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Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs Betting Tips – Spurs To Force Game 7 In NBA Playoffs

leigh-copson
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Last updated: Fri 29 May 2026 11:14
The San Antonio Spurs aim to extend their season by covering the spread at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder, setting up a potential Game 7. Despite Thunder's 3-2 series lead and strong recent form, the Spurs have dominated at home, winning three of four games in San Antonio. All series games have been decided by more than four points, with the winning team always covering. With expectations for a bounce-back performance from Victor Wenbanyama, the Spurs are favored to edge this matchup, and the 'Over' on 219.5 points is an attractive bet.
Leigh Copson 29 May 2026
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  • Spurs have won 3 of 4 home games vs Thunder this season
  • All five games so far decided by more than 4 points; winner always covers
  • Expect Wenbanyama to bounce back and Spurs to cover -3.5 spread
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San Antonio can cover the spread as they set up a winner-takes-all Game 7 clash.

The Spurs have a strong home record against the Thunder this season, and we expect to see a much better performance from Victor Wenbanyama after an ‘off night’ in Game 5.

Key Numbers – Can Spurs Go 4-1 Hosting OKC This Season?

  • San Antonio Spurs have won 3 of the 4 meetings at home this season
  • All 5 games in this series have been settled by more than 4 points
  • The winning team has covered in all 5 games in this series so far
  • The Over has cashed in 5 of the previous 6 meetings

Spurs Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Thunder Won Last Meeting

  • San Antonio Spurs lead the all-time series 127-108
  • Oklahoma City Thunder won 127-114 when the two teams last met on May 26

Oklahoma City Thunder Form – Last 10 Games

Oklahoma City head back out on the road with a 3-2 series lead, thanks to their eighth victory in their last 10 games.

DateOppositionW/LScore
Apr-27 at Phoenix Suns W 131-122
May-05 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 108-90
May-07 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 125-107
May-09 at Los Angeles Lakers W 131-108
May-11 at Los Angeles Lakers W 115-110
May-18 vs San Antonio Spurs L 115-122 2OT
May-20 vs San Antonio Spurs W 122-113
May-22 at San Antonio Spurs W 123-108
May-24 at San Antonio Spurs L 82-103
May-26 vs San Antonio Spurs W 127-114

San Antonio Spurs Form – Last 10 Games

San Antonio return home knowing one more defeat will end their season, having lost three of their last four games.

DateOppositionW/LScore
May-06 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 133-95
May-08 at Minnesota Timberwolves W 115-108
May-10 at Minnesota Timberwolves L 109-114
May-12 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 126-97
May-15 at Minnesota Timberwolves W 139-109
May-18 at San Antonio Spurs W 122-115 2OT
May-20 at San Antonio Spurs L 113-122
May-22 vs San Antonio Spurs L 108-123
May-24 vs San Antonio Spurs W 103-82
May-26 at San Antonio Spurs L 114-127

Verdict

Oklahoma City are more than capable of completing the job, but we are leaning towards San Antonio.

The Spurs have won all but one of their home meetings with the Thunder this season, and we do not see Victor Wenbayama producing back-to-back poor performances.

Best Bet1: San Antonio -3.5 Spread @9/10 at Hollywood bets - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Over 219.5 Total Points @9/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
San Antonio -3.5
Spread
@9/10 - 4 Units
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