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Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Betting Tips – Back Broncos With Points In Big NFL Matchup

leigh-copson
Editor
Last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026 13:40
The Denver Broncos are tipped to cover the spread as slight home underdogs against the Kansas City Chiefs in their upcoming AFC West meeting. Denver have covered in all three home games this season and are riding a three-game win streak, with their defence bolstered by the return of Patrick Surtain and improved offence under Sean Payton. While the Chiefs lead the all-time series 74-59 and won the last meeting 31-10, Mile High has been favourable for Denver, who have won the last three home meetings. This form and home advantage support the Broncos as the selection.
Leigh Copson 2 hours ago
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  • Denver tipped to cover as slight home underdogs
  • Broncos have covered all 3 home games and are on a three-game win streak
  • Kansas City lead the all-time series but have struggled at Mile High recently
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Denver are tipped to cover as a slight home underdog in this key AFC West clash.

The Broncos’ offense has improved with Sean Payton calling the shots, while the defense remains one of the best units in the league and is boosted by the return of Patrick Surtain.

Mile High is always a big advantage for them too.

Key Numbers – Will Broncos Register 6th Cover?

  • Denver Broncos have covered in 5 of their 7 games
  • Denver Broncos have covered in all 3 home games
  • Denver Broncos have won the last 3 meetings at home
  • The Under has cashed in 5 of Denver’s 7 games so far

Chiefs Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Won Last Meeting

  • Kansas City Chiefs lead the all-time series 74-59
  • Kansas City Chiefs won 31-10 when the two teams last met on September 14

Kansas City Chiefs Suffered First Loss Last Sunday

Kansas City head to Denver looking to bounce back from their first defeat of the season, which dropped them to 5-1.

The Chiefs kicked of the campaign at home to the Broncos, and blew out their AFC North rivals in a 31-10 victory.

They backed that up with a 33-30 overtime win against Indianapolis, before heading to Miami for a 24-10 success against the Dolphins.

Kansas City then downed the Raiders in Las Vegas, 30-27, before making it five-in-a-row with a 22-6 win against the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Chiefs failed to get to 6-0 though, as their offense was shut down in a 20-3 defeat in Seattle on Sunday Night Football.

Denver Broncos Riding Three-Game Win Streak

Denver return home riding a three-game win streak that has improved their record to 5-2.

The Broncos opened with a 31-10 defeat at Kansas City, but rebounded quickly with back-to-back victories at home.

They downed Jacksonville 20-13 and the Los Angeles Rams 20-26, only to then lose 24-14 when they visited San Francisco.

Denver have not lost since though, beginning this three-game winning run with a 23-17 victory at the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Broncos backed that up by upsetting Seattle at home, 17-14 in overtime, before heading to Arizona to beat the Cardinals 30-16.

Verdict

Kansas City have made a flying start with Patrick Mahomes back this season, but Mile High has not been a happy hunting ground for him in recent years.

Denver have won the last few meetings at home, are in good form, and they will be motivated by avenging their Week 1 loss, so we are backing the Broncos in this one.

Best Bet1: Denver +1.5 Spread @9/10 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Under 40.5 Total Points @9/10 at dabble - 2 Units
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leigh-copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.

During his career at the Press Association and online sports sites including FreeTips and ExpertPicks.com, he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final.

He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.

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