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Perth Wildcats vs Melbourne United NBL Tips - Wildcats to win Elimination Final

jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke
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Last updated: Fri 06 Mar 2026 14:57
The Elimination Final between Perth Wildcats and Melbourne United is set to be a thrilling encounter. Perth has the upper hand with four consecutive wins at RAC Arena and standout performances from Kristian Doolittle. Meanwhile, Melbourne United faces an injury crisis, impacting key players. Perth's previous game revealed their weaknesses, but they remain favorites to progress. Betting odds are favorable for Kristian Doolittle and Dylan Windler to shine, boosting Perth's chances against their injury-riddled opponents.
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Jeremy Darke 06 Mar 2026
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  • Perth Wildcats vs Melbourne United expert predictions for Saturday’s Elimination Final NBL matchup
  • Wildcats favored in Elimination Final
  • Kristian Doolittle and Dylan Windler are key players for Perth
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wildcats doolittle
Kristian Doolittle to star for the Wildcats (Getty Images)

Perth Wildcats vs Melbourne United Preview


Melbourne United dumped out Tasmania JackJumpers but are facing an injury crisis ahead of the trip to Perth. The short turnaround and long trip west hampers United and I'm backing the Wildcats to win this Elimination Final.

  • Perth have won their last 4 games at RAC Arena
  • Kristian Doolittle has 20+ points in 4 of his last 6 games.
  • Kristian Doolittle’s average of 18.1 points against Melbourne is the most of any opponent.
  • Dylan Windler has 2+ made threes in 7 of his last 10 games.

Perth Wildcats Favourites To Progress


Eleven turnovers in the first half and 18 less shot attempts put the Wildcats on the back foot from the get-go against the Phoenix, eventually going down to South East Melbourne 111-94 in their Seeding Qualifier.

The 17 total turnovers certainly didn’t help, however, it was more the fact that SEM took 28 more shot attempts than what the Wildcats put up. The Phoenix also worked Perth on the inside dropping 62.1% of their 2p field goals. 

John Rillie’s men looked flat at times and were not ready for the pace that South East Melbourne came at them with.

Kristian Doolittle still had a day in a well beaten side with 22 points and 6 rebounds, but there was no real other threat on the offensive side of the ball. 

Melbourne United Facing Injury Crisis


Finn Delany had a career-best night against the JackJumpers in their play-in final on Thursday night, dropping 13-19 for 33 points along with six rebounds and two assists to lead United to a comfortable 82-68 victory over the JackJumpers.

A nine-point halftime lead had United in full control heading into the second half, however, they let their lead slide to just 1-point heading into the final quarter. 

Melbourne needed a fast start and got it, outscoring Tasmania 26-13 in the final term. 

United are carrying some injuries heading into their do-or-die match with Chris Goulding being managed for knee fluid, Shae Ili playing only eight minutes with a hamstring concern and now Jesse Edwards suffering back pain that saw him withdraw late from the game against Tassie. 

Verdict

Perth are backed to cover as 4.5-point favourites with Kristian Doolittle dropping 20+ and Dylan Windler finding 2+ three pointers.

Best Bet1: Perth -3.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Kristian Doolittle 20+ Points @7/8 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Dylan Windler 2+ Threes @7/10 at Star Sports - 3 Units
Perth -3.5
Handicap/Line
@9/10 - 3 Units
£30 Free Bet
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Kristian Doolittle
20+ Points
@7/8 - 2 Units
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Bet at bet365
Dylan Windler
2+ Threes
@7/10 - 3 Units
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Bet at Star Sports

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