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Germany vs France Live Stream & Predictions – Germans Underestimated at the European Championship

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Tue 27 Jan 2026 20:25
France, the reigning European champions, are facing challenges with inconsistent performances, notably marked by a recent defeat to Spain. Contrarily, Germany demonstrates more stable form at this stage of the tournament. With qualification at stake, it seems prudent to back Germany with a +2.5 handicap, as they appear more reliable in their quest for advancement.
Vedran Ostojic 27 Jan 2026
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  • France have slipped twice in the Main Round already
  • We are predicting them to struggle against Germany too
  • Watch Germany vs France live at the European Championship
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Watch Germany vs France Live (Getty Images)

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Germany’s form has improved drastically since their wake-up loss to Serbia in the group stage, winning all of their matches since apart from the defeat to Denmark. France, meanwhile, looked very shaky defensively in their recent loss to Spain, so I am sticking with the Germans to cover a +2.5 handicap in this decisive clash. 

Germany One Result Away from the Semifinals 


Germany enter the final round with a clear scenario, as a win or a draw against France would be enough to secure a spot in the European Championship 2026 semifinals. They currently sit in second place with six points. 

After suffering a shock 30-27 defeat to Serbia in the group stage, the Germans responded strongly with a 34-32 win over Spain to advance to the Main Round with two points. 

They then took a massive step toward qualification with back-to-back victories, first edging Norway 30-28 with Marko Grgic stealing the spotlight by scoring seven goals, before following that up with a 32-30 win over Portugal. 

Germany’s winning run came to an end on Monday, when they struggled badly against Denmark’s defense and suffered a 31-26 defeat against the reigning world and Olympic champions. 

France Struggling for Consistency in the Main Round 


France enjoyed a flawless group-stage run, winning all three matches and advancing with the maximum number of points, but their overall performances in the Main Round have been far less convincing. 

The reigning European champions opened the second phase with a somewhat expected 32-29 defeat to hosts Denmark, a game in which they led at halftime and remained competitive deep into the second half. 

They bounced back last week with a sensational attacking display against Portugal, crushing them 46-38 to stay alive in the semifinal race. France landed 22 of their first 23 shot attempts in that match, with Ludovic Fabregas topping the scoring charts with six goals. 

However, France were heavy favorites on Monday against already eliminated Spain and suffered a shocking 36-32 defeat, largely due to disastrous first-half defending that saw them concede 20 goals. 

Verdict

France remain the reigning European champions, but their performances in this tournament have been inconsistent, highlighted by the recent loss to eliminated Spain. Germany look far more reliable at this stage, and with qualification on the line, backing them to cover a +2.5 handicap looks like the best option here. 

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