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Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev Betting Tips – Volkanovski To Retain Title At UFC 333

leigh-copson
Editor
Last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026 12:05
Alexander Volkanovski is predicted to retain the UFC featherweight title by decision against Movsar Evloev, leveraging his significant striking advantage and takedown defense. Volkanovski's UFC featherweight record stands at 13 wins out of 14, sharing the division's title fight win record. Evloev enters unbeaten at 20-0, with a 10-0 UFC record, but his usual grappling approach is expected to be less effective against Volkanovski. The article concludes Volkanovski is likely to out-strike Evloev over five rounds to secure a decision victory.
Leigh Copson 2 hours ago
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  • Alexander Volkanovski is favoured to win against Movsar Evloev by decision
  • Volkanovski can rely on striking advantage and ability to get off the mat
  • Volkanovski holds 13 wins in 14 UFC featherweight bouts
Alexander Volkanovski (Getty Images)

Alexander Volkanovski is tipped to retain his UFC featherweight title by decision.

Volkanovski has a significant striking advantage, and he is a difficult man to take down and keep down – as evidenced when he moved up in weight to face Islam Makhachev.

As long as ‘The Great’ does not spend too much time on his back, he can out-strike Evloev on his way to a decision win.

Key Numbers – Will Volkanovski Set UFC Record?

  • Alexander Volkanovski has won 13 of his 14 fights as a featherweight in the UFC
  • Alexander Volkanovski shares the record for most UFC featherweight title fight wins with 8
  • Alexander Volkanovski has 57% striking accuracy (Evloev 47%)

Alexander Volkanovski Regained Title Last Year

Alexander Volkanovski is a two-time UFC featherweight champion with a professional record of 28-4 (13 KOs, 3 Subs).

Volkanovski debuted in the UFC in late 2016 and wasted little time in climbing the ladder, winning six straight fights to earn himself a title shot, beating the likes of Chad Mendes and Jose Aldo along the way.

He completed his rise to the top of the featherweight division in December 2019 when he beat Max Holloway on points to win the title, and when the two men met the following July he beat ‘Blessed’ by decision again.

The 38-year-old Australian continued his reign with a unanimous decision win over Brian Ortega, before knocking out Korean Zombie in the fourth round to set up a trilogy showdown with Holloway in July 2022.

Volkanovski again came out on top, with the judges awarding him a unanimous decision win after five rounds.

‘The Great’ turned his attention to becoming a two-weight champion after that, but came up short as he dropped a decision to Islam Makhachev.

He rounded with a third-round knockout of Yair Rodriguez to retain his featherweight crown, before making another failed attempt to become lightweight champion, suffering a first-round knockout loss to Makhachev in their rematch.

Volkanovski then surrendered the featherweight crown with a second-round knockout loss to Ilia Topuria in early 2024.

He rebounded in April of last year to regain the vacant championship with a unanimous decision win over Diego Lopes, and successfully retained the title when the two men met in a rematch back in February.

Movsar Evloev 10-0 Since Entering UFC

Movsar Evloev is the number one ranked featherweight contender with a professional record of 20-0 (3 KOs, 4 Subs).

Evloev joined the UFC in 2019 following a successful run with the M-1 Global promotion, and marked his debut year with points wins over Seung-Woo Choi and Enrique Barzola.

He then fought once in 2020, beating Mike Grundy on points, before continuing his UFC win streak in 2021 with points successes against Nik Lentz and Hakeem Dawodu.

The 32-year-old Russian bested Dan Ige over three rounds in his only outing of 2022, and in his sole fight in 2023 he got the better of Diego Lopes, winning by unanimous decision.

Evloev then surged into title contention in 2024 with two notable wins, beating Arnold Allen and former champion Aljamain Sterling on points.

Those victories set up a title eliminator fight with Lerone Murphy in March of this year, and the Russian maintained his perfect record – and landed this title shot – with a majority decision win.

Verdict

Movsar Evloev’s recipe for success has been using his grappling to smother his opponent, but that is an approach that is unlikely to work against Alexander Volkanovski.

We expect the bulk of this contest to be fought on the feet, with Volkanovski out-striking the Russian to secure a decision victory.

Best Bet1: Alexander Volkanovski Winner @9/10 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Volkanovski by Dec. Method Of Victory @19/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Alexander Volkanovski
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Bet at bet365
Volkanovski by Dec.
Method Of Victory
@19/10 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
leigh-copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.

During his career at the Press Association and online sports sites including FreeTips and ExpertPicks.com, he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final.

He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.

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