New Mexico State at Florida State Betting Tips – FSU To Cover Big Spread In College Football Win
Florida State is expected to begin the season with a convincing win against New Mexico State. The Seminoles are tipped to cover the spread, buoyed by improvements to their roster after a rough 2025 season. FSU’s strong home record as double-digit favorites and the Aggies’ struggles on offense support this projection. Florida State leads the all-time series, and their ability to score should be too much for a New Mexico State team coming off an eight-loss campaign.
- Florida State has a strong recent record as home double-digit favourites
- New Mexico State struggled last season with eight losses
- Seminoles expected to cover as they start the season
Florida State are tipped to cover as they make a winning start to the season.
The Seminoles are unlikely to have many issues stacking up points and pulling away from a New Mexico State team that struggled massively on offense last season.
Key Numbers – Can FSU Continue Cover Trend As Home Double Digit Favourite?
- Florida State covered in 4 of their 5 home games as a double digit favourite last season
- The Under has cashed in 5 of Florida State’s last 6 games dating back to last season
Florida State Lead All-Time Head To Head; Won Last Meeting
- Florida State lead the all-time series 1-0
- Florida State won 36-0 when the two teams last met in October 1964
New Mexico State Lost Eight Times In 2025
New Mexico State won just two conference games and only four matchups overall during the 2025 campaign.
The Aggies opened with back-to-back non-conference wins, beating Bryant 19-3 and Tulsa 21-14, only to then lose their Conference USA opener to Louisiana Tech, 49-14.
They rebounded in their next conference game to beat Sam Houston 37-10, but they failed to follow that up and lost their next four games.
New Mexico State’s skid reached five games with a 42-9 non-conference blowout at Tennessee, before they finally ended their losing run with a 34-31 win at UTEP.
The Aggies’ joy was short-lived though, as they closed out the campaign with a 31-24 loss to Middle Tennessee State.
Florida State Eye Improvement After Rough Five-Win Season
Florida State enter the new season looking to rebound from a miserable 2025 campaign that saw them win just five of their games and only two in the ACC.
The Seminoles made a sensational start as they upset Alabama on opening weekend, 31-17, and they backed that up with a couple of blowouts of minor schools.
However, they made a terrible start to their conference campaign as they lost four straight games, falling 46-38 at Virginia, 28-22 to Miami, 34-31 to Pitt and 20-13 at Stanford.
Florida State stopped the rot with a 42-7 demolition of Wake Forest, only to quickly return to losing ways as they fell 24-10 at Clemson.
The Seminoles responded by beating Virginia Tech 34-14, but they immediately returned to losing ways and ended the season losing 21-11 at NC State and 40-21 at Florida.
Verdict
Florida State stunk up the ACC last season and this is a lot of points, but we are giving them some faith here.
The Seminoles have improved the roster and are expected to be too much for a New Mexico State team that had problems putting up points last season.
The Seminoles have improved the roster and are expected to be too much for a New Mexico State team that had problems putting up points last season.
Florida State -31.5
Spread
@9/10 - 4 Units
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Under 53.5
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