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Lille vs Aston Villa Predictions & Tips - Europa League Draw Has Value

alex-waite
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Last updated: Tue 10 Mar 2026 22:39
Lille and Aston Villa both face a confidence crisis as they head into their Europa League last 16 clash. Their recent lackluster performances have led analysts to predict that neither side will risk losing the first leg, aiming instead for a safer strategy that could result in a draw. Bettors are advised to expect a closely matched game with potential scores lining up at 1-1. The focus will be on limiting errors and playing a balanced game, making a draw a recommended outcome for those considering bets.
Alex Waite 10 Mar 2026
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  • Lille have struggled for form at home
  • Aston Villa haven’t won since February
  • A draw is tipped in this Europa League clash
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Aston Villa
Aston Villa are winless in their last 4 matches (Getty)

Lille vs Aston Villa Preview


Lille don’t win often and the French side had drawn a lot recently. Aston Villa’s form has tailed off recently and these inconsistent sides can draw in the Europa League. 

Aston Villa Winless in 4


  • Lille have drawn 2 of their last 3 games.
  • Lille are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 matches against Aston Villa. 
  • Aston Villa are winless in 4 consecutive games. 

H2H 


Lille have a 2-1 advantage against Aston Villa, alongside one draw.

Lille Lacking Form


Bruno Genesio’s Lille reached the Europa League play-offs after winning just four of their eight group games. 

The Ligue 1 side lost 1-0 to Crvena Zvezda at home in their play-off first leg before winning 2-0 away. 

Les Dogues were winless in four of their five games before the Europa League play-off win in Serbia. They followed that victory with a 1-0 league win against Nantes, having just 0.64 XG. 

Lille gave up a 1-0 lead and drew 1-1 at home with Lorient on Sunday. Les Dogues had just 0.7-0.45 XG and Matias Fernandez-Pardo scored before Lorient struck a 93rd-minute equaliser.

Aston Villa Struggling for Consistency


Aston Villa finished second in the Europa League group behind Lyon on goal difference. The Villans completed their group stage campaign with a 3-2 home win over Salzburg. 

Unai Emery’s side have won just one of their following seven games in all competitions since the Salzburg win. Villa are also winless in two consecutive away games, drawing 1-1 at Bournemouth and losing 2-0 at Wolves. 

The Birmingham outfit fell to a third defeat in four games after a 4-1 home loss to Chelsea. Douglas Luiz scored first before Villa allowed 3.6 XG and conceded four goals. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Lille (4-2-3-1): Berke Ozer; Tiago Santos, Aissa Mandi, Nathan Ngoy, Romain Perraud; Nabil Bentaleb, Benjamin Andre; Gaetan Perrin, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Felix Correia; Matias Fernandez-Pardo

Goalkeeper Marc-Aurele Caillard is sidelined due to injury. Defender Ousmane Toure has a knee problem and midfielder Ethan Mbappe is also out with a thigh injury. 

Forwards Hamza Igamane and Osame Sahraoui are also unavailable due to long-term injuries.

Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez; Lamare Bogarde, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Ian Maatsen; Amadou Onana, Douglas Luiz; Leon Bailey, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia; Ollie Watkins

Midfielders Boubacar Kamara, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn and Harvey Elliott are injured. Defender Andres Garcia is also unavailable due to a hamstring issue.

Matty Cash is an injury doubt after a recent calf injury. Unai Emery was cautious over the defender’s availability after the Chelsea game and said, “Hopefully not a lot [of time out]. He had some doubts about his calf.”

Verdict

Lille and Aston Villa are lacking form and confidence heading into the Europa League last 16. Neither side will want to lose the first-leg and a draw is the best bet.

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