21:09
The Newcastle Jets are on the verge of clinching their first minor premiership in the A-League, needing a win against Melbourne Victory. The Jets have been impressive, unbeaten in 12 of their last 14 games, and tend to feature games with under 3.5 goals. Melbourne Victory sits fifth in the league, unlikely to change significantly. The Jets took a decisive 5-2 win back in Round 2 and enter this game with confidence. With key players like Clayton Taylor primed to score, betting insights favor less than 3.5 goals and a win or draw for the Jets.
Andrew Hendrie 15 Apr 2026
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  • Newcastle Jets target first minor premiership win against Melbourne Victory.
  • Jets are unbeaten in 12 of 14 games; expect under 3.5 goals.
  • Melbourne Victory sits fifth and saw a recent mixed performance.
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Melbourne Victory Newcastle Jets
Victory host Jets on Friday (Photo by Getty Images)


Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Preview


Newcastle Jets can wrap up a first ever minor premiership in the A-League with a win over Melbourne Victory. In what is the penultimate round, the Jets are backed in the double chance market as the best bet along with under 3.5 goals.
  • Jets are unbeaten in 12 of their last 14 games
  • Jets have seen Under 3.5 goals in six of their last seven games
  • Victory have failed to win four of their last six games
  • Jets are unbeaten in six of the last seven meetings between the teams in all comps
  • Victory have drawn three of their last six games
  • Two of the last four meetings have resulted in a 1-1 draw

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Head To Head

The Jets thumped Victory 5-2 back in Round 2, with injured star Alex Badolato scoring a memorable hat-trick.

Melbourne Victory Preparing For Finals

Victory come into this contest with a 10-6-8 record on the season and in fifth spot on the ladder.

While both are still mathematically possible, Victory are unlikely to break into the top two or miss out on the top six, with the club probably set for a finish anywhere between 3rd and 6th.

Arthur Diles' side have failed to pick up maximum points over the last fortnight against the Kiwi clubs.

Victory suffered a shock 1-0 loss at home to Wellington before an entertaining 2-2 draw across the ditch against Auckland.

Franco Lino and Nishan Velupillay got on the scoresheet for Victory, but they couldn't hold on as they conceded a late free-kick goal to share the spoils.

Newcastle Jets Can Seal Minor Premiership

The Jets head into this showdown with a 14-2-8 record on the season and holding a three-point lead at the top of the table over Auckland with two rounds remaining.

Newcastle can wrap up the minor premiership with all three points in this game, while a point could be enough depending on how Auckland fare against the Mariners later on in the weekend.

Mark Milligan's side have already secured qualification into next season's Asian Champions League Elite after last week's 1-1 draw with Adelaide at home.

The Jets left it late to earn a point, with Daniel Wilmering equalising with almost the last kick of the game in the 94th minute.

Verdict

The Jets are tipped to avoid defeat on the road in a game that sees Under 3.5 goals.

Best Bet1: Under 3.5 Total Goals @7/8 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Jets Win or Draw Double Chance @13/14 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: 1-1 Draw Correct Score @7/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Under 3.5
Total Goals
@7/8 - 3 Units
£30 Free Bet
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Bet at bet365
1-1 Draw
Correct Score
@7/1 - 1 Unit
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