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Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar Tips & Prediction – Away Win is a Value Bet in the Conference League

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Tue 17 Mar 2026 18:32
The upcoming match is expected to be a thrilling encounter with both sides capable of scoring multiple goals. However, AZ Alkmaar is favored to win due to their exceptional form and strong performance in the first tie. This prediction highlights Alkmaar's recent success and sets the stage for an exciting game where their goal-scoring prowess and tactical advantage could secure them a victory.
Vedran Ostojic 17 Mar 2026
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  • AZ Alkmaar dominated Sparta Prague in last week's tie
  • We are backing them to earn another victory in Prague
  • Check our full preview for Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar below
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AZ beat Sparta Prague 2-1 in the first leg (Getty)

These sides combined had around 5.00 xG in last week’s tie in the Netherlands, firing a total of 33 shots. AZ Alkmaar were the ones missing a lot of opportunities, so I see value in backing them to win in a high-scoring affair. 

Key Stats  


  • Sparta Prague have lost 2 of their last 3 matches. 
  • Sparta Prague have seen BTTS & over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches. 
  • AZ Alkmaar have won 5 of their last 7 matches. 
  • AZ Alkmaar have seen BTTS & over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches. 

2nd Head to Head Clash 


These two sides locked horns for the first time last week in Alkmaar. 
Sparta Prague Rarely Miss to Score 

Sparta Prague were lucky to escape the Netherlands with a minimal 2-1 loss to AZ Alkmaar last week, their opponents missing series of chances to make their lead much bigger. 

Brian Priske’s side looked strong in the Conference League group stage, ending this phase with three straight victories over Legia Warsaw 1-0, Universitatea Craiova 2-1 and Aberdeen 3-0 to finish 4th. 

Their efficiency was fantastic last weekend in the Czech First League, beating Slovacko 5-2 in front of the home crowd with Jan Kuchta netting a brace. They ended this clash with 3.22-1.65 expected goals and 18-15 shots. 

AZ Deserved More Than Minimal Advantage Last Week 


AZ Alkmaar created eight goal opportunities in last week’s tie against Sparta Prague but scored just twice, taking a 2-1 lead with Troy Parrott netting a brace. 

They were beaten in the Conference League Round of 32 first leg at Noah 1-0 but recovered at home and advanced with a dominant 4-0 display, Sven Mijnans scoring twice. 

AZ also looked great in the Eredivisie last weekend, crushing Heracles 4-0 in front of the home crowd, Parrott starring once again with one goal and one assist. These three points pushed them up to 6th place. 

Predicted Lineups & Team News 


Sparta Prague (4-2-3-1) Jakub Surovcik; Oliver Sonne, Jakub Martinec, Jaroslav Zeleny, Pavel Kaderabek; Kaan Kairinen, Andy Irving; Joao Gimaldo, Hugo Sochurek, John Mercado; Matyas Vojta

Patrik Vydra, Ondrej Penxa, Magnus Andersen, Sivert Mannsverk and Asger Sorensen are ruled out for Sparta due to injuries, while Matej Rynes is doubtful.

AZ Alkmaar (4-3-3) Hobie Verhulst; Denso Kasius, Wouter Goes, Alexandre Penetra, Mees De Wit; Sven Mijnans, Peer Koopmeiners, Kees Smit; Isak Jensen, Troy Parrott, Weslley Patati

Mateo Chavez, Seiya Maikuma and Jordy Clasie won't travel to the Czech Republic due to injuries.

Verdict

Both sides are capable of scoring multiple goals here, but I favor AZ Alkmaar to win the encounter due to their great form and good performance in the first tie. 

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