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Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili Betting Tips – Yan To Enjoy Successful UFC 333 Title Defence

leigh-copson
Editor
Last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026 12:09
Petr Yan and Merab Dvalishvili prepare to settle their tied bantamweight rivalry in a highly anticipated trilogy fight. Both fighters have previously bested each other by unanimous decision, with Yan reclaiming the title from Dvalishvili in December 2025. Yan’s recent four-fight win streak and consistent striking are cited as key advantages. Dvalishvili, still highly ranked, is expected to offer a sharper performance after a rest, but analysts predict Yan will win by decision to retain his UFC bantamweight championship.
Leigh Copson 2 hours ago
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  • Petr Yan and Merab Dvalishvili are tied 1-1 in head-to-head matchups
  • Yan is on four-fight win streak, recently reclaimed UFC bantamweight title from Dvalishvili
  • Analysts expect Yan’s superior striking to secure another decision victory in trilogy fight
Petr Yan (Getty Images)

Petr Yan is tipped this trilogy fight and retain the UFC bantamweight title.

Merab Dvalishvili burnt himself out ahead of the last fight, and we expect to see a much sharper performance from the Russian in this one.

However, Yan’s superior striking can be the difference once again, as he works his way to a decision win.

Key Numbers – Will Yan-Dvalishvili 3 Go The Distance?

  • Each of Petr Yan’s last 8 fights went the distance
  • Petr Yan’s last 5 wins all came via decision
  • Merab Dvalishvili has gone the distance in 13 of his last 15 fights
  • 4 of Merab Dvalishvili’s 5 career defeats came on points
  • The two previous meetings were settled by judges’ decision

All-Time Head-To-Head Tied

  • Merab Dvalishvili won by unanimous decision when the two men met in March 2023
  • Petr Yan won by unanimous decision when the two men last fought in December 2025

Petr Yan On Four-Fight Win Streak

Petr Yan is the defending UFC bantamweight champion with a professional record of 20-5 (7 KOs, 1 Subs).

Yan debuted in the UFC in June 2019 and reeled off three consecutive wins in his debut year as he knocked out Teruto Ishihara, out-pointed Jin-Soo Son, and stopped Douglas Silva de Andrade.

He continued his climb up the bantamweight ladder 2019 as he stepped up the level of competition, earning himself a fight for the vacant title.

The 33-year-old Russian beat John Dodson and Jimmie Rivera by unanimous decision, before knockout out the legendary Urijah Faber in the third round.

Yan took his big chance too, as he knocked out another legend, Jose Aldo, in the final round to win the bantamweight title.

He lost the belt in his first defence, as he was disqualified for an illegal knee against Aljamain Sterling, only to win the interim title seven months later as he beat Cory Sandhagen on points.

However, that October 2021 victory would prove to be his last for two-and-a-half years.

Yan dropped a split decision to Sterling in their rematch, and then suffered a split decision defeat to Sean O’Malley before losing via unanimous decision to Merab Dvalishvili.

He finally stopped the rot in March 2024 when he beat Song Yadong on points, and was able to back that up with unanimous decision wins over Deiveson Figueiredo and Marcus McGhee.

‘No Mercy’ then regained the bantamweight belt last year, as he won the rematch with Dvalishvili via unanimous decision.

Merab Dvalishvili Lost Title Last December

Merab Dvalishvili is the number one ranked bantamweight contender with a professional record of 21-5 (3 KOs, 2 Subs).

Dvalishvili entered the UFC in late 2017 and got off to a rough start as he lost his first two fights.

He turned things around over the next couple of years though, as he reeled off seven consecutive victories to make himself a player in the bantamweight division.

The 35-year-old Russian then scored three big wins to earn himself a shot at the championship in September 2024 – beating Jose Aldo, Petr Yan and Henry Cejudo on points.

Dvalishvili completed his rise to the top of the ladder as he out-pointed Sean O’Malley over five rounds to become bantamweight champion.

In his first defence he beat Umar Nurmagomedov on points, and followed that up with a third-round submission win over O’Malley in their rematch.

He would fight two more times in 2025, with mixed results.

‘The Machine’ retained the bantamweight title in October with a unanimous decision win over Cory Sandhagen, only to surrender the championship in December when he lost a decision to Petr Yan in their rematch.

Verdict

Fighting four times last year was not the wisest move by Merab Dvalishvili, and it showed when he lost the title to Petr Yan last December.

Dvalishvili has had a little lay-off since then and should be sharper, but we expect Petr Yan’s striking to be the difference again as he retains on points.

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leigh-copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.

During his career at the Press Association and online sports sites including FreeTips and ExpertPicks.com, he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final.

He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.

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