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Matteo Berrettini vs Alexander Zverev Live Stream & Predictions - Zverev to Advance in Indian Wells

john-eastwood
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Last updated: Thu 05 Mar 2026 14:29
Matteo Berrettini faces Alexander Zverev in the ATP Indian Wells Open. Berrettini has been struggling against Top 10 players, losing 12 of his last 14 encounters. Zverev, with a superior record at Indian Wells, is favored to win in straight sets against Berrettini, who hasn't shown significant improvements. Berrettini's recent performances have been lackluster, whereas Zverev boasts a strong record, especially in this venue, having lost only three of his last 17 matches. Expect Zverev to dominate and clinch a 2-0 victory.
John Eastwood 05 Mar 2026
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  • Berrettini has lost 12 of his last 14 matches against Top 10 players
  • Zverev has reached two quarter-finals in Indian Wells
  • Watch Matteo Berrettini vs Alexander Zverev live in the 2nd round
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Matteo Berrettini Alexander Zverev hands
Matteo Berrettini and Alexander Zverev will meet for the eighth time in Indian Wells (Getty)

Matteo Berrettini hasn’t beaten a Top 10 player on hard courts for over a year. I don’t think that record is going to improve against Alexander Zverev, the German to win in straight sets.


Matteo BerrettiniAlexander Zverev
Nationality Italy Germany
Age 29 (12 April 1996) 28 (20 April 1997)
Height 6'5" (1.96m) 6'6" (1.98m)
Plays Right-Handed Right-Handed
World Ranking 66 4
Career High 6 (January 2022) 2 (June 2022)
ATP Tour Titles 10 24
ATP Indian Wells Best Result Fourth Round (2022) Quarter-Finals (2021, 2024)

HTH


Alexander Zverev is 4-3 against Matteo Berrettini and 2-0 on hard courts.

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2025 Monte Carlo Masters Clay R32 Berrettini 2-6 6-3 7-5
2023 Wimbledon Grass R32 Berrettini 6-3 7-6 7-6
2021 ATP Tour Finals Hard RR Zverev 7-6 1-0 RET
2021 Madrid Masters Clay F Zverev 6-7 6-4 6-3
2019 Shanghai Masters Hard SF Zverev 6-3 6-4
2019 Rome Masters Clay R32 Berrettini 7-5 7-5
2018 Rome Masters Clay R32 Zverev 7-5 6-2

Matteo Berrettini Form


Matteo Berrettini started the year on the South American clay court swing, going 3-3 without facing a Top 70 player.

The Italian reached the quarter-finals in Rio de Janeiro where he lost to World No.91 Ignacio Buse. He was eliminated in the first round in Santiago, beaten 6-3 6-4 by Emilio Nava.

The 29-year-old beat Adrian Mannarino 4-6 7-5 7-5 in his opening match in Indian Wells, saving 7/10 break points.

Berrettini cramped immediately after the final shot and discussed it after the match: “At the beginning of the third, I started to feel a little bit of cramping. I was little bit surprised at the beginning but then I remembered that I was sick until three days ago, so I was like, ‘Okay, it’s normal’."

Alexander Zverev Form


Alexander Zverev has been a Top 5 player since March 2024 but his wait to win a Grand Slam continues. He remains a long way behind Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz in the rankings.

The German battled hard at the Australian Open, getting past four Top 50 players on his way to the semi-finals. He went close against Alcaraz, going down 6-4 7-6 6-7 6-7 7-5 after serving for the match in the 5th set.

Zverev has competed in one event since, in Acapulco. He breezed past Corentin Moutet before a narrow 6-3 6-7 7-6 defeat to Miomir Kecmanovic.

Despite the disappointment in Mexico, he was able to celebrate winning the doubles title alongside Marcelo Melo, saying: "Marcelo has been my best friend for over 10 years now, and we finally won a tournament. We have been in a couple of finals and we finally did it. So it's special."

Verdict

Matteo Berrettini has been out of the Top 50 for a long time and has shown few signs of a return. Alexander Zverev should be too good in Indian Wells and get this one done in straight sets.

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Matteo Berrettini v Alexander Zverev