Newcastle vs Sunderland Betting Tips - Tyne-Wear Derby Goals in the Premier League
Newcastle United's defensive struggles at home this season are highlighted as they host Sunderland in the Premier League. Sunderland have been similarly porous on the road, making a high-scoring game likely. Bettors are advised to consider BTTS (Both Teams to Score) and various goals over/under bets, as they hold potential value. Selections include BTTS Yes at odds of 1.91, Over 2.5 Goals also at 1.91, and Over 3.5 Goals at 3.25. These options could be profitable given the trends both teams have shown early in the 2025/26 campaign.
- Newcastle have seen 24 goals in 7 home games
- Sunderland concede a lot of EPL away goals
- Stick with a Premier League high-scorer in the Tyne-Wear derby
Newcastle vs Sunderland Preview
Newcastle see BTTS in a lot of their home games. Sunderland don’t keep many away clean sheets and it’s worth sticking with goals in this rivalry clash.
- Newcastle vs Sunderland Preview
- Key Stats - Newcastle Are BTTS Regulars
- H2H - Regular Recent Draws
- Newcastle Score and Concede a Lot
- Sunderland See Plenty of Away Goals
- Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News
Key Stats - Newcastle Are BTTS Regulars
- Newcastle have seen BTTS in 6 consecutive home games.
- Newcastle have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 3 EPL home matches.
- Sunderland have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 away EPL games.
| 2025/26 Premier League | Newcastle | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Current Position | 9th | 13th |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored (pg) | 43 (1.43) | 30 (1.00) |
| Goals Conceded (pg) | 43 (1.43) | 35 (1.17) |
H2H
Newcastle and Sunderland have won 54 matches each and drawn 49 in 157 meetings.
Newcastle Score and Concede a Lot
Newcastle have seen 52 total goals at St James’ Park in the 2025/26 Premier League. BTTS has occurred in 11 of Newcastle's 15 home league games.
The Magpies saw BTTS in 11 consecutive matches from January to March, scoring 25 and conceding 26.
Eddie Howe’s side ended that streak with a 1-0 victory at Chelsea. Newcastle faced 22 shots, had 1.41-1.38 XG and Anthony Gordon scored the winner after 18 minutes.
The Toon were high-scoring again on Tuesday after a heavy 7-2 Champions League loss at Barcelona. Anthony Elanga equalised twice in the first half, Newcastle conceded a third before half time and let in four in the second period.
Sunderland See Plenty of Away Goals
Sunderland have struggled for away form in the Premier League this season. The Wearside team are winless in 12 of their 15 away league games and have conceded 21 goals.
The Black Cats were on a nine-match winless run on the road and conceded at least once in eight of those games.
Sunderland hit back from that run with a 1-0 victory at Leeds, where they faced 18 shots and allowed 1.15 XG. Regis Le Bris’ side then fell to a shock 1-0 defeat at Port Vale in the FA Cup.
Another defeat followed as the Black Cats lost 1-0 at home to Brighton in the Premier League. Sunderland were outplayed with 0.89-1.68 XG and conceded the winner on 58 minutes.
Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News
Newcastle (4-3-3): Aaron Ramsdale; Valentino Livramento, Malick Thiaw, Dan Burn, Lewis Hall; Joe Willock, Joelinton, Jacob Ramsey; Anthony Elanga, Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes
Centre-back Emil Krafth is out for the season with a knee issue. Midfielders Bruno Guimaraes and Lewis Miley and defender Fabian Schar are unavailable until after the international break.
Sandro Tonali is an injury doubut for the Sunderland clash. Eddie Howe explained that he would decide on the midfielder’s availability before Sunday and said, "We will wait and see (on Tonali). It is maybe not as bad as first feared as he was coming off the pitch.
"We will see how he is today and then make a decision closer to the game.”
Sunderland (4-1-4-1): Melker Ellborg; Lutsharel Geertruida, Reinildo Mandava, Omar Alderete, Trai Hume; Granit Xhaka; Chris Rigg, Habib Diarra, Noah Sadiki, Chemsdine Talbi; Brian Brobbey
Defender Daniel Ballard and striker Wilson Isidor are injury doubts. Attackers Jocelin Ta Bi, Romaine Mundle, Bertrand Traore and Nilson Angulo are ruled out due to injury.
Defender Reinildo Mandava, goalkeeper Robin Roefs and attacking pair Nordi Mukiele and Enzo Le Fee missed the Brighton game. The Sunderland quartet are in contention to return to the squad for the Newcastle trip.
Verdict
Newcastle have struggled defensively at home in the 2025/26 campaign. Sunderland are leaky on the road and BTTS and over 2.5 goals have good value in the Premier League.
BTTS Yes
BTTS
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