Valencia vs Real Madrid Tips & Live Stream – Low-Scoring La Liga Clash
Valencia take on Real Madrid at Mestalla, with Under 2.5 goals recommended for this fixture. Real Madrid have played seven matches since the international break, raising concerns about their fitness levels. Meanwhile, Valencia have kept two clean sheets in their last three league games, highlighting their defensive solidity. These factors suggest a low-scoring match is likely, making Under 2.5 goals a logical selection for this encounter.
- Real Madrid may have fitness issues after seven games since mid-October
- Valencia improved their defending under the new manager
- Watch Valencia vs Real Madrid live in the Spanish La Liga
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Valencia have given up on possession since Javier Aguirre was appointed as head coach, so I expect them to place a big focus on defending here. Real Madrid might be slightly fatigued due to a demanding schedule, so under 2.5 goals is worth backing.
- Key Stats
- 98-Year-Old Rivalry
- Hosts Sitting Inside the Relegation Zone
- Real Madrid Chasing Fifth Straight League Win
- Team News & Predicted Lineups
Key Stats
- Valencia have seen under 1.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches.
- Valencia have seen under 2.5 goals in their last match against Real Madrid.
- Real Madrid have kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 4 matches (La Liga).
98-Year-Old Rivalry
Real Madrid have an 114-59 advantage in head to head matches against Valencia while 43 encounters ended without a winner.
Hosts Sitting Inside the Relegation Zone
After a 3-2 home loss to Real Sociedad in mid-September, Valencia decided to part ways with Carlos Coberran and appoint Javier Aguirre as the new head manager.
The results have improved just slightly under the Mexican expert, his tenure starting with back to back draws against Racing Santander 2-2 and Athletic Bilbao 0-0, while losing 2-1 to Villarreal at Mestalla two weeks ago.
The first victory under new leadership was secured last weekend, beating Elche 1-0 on the road with Umar Sadiq scoring the only goal in the 69th minute, just eight minutes after he was substituted in. The Bats ended this clash with 0.79-1.26 expected goals, 31% possession and 5-16 shots.
Real Madrid Chasing Fifth Straight League Win
Thanks to a four-game winning streak, Real Madrid have narrowed the gap from La Liga leaders Barcelona to just three points, currently sitting in 3rd place after eleven rounds with nine wins and two defeats.
Their October schedule was very tough, but Los Blancos earned back to back victories against Villarreal 1-0, Sevilla 4-1, Barcelona 2-1 (Kylian Mbappe netting a brace at Camp Nou) and most recently Racing Santander 3-0.
Jose Mourinho's side also won two UCL contests last month against Roma 4-3 and Leipzig 4-1, while beating AEK Athens 3-2 earlier this week with Federico Valverde scoring the winning goal in the 92nd minute.
Team News & Predicted Lineups
Valencia (4-4-2) Stole Dimitrievski; Thierry Correia, Cesar Tarrega, Pepelu, Jose Gaya; Pablo Maffeo, Guido Rodriguez, Javi Guerra, Luis Rioja; Arnaut Danjuma, Hugo Duro
Diego Lopez and Sergi Canos stay sidelined as they recover from long-term cruciate ligament tears, while young attacker David Otorbi remains unavailable with a hamstring strain. Reserve goalkeeper Kayne van Oevelen is also ruled out.
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1) Thibaut Courtois; Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate, Dean Huijsen, Marc Cucurella; Aurelien Tchouameni, Federico Valverde; Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham, Yan Diomande; Kylian Mbappe
Star winger Vinicius Junior serves the final game of a four-match domestic suspension following a straight red card, while forward Rodrygo recovers from a cruciate ligament tear and young defender Raul Asencio stays out with a leg injury.
Star winger Vinicius Junior serves the final game of a four-match domestic suspension following a straight red card, while forward Rodrygo recovers from a cruciate ligament tear and young defender Raul Asencio stays out with a leg injury.
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Verdict
Real Madrid have played seven games already after the international break and might face some fitness problems at Mestalla. Valencia kept two clean sheets in their last three league games, so Under 2.5 goals looks like a value bet.
Under 2.5 Goals
Total Goals
@9/5 - 2 Units
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With a particular love for the English Premier League, he's been writing about sports online for more than a decade since completing a degree in literature and sports journalism.
The primary areas of focus include top European football leagues (mainly EPL, La Liga, Serie A & Bundesliga), basketball (EuroLeague, NBA & WNBA), Handball and Volleyball.
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