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Leeds vs Arsenal Betting Tips - Whites Double Chance in the Premier League

alex-waite
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Last updated: Thu 29 Jan 2026 13:25
Leeds United's impressive form at home makes them formidable contenders in their upcoming Premier League match against Arsenal. Despite Arsenal's recent struggle with dropping points, Leeds has maintained a strong presence at Elland Road. A savvy betting approach would be to consider a 'home double chance' on Leeds winning or drawing, which holds substantial value with odds of 2.6. This match offers an intriguing dynamic, with Leeds capitalizing on home advantage and presenting a tough challenge for an inconsistent Arsenal side.
Alex Waite 29 Jan 2026
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  • Leeds gain most of their EPL points at home
  • Arsenal are winless in their last 3 league matches
  • A Whites Premier League win or draw is predicted
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Leeds
Leeds are unbeaten in their last 5 home games (Getty)

Leeds vs Arsenal Preview


Leeds are very tough to play against at Elland Road and Arsenal’s Premier League momentum has slowed. The Whites can use their home advantage to win or draw against the Gunners.

Leeds Unbeaten in 5 at Home


  • Leeds are unbeaten in 5 consecutive home games.
  • Leeds are unbeaten in 6 of their last 11 EPL home matches against Arsenal. 
  • Arsenal are winless in their last 3 EPL games.

2025/26 Premier LeagueLeedsArsenal
Current Position16th1st
Form (Last 5)D W L D DL D D W W
Wins615
Draws85
Losses93
Goals Scored (pg)34 (1.48)42 (1.83)
Goals Conceded (pg)40 (1.74)17 (0.74)
Clean Sheets4 (17%)11 (48%)
Failed to Score6 (26%)3 (13%)
Matches Over 2.5 Goals12 (52%)10 (43%)
Matches Over 3.5 Goals9 (39%)6 (26%)
Matches with BTTS14 (61%)9 (39%)

H2H 


Arsenal have a 54-41 advantage against Leeds, alongside 33 draws. 

Leeds Hard to Beat at Home


Leeds are 16th in the Premier League and sit six points outside the relegation zone. Daniel Farke’s side are unbeaten in 10 of their last 11 games.

The Whites are undefeated in five home matches, including a 3-1 win over Chelsea and a 2-2 draw with Liverpool. Leeds’ only recent loss came at Newcastle 4-3 and they responded with wins at Derby 3-1 and Fulham at home 1-0.

The Yorkshire side extended their mini unbeaten run to three matches after a 1-1 draw at Everton. James Justin opened the scoring on 28 minutes and Leeds had 1.37XG before conceding a late equaliser. 

Arsenal Losing EPL Form


Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal have lost their advantage in the Premier League title race following a three-match winless run. The Gunners are now just four points ahead of chasing Aston Villa and Man City. 

Arsenal were held to goalless draws at home against Liverpool and at Nottingham Forest. Their winless Premier League streak continued with a 3-2 home defeat to Man United.

The North Londoners then beat Kairat Almaty 3-2 in the Champions League. Viktor Gyokeres, Kai Havertz and Gabriel Martinelli scored in the first half and Arsenal had 3.94XG.

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Leeds (3-5-2): Karl Darlow; Sebastiaan Bornauw, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk; Jayden Bogle, Anton Stach, Ethan Ampadu, Ilia Gruev, James Justin; Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Brenden Aaronson

Defender Jaka Bijol is ruled out due to a thigh problem.

Dan James has returned to training and could return to the squad. Daniel Farke was positive about the winger’s recovery and said, “First time part integrated in team training. Pretty close to joining us back in full team training.”

Arsenal (4-3-3): David Raya; Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Gabriel, Piero Hincapie; Martin Odegaard, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice; Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Jesus, Leandro Trossard

Midfielder Max Dowman is sidelined due to an ankle issue.

Mikel Arteta is hopeful that William Saliba and Jurrien Timber will be available for Saturday. The Arsenal manager gave an update on the defenders and said, “They have some niggles... It's a good opportunity now that we make a different kind of work with them to get them in the best possible condition for the weekend, hopefully.”

Verdict

Leeds are one of the most in-form home sides in the Premier League and Arsenal are dropping points. A home double chance bet has good value at Elland Road.

Best Bet1: Leeds Win or Draw Double Chance @8/5 at bet365 - 2 Units
Leeds Win or Draw
Double Chance
@8/5 - 2 Units
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Bet at bet365
alex-waite
Alex Waite

Football Writer • 10+ Years Of Experience, Football Betting Analyst

Alex is a full-time sports writer, covering football, cricket, golf, rugby and tennis as well as providing informative betting guides.

Alex was born in London and studied at Swansea University in Wales. He used to work as a teacher in London but changed a few years ago to work as a full-time sports writer. Mostly enjoys watching and writing about football, cricket, golf, rugby and tennis.

Also featured at OneFootball, Football Whispers and World Soccer Talk and can be found at LinkedIn, Twitter and Game Day Stories SubStack.

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