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Chiefs vs Blues Betting Tips - Chiefs to end Super Rugby regular season with a win over Blues

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: Thu 28 May 2026 23:17
The Chiefs, currently second in the Super Rugby standings with 46 points, are set to face the Blues, who need a win to secure a home playoff. The Chiefs have been formidable at home, winning their last five matches and seven of their last eight overall. Despite resting some players, they are tipped to defeat the Blues, who have struggled away recently and have lost three of their last four games against the Chiefs. The Chiefs are favored to cover the -5.5 handicap in this important clash.
Ralph Staniforth 28 May 2026
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  • Chiefs are unbeaten at home in their last five matches.
  • Blues need a win to secure a home playoff but have struggled away.
  • Chiefs are favored to win and cover the -5.5 handicap.
Chiefs
The Chiefs are on a winning streak at home (Getty Images)

The Blues will want a win to get a home playoff next weekend while the Chiefs have secured second place - they cannot go up or down, regardless of the result. Given their home form this season though, I do not see the Chiefs dropping this match.

Key Stats - Chiefs Unbeaten at Home


  • Chiefs have won 7 of their last 8 fixtures.
  • Chiefs have won 5 consecutive home games.
  • Blues have lost 3 of their last 5 away matches.
  • Blues have lost 3 of their 4 matches against the Chiefs.

Chiefs Dominant


Chiefs lead 21-11 in 33 matches against the Blues. Early in the season, the Chiefs snuck home to win 19-15 at Eden Park.

Chiefs Incredible Home Consistency


The Chiefs fell short in their clash with rivals the Crusaders last weekend, losing 36-32 away from home after conceding a second-half try. 

The Chiefs lost their opening home game of the season, losing 43-33 to the Crusaders before defeating Moana Pasifika 57-24, the Waratahs 42-14, the Hurricanes 22-19, Fijian Drua 42-22, and the Highlanders 42-12. 

The Chiefs are second in the Super Rugby standings with 46 points from 13 games.

The Chiefs have been in excellent form during the second half of the season, winning seven of their last eight matches, giving them the advantage to come out on top against the Blues.

Blues Struggle on the Road - Playoff secured for Next Week


The Blues had no answer against the Hurricanes in a recent match at home, losing 47-24 after trailing 21-0 at the break. 

The Blues have had limited success away from home this season. They defeated the Western Force 42-33, lost 30-27 to the Brumbies, beat the Waratahs 35-20, lost 42-19 to the Hurricanes, and defeated Moana Pasifika 45-19 before losing to the Crusaders 36-20. 

The Blues are third in the Super Rugby standings with 38 points from 13 matches.

The Blues must win to guarantee hosting their play-off match by finishing the season in third place, as they are two points ahead of the Crusaders in the league table going into the final fixture. However, they have lost three of their last four matches against the Chiefs. 

Chiefs vs Blues Starting Line-ups


Chiefs

Starting XV: Jared Proffit, Tyrone Thompson, George Dyer, Seuseu Naotia Ah Kuoi, Josh Lord, Samipeni Finau, Jahrome Brown, Wallace Sititi (c), Cortez Ratima, Josh Jacomb, Kyren Taumoefolau, Reon Paul, Daniel Rona, Daniel Sinkinson, Liam Coombes-Fabling

Replacements: Brodie McAlister, Benet Kumeroa, Keran van Staden, Fiti Sa, Kaylum Boshier, Te Toiroa Tahuriorangi, Tepaea Cook-Savage, Lalakai Foketi

Blues

Starting XV: Mason Tupaea, James Mullan, Marcel Renata, Josh Beehre, Sam Darry, Torian Barnes, Anton Segner (c), Malachi Wrampling, Sam Nock, Stephen Perofeta, Caleb Clarke, Pita Akhi, Xavi Taele, AJ Lam, Zarn Sullivan

Replacements: Eli Oudenryn, Joshua Fusitu'a, Flyn Yates, Laghlan McWhannell, Hoskins Sotutu, Finlay Christie, Corey Evans, Codemeru Vai

Verdict

The Chiefs have rested some players for the final fixture, but will have enough in the tank to overcome the Blues and are tipped to cover the -5.5 handicap.

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