• Home
  • Football
timer

This preview has expired.

See all our latest betting tips or suggested betting sites

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Tips & Predictions – Barca to Recover in the Champions League

vedran-ostojic
Editor
Last updated: Sun 12 Apr 2026 20:51
Despite an early sending-off of player Cubarsi, Barcelona showcased remarkable control and attack in their first clash with Madrid, boasting higher possession, shots, and expected goals (xG). This performance suggests Barcelona's preparedness for a comeback and potential victory in their upcoming match in Madrid on Tuesday. Given their on-field stats, Barcelona is a promising contender poised to turn the tables in their favor.
Vedran Ostojic 12 Apr 2026
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Barcelona won a majority of H2H clashes against Atleti this season
  • We are backing them to recover from last week's loss and win on Tuesday
  • Check our full preview for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona below
Expired
Atletico Madrid won the first tie 2-0 (Getty)

I am not giving up on Barcelona’s semifinal hopes yet. The first leg was heavily influenced by the red card, and since Hansi Flick’s side have beaten Atleti three times this season, I am backing Blaugrana to win. 

Key Stats  


  • Atletico Madrid have lost 4 of their last 5 matches. 
  • Atletico Madrid have lost 5 of their last 7 matches against Barcelona. 
  • Barcelona have won 9 of their last 11 matches. 
  • Barcelona’s Lamine Yamal has scored 3 goals in his last 4 matches (UCL). 

251 Previous Meetings 


Barcelona have been more successful side in h2h, holding an 115-79 advantage in terms of victories, 57 contests ending without a winner. 

Atleti Close to Advancing 


Atletico Madrid gained a huge 2-0 advantage against Barcelona in the UCL quarterfinal last week in Catalunya. Julian Alvarez broke the deadlock with a stunning free-kick goal just before break, while the final score was set by Alexander Sorloth in second half. 

Diego Simeone’s side has been in disastrous form in La Liga recently though, currently on a three-game losing run. 

After losing 3-2 to Real Madrid and Barcelona 2-1, their negative streak resumed last weekend with a 2-1 loss at Sevilla, posting just 0.84 xG and firing two shots on target. 

They also had problems in the previous UCL round, losing the second tie to Tottenham 3-2 but advancing 7-5 on aggregate. 

Barca Hoping for an Early Goal 


Barcelona were the ones controlling the first tie against Atletico Madrid all until Pau Cubarsi was sent off in the 44th minute. They ended the match with 1.10-0.43 xG, 58% possession and 18-5 shots. 

Hansi Flick’s side returned to winning last weekend in the Catalan derby, beating Espanyol 4-1 where Ferran Torres scored a brace, Lamine Yamal registering two assists and one goal. 

After this round, their advantage over Real Madrid in the La Liga title race increased to nine points with just seven rounds left to be played. Barca secured 26 wins in 31 matches so far. 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): Juan Musso, Nahuel Molina, Clement Lenglet, Robin Le Normand, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Marcos Llorente, Koke, Ademola Lookman, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez

David Hancko, Johnny Cardoso and Pablo Barrios are likely to miss this clash due to injuries, while Jose Gimenez and Jan Oblak are doubtful. Marc Pubill is serving a one-game suspension.

Barcelona (4-2-3-1): Joan Garcia, Jules Kounde, Ronald Araujo, Eric Garcia, Joao Cancelo, Pedri, Frenkie de Jong, Lamine Yamal, Fermin Lopez, Marcus Rashford, Ferran Torres

Pau Cubarsi won't travel to Madrid due to suspension, Raphinha and Andreas Christensen missing the match due to injuries. Marc Bernal and Gerard Martin are doubtful.

Verdict

Even with Cubarsi sent off early, Barcelona dominated possession, had more shots and higher xG in the first tie last week. I will back them to bounce back and win in Madrid on Tuesday. 

Best Bet1: Barcelona Win Full-Time Result @17/20 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Lamine Yamal Anytime Goalscorer @13/10 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Barcelona Win
Full-Time Result
@17/20 - 3 Units
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets
Lamine Yamal
Anytime Goalscorer
@13/10 - 1 Unit
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365

Top Betting Sites

special-offer-1Betting offers

Upcoming Events

14 Apr 2026

Atletico Madrid v Barcelona