Oscars Betting Odds – One Battle After Another Odds-On For Best Picture Gong
The 2026 awards season is in full swing, and the Golden Globe Awards have set the stage for the Oscars. 'One Battle After Another' has surged to the forefront, securing top honours and commanding 1/7 odds for Best Picture. Meanwhile, 'Hamnet,' featuring a standout performance by Jessie Buckley, trails closely at 7/1. Timothée Chalamet is a strong Best Actor contender with 'Marty Supreme,' and 'Sinners' maintains intrigue with its unique blend of supernatural and social themes. Critical acclaim and Golden Globe wins shape these films as frontrunners in the Oscar race.
- 'One Battle After Another' leads Oscars race after Golden Globe success
- Timothée Chalamet and Jessie Buckley emerge as strong acting contenders
- 'Hamnet' and 'Marty Supreme' maintain competitive odds for Best Picture
The 2026 awards season has officially swung into high gear following the Golden Globe Awards, and the latest betting markets show clear frontrunners emerging for the Oscars.
After sweeping multiple top honours at the 83rd Golden Globes, ‘One Battle After Another’ has surged into overwhelming Best Picture favouritism, while Hamnet, Marty Supreme and Sinners remain strong challengers.
According to current odds, the Paul Thomas Anderson picture is the clear favourite to win Best Picture at 1/7, ahead of ‘Hamnet’ at 7/1.
In acting markets, Timothée Chalamet has become the odds-on favourite for Best Actor at 1/5, and Jessie Buckley commands standout positioning in Best Actress betting at 1/12, reflecting broad awards-season momentum following their Golden Globe wins.
With Oscar nominations underway and BAFTA nods expected soon, the remaining weeks of awards season will be decisive. Below are comprehensive profiles of the leading contenders shaping up for Oscars glory.
One Battle After Another Oscars Odds
Coming off a dominant Golden Globe night, Paul Thomas Anderson’s ‘One Battle After Another’ now finds itself the clear favourite in the Best Picture race. The film secured Best Film – Musical or Comedy, Best Director, Best Screenplay and Best Supporting Actress at the Golden Globes — a sweep that has significantly shortened its Oscar odds to roughly 1/7.
Critically acclaimed for its textured screenplay, kinetic direction and compelling ensemble performances led by Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle has drawn praise for blending big-screen spectacle with substantive character work. Critics have pointed to its smart pacing and thematic resonance, noting Anderson’s deft handling of both humour and drama.
Its awards haul at the Globes has mirrored strong precursor support from critics’ groups, positioning the film as the one to beat this season. The market swing in its favour reflects not just hype, but sustained confidence that One Battle will continue its momentum through BAFTA nominations and right into Oscar night. If its campaign holds, it could be one of awards season’s defining winners.
| One Battle After Another Oscars Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Best Picture | One Battle After Another | 1/7 |
| Best Director | Paul Thomas Anderson | 1/16 |
| Best Actor | Leonardo Di Caprio | 5/1 |
| Best Supporting Actress | Teyana Taylor | 4/9 |
| Best Supporting Actor | Sean Penn | 2/1 |
| Best Supporting Actor | Benicio Del Toro | 11/2 |
Hamnet Oscars Odds
Chloé Zhao’s Hamnet has emerged as One Battle’s closest rival and a major Best Picture contender on both sides of the Atlantic. The period drama triumphed at the Golden Globes with Best Dramatic Film and also saw Jessie Buckley win Best Actress, lifting its profile and shortening its place in the betting markets to around 11/2 for Best Picture.
Adapted from Maggie O’Farrell’s celebrated novel, Hamnet centres on the Shakespeare family’s grief after the loss of their young son. The film has garnered widespread acclaim for its emotional depth, lyrical filmmaking and powerhouse performances, with many critics citing Buckley’s portrayal as one of the season’s most transformational.
The film’s dramatic weight and artistry have given it strong BAFTA consideration, underscoring its potential to appeal to both academy voters and British sensibilities. While it currently trails One Battle in betting markets, its Globe success and strong critical consensus make Hamnet a genuine contender in the Best Picture and acting races.
| Hamnet Oscars Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Best Picture | Hamnet | 11/2 |
| Best Director | Chloe Zhao | 12/1 |
| Best Actress | Jessie Buckley | 1/12 |
| Best Supporting Actor | Paul Mescal | 20/1 |
Marty Supreme Oscars Odds
Josh Safdie’s Marty Supreme continues to enjoy momentum on the awards circuit, buoyed by Timothée Chalamet’s Best Actor win at the Golden Globes and his position as the odds-on favourite for the Oscar at 1/5.
The film, a spirited biographical sports drama focused on competitive ping-pong, has garnered acclaim for its kinetic direction and genre-bending approach. Critics have celebrated Chalamet’s charismatic, layered performance and Safdie’s ability to extract both heart and humour from the story, culminating in widespread praise that has pushed the film into Best Picture contention at approximately 8/1 in betting markets.
While Marty Supreme currently sits behind One Battle and Hamnet in the Best Picture odds, its acting strength and broad audience appeal give it a compelling profile as a potential dark horse. If guild support continues to grow and BAFTA recognises its achievements, the film could be poised for a breakout night.
| Marty Supreme Oscars Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Best Picture | Marty Supreme | 10/1 |
| Best Director | Josh Safdie | 16/1 |
| Best Actor | Timothee Chalamet | 2/9 |
| Best Supporting Actress | Gwyneth Paltrow | 25/1 |
Sinners Oscars Odds
Ryan Coogler’s genre-defying Sinners has maintained a firm foothold in awards conversation, buoyed by a Golden Globe win in Best Original Score and strong early critical praise. Although its betting odds are longer at 14/1, the film’s blend of supernatural elements and social commentary has distinguished it from the rest of the field.
Critics have highlighted Coogler’s confident direction and the film’s thematic ambition, particularly its willingness to engage with genre filmmaking at the highest artistic levels. Its memorable score and stylistic boldness have resonated with many awards voters and pundits, earning it a niche but passionate following. Should technical nominations — and perhaps acting support — consolidate for Sinners, it could emerge as the surprise package of the season.
| Sinners Oscars Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Best Picture | Sinners | 7/1 |
| Best Director | Ryan Coogler | 10/1 |
| Best Actor | Michael B. Jordan | 18/1 |
| Best Supporting Actress | Wunmi Mosaku | 20/1 |
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