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Brumbies vs Moana Pasifika Betting Tips - Brumbies to secure bonus point win in Super Rugby

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: Thu 28 May 2026 00:22
The Brumbies face Moana Pasifika in a Super Rugby clash, aiming to capitalize on their strong head-to-head advantage despite inconsistent home form this season. Moana Pasifika have been in poor form, sitting at the bottom of the table with just five points and five consecutive losses. A dominant Brumbies victory is forecast, with bookmakers backing them to cover a -22.5 point spread. Both teams have released their lineups, and the Brumbies are looking to use this match as a springboard for improved home performances and to push further up the table.
Ralph Staniforth 28 May 2026
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  • Brumbies have recent home inconsistency but remain favourites versus Moana Pasifika.
  • Moana Pasifika have lost their last five matches and sit bottom of the table.
  • Brumbies tipped to easily cover the -22.5 handicap due to their strong record.
Nigel Williams
Brumbies backed to win at home in Super Rugby clash (Getty Images)

The Brumbies home form has been poor this season, which is in contrast to the last five seasons. However, Moana have been woeful this season, a big Brumbies win is all I can see here.

Key Stats - Brumbies Inconsistent but too Good for Hapless Moana


  • Brumbies have won 3 of their last 6 home matches.
  • Brumbies have won 3 of the 4 matches against Moana Pasifika.
  • Brumbies beat the Force 32-15 in their last home match.
  • Moana Pasifika have lost their last 5 matches.
  • Moana Pasifika lost 33-31 to the Reds in their last match.

Brumbies Lead Comfortably


Brumbies lead 3-1 in four matches against Moana.

Brumbies Need to Turn their home Fortunes around


The Brumbies secured a crucial 32-15 win over the Force in Canberra after leading 14-10 at the break.The bonus-point win snapped a three-game losing streak and kept them firmly in the Super Rugby finals race.

The Brumbies have been inconsistent at home. They defeated the Hurricanes (35-28) and the Blues (30-27), lost to the Reds (34-31), beat the Chiefs (33-24), before losing to the Waratahs (30-28) and Fijian Drua (33-28).

Brumbies are fifth in Super Rugby, with 33 points from 13 matches.

Captain Ryan Lonergan, who led from the front, was named Man of the Match against the Force after an excellent kicking and playmaking display.

Moana Pasifika Form


In an emotional fixture against the Reds, Moana trailed 21-7 at the break, before scoring three straight tries to almost snatch victory in what could be their final home game. However, they were undone by Campbell's excellent solo effort as the Reds secured a 33-31 victory to book their place in the finals.

Moana Pasifika have struggled this season. They lost to the Chiefs (62-17), the Highlanders (27-17), the Blues (45-19), and the Hurricanes (50-17).

Moana Pasifika are 11th (bottom) in Super Rugby, with five points from 13 matches.

Moana Pasifika Injuries & Team News


Brumbies: The Brumbies will be looking to apply pressure on the Crusaders for fourth place.

1 James Slipper, 2 Billy Pollard, 3 Allan Alaalatoa, 4 Lachlan Shaw, 5 Cadeyrn Neville, 6 Rob Valetini, 7 Rory Scott, 8 Charlie Cale, 9 Ryan Lonergan, 10 Declan Meredith, 11 Corey Toole, 12 David Feliuai, 13 Kadin Pritchard, 14 Andy Muirhead, 15 Tom Wright.

16 Lachlan Lonergan, 17 Blake Schoupp, 18 Rhys Van Nek, 19 Nick Frost, 20 Luke Reimer, 21 Klayton Thorn, 22 Tane Edmed, 23 Hudson Creighton.

Moana

1 Malakai Hala-Ngatai, 2 Mills Sanerivi, 3 Atu Moli, 4 Allan Craig, 5 Veikoso Poloniati, 6 Miracle Faiilagi, 7 Semisi Paea, 8 Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, 9 Augustine Pulu, 10 Patrick Pellegrini, 11 Glen Vaihu, 12 Faletoi Peni, 13 Solomon Alaimalo, 14 Israel Leota, 15 William Havili.

16 Mamoru Harada, 17 Abraham Pole, 18 Paula Latu, 19 Ale Aho, 20 Sam Tuitupou, 21 Melani Matavao, 22 Tevita Latu, 23 Tuna Tuitama.

Verdict

The Brumbies are favourites, based on their strong head-to-head record, and are tipped to cover the -22.5 handicap at home.

Best Bet1: Brumbies -22.5 Handicap @10/11 at 10bet - 3 Units
Brumbies -22.5
Handicap
@10/11 - 3 Units

Bet at 10bet

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