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Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals Predictions & Betting Tips - Goals Expected

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Tue 10 Nov 2026 10:01
The Ottawa Senators host the Washington Capitals with Over 5.5 total goals as the main tip, supported by both teams' recent high-scoring games—Washington's last ten and seven of Ottawa's last ten have gone over this line. Ryan Leonard is tipped for 2+ shots on goal, having achieved this in all 15 appearances, while Shane Pinto is backed to register a point after collecting points in four of his last five games. Both teams' goaltenders have save percentages below .890, further supporting the expectation of a high-scoring contest.
Jeremy Darke 51 minutes ago
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  • Over 5.5 total goals is tipped for Ottawa vs Washington.
  • Both teams have consistently cleared this line in recent games.
  • Leonard 2+ shots and Pinto 1+ point are also recommended.
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals NHL Predictions (Photo by Chris Tanouye/Freestyle Photography/Getty Images)

Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals NHL Predictions & Betting Tips - Goals Expected in Ottawa


Goals are expected when Washington visit Ottawa, with Over 5.5 backed alongside Ryan Leonard for 2+ shots on goal and Shane Pinto to register a point.

The Capitals arrive at Canadian Tire Centre having seen all ten of their previous games produce at least six goals. Ottawa have followed a similar pattern, with seven of their last ten clearing the same line.

Washington are averaging 3.53 goals per game while conceding 3.40, making them one of the NHL's more entertaining teams. Ottawa are scoring 3.22 and allowing 3.00, with neither expected starting goaltender holding a save percentage above .890.

Leonard has recorded at least two shots in all 15 appearances this season, producing 40 shots despite averaging around 14 and a half minutes of ice time.

Pinto completes the card after collecting points in four of his last five games. He's scored in all four of those appearances and remains one of Ottawa's most reliable attacking threats.


  • Washington's last ten games have all produced Over 5.5 goals.
  • Seven of Ottawa's last ten games have cleared the 5.5-goal line.
  • Leonard has recorded 2+ shots in all 15 appearances this season.
  • Pinto has registered a point in 12 of 18 games, including four of his last five.

Head to Head


Ottawa won two of three meetings last season, although Washington claimed the most recent encounter 4-1 in March.

Ottawa Senators Form


Ottawa are 5-4-1 across their last ten games but have won two straight, with their offence continuing to produce despite inconsistent special teams.

Wednesday's 2-1 victory over Buffalo featured a third-period equaliser from Pinto before Michael Amadio scored the winner. The Senators followed that with a 4-2 win against Utah, with Nick Cousins breaking a late tie before Pinto added an empty-net goal.

Pinto has seven goals and seven assists this season, including points in four of his last five appearances. Samuel Ersson has also improved recently, winning three consecutive starts while conceding just four goals, although Ottawa's 74.6% penalty kill remains a concern.

Washington Capitals Form


Washington have won six of their last ten games, but their matches have consistently featured plenty of goals at both ends.

Last Tuesday's 6-5 defeat against Dallas highlighted their defensive problems, with the Capitals conceding four early goals before mounting a comeback. They responded with a 4-3 victory over Florida on Saturday, with Pierre-Luc Dubois scoring the winner in the third period.

Alex Tuch leads Washington with 11 goals, while Leonard has contributed five goals and 11 points. Logan Thompson's .888 save percentage and Washington's 76.5% penalty kill have contributed to their defensive struggles, with Rasmus Sandin also sidelined through injury.

Verdict

Over 5.5 total goals is the standout selection, supported by both teams' recent scoring trends. Ryan Leonard 2+ shots on goal and Shane Pinto 1+ point complete the card.
Best Bet1: Over 5.5 Game Total @7/11 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Ryan Leonard 2+ Shots on Goal @3/5 at Star Sports - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Shane Pinto 1+ Point @9/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Over 5.5
Game Total
@7/11 - 4 Units
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Ryan Leonard
2+ Shots on Goal
@3/5 - 3 Units
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Bet at Star Sports
Shane Pinto
1+ Point
@9/10 - 2 Units
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with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

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jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke

Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Writer & Expert Betting Analyst

Jeremy is a freelance journalist who is a true sports activist. A die-hard fan of the NRL all his life and also has a passion for all the major American sports.


From when he was a little fella he has played most sports ranging from rugby, ice hockey, tennis and football, just to name a few. His interest in analytics and statistics helps him find the edge while writing previews and being a regular tipster.

Tipster and presenter on YouTube and a co-founder of The Sports Cap and The Basketball Fix.

You can find Jeremy on Muckrack and LinkedIn.

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