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Sydney Kings vs Perth Wildcats NBL Betting Tips - Kendic Davis to star in NBL semi-final

jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke
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Last updated: Mon 09 Mar 2026 13:01
The Sydney Kings have emerged as NBL powerhouses with an impressive 11-game winning streak to clinch the NBL Minor Premiership. Key to their success is MVP candidate Kendric Davis, consistently leading the scoring charts. In their face-off against Perth Wildcats, Davis is expected to shine with over 26.5 points and 3+ three-pointers. Meanwhile, Perth faces challenges, particularly needing to enhance their three-point conversion to remain competitive in the series. Tap into the excitement and strategic dynamics of this nail-biting semi-final series!
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Jeremy Darke 09 Mar 2026
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  • Sydney Kings vs Perth Wildcats expert predictions for Wednesday’s NBL Semi-Final
  • Kings win NBL Minor Premiership with an 11-game streak
  • MVP candidate Kendric Davis expected to exceed 26.5 points
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kendric davis
Kendric Davis to star in a Kings win (Getty Images)

Sydney Kings vs Perth Wildcats Preview


Sydney Kings are backed to take the upper hand in the best-of-three NBL semi-final series having won all three matches against the Perth Wildcats this season. 

Kendric Davis dropped 25 points or more in all three shows wins over the Wildcats and I'm taking his over 26.5 points line and 3+ threes for the American. 

  • Sydney won all three matches against Perth in NBL26 by an average margin of 23 points and no less than 18.  
  • Kendric Davis averages 30.6 points against Perth in his NBL career, the most of any opponent.
  • Kendric Davis has gone 13 of 22 from three-point range in his last 2 games against Perth.
  • Kristian Doolittle has scored under 19.5 points in his last 5 games against Sydney.

Sydney Kings Win 11 In A Row


Winning the final 11 games of the season and taking out the NBL Minor Premiership makes the Kings the team to beat in the NBL Finals and bearing the weight of having it their championship to lose. 

The Kings’ defence finished the season allowing their opponents to score just 87.2 points per game, good enough for the second least of any team in the NBL, but it was their offence that took them from being a contender to being the benchmark of the competition.

Led by MVP candidate Kendric Davis’ 24.4 points per game average, the Kings scored 99.3 points per game in NBL26. However, raise that to 107.9 points per game on their 11-0 run to close out the year, scoring 100+ in 9 of those matches. 

Secondary scorers can be what most see as the inconsistent side to the Kings, however, it has more to do with who needs to score on the night against a specific opponent. 

Xavier Cooks lifts when size matters otherwise Kouat Noi or Jaylin Galloway get their opportunities if versatility is needed. 

Perth Wildcats Need To Up Three-Point Shooting


Perth went the long way to the semi-finals but got there in the end after a much stronger performance in their Elimination Final against Melbourne United than they put up against little brother South East Melbourne in the Seeding Final. 

Kristian Doolittle continues to lead the Wildcats from the front with another 24 points and 7 rebounds against United, but the difference was the level of Jo Lual-Acuil in the paint for Perth with the South Sudanese-Australian going large with 28 points, 12 rebounds and 4 blocks. 

With Melbourne shooting poorly, the Wildcats gave up limited second chances winning the rebound battle 52-39 with both Dylan Windler (9 rebounds and Ben Henshall (6 rebounds) also playing their roles. 

The concern for Perth will be three-point shooting heading into the semi-final, ranked 8th with a 32.1 3P% which can hurt them.

Elijah Pepper was hot in the final games of the season and for the Boomers but has failed to find range in the NBL Finals and will need to get back into rhythm in this series. 

Verdict

Kendric Davis is backed to score over 26.5 points and drop at least 3 threes, while Kristian Doolittle will be contained under 19.5 points as the Kings cover as 7.5 point favourites.

Best Bet1: Sydney -7.5 Handicap/Line @11/12 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: K. Davis Over 26.5 Player Points @9/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Kendric Davis 3+ Three Pointers @17/20 at Star Sports - 3 Units
Best Bet4: K Doolittle Under 19.5 Player Points @4/5 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Sydney -7.5
Handicap/Line
@11/12 - 2 Units
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K. Davis Over 26.5
Player Points
@9/10 - 2 Units
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Bet at bet365
Kendric Davis
3+ Three Pointers
@17/20 - 3 Units
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Bet at Star Sports
K Doolittle Under 19.5
Player Points
@4/5 - 2 Units
£30 Free Bet
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