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Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United A-League Betting Tips - Reds value for an upset

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Fri 10 Apr 2026 19:26
The upcoming A-League clash features Newcastle Jets facing off against Adelaide United. Despite being the underdogs, Adelaide have shown impressive form, going unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 games and ranking third on the table. Newcastle, although leading the league, have lost two of their last three games. With both teams having a trend of games under 3.5 goals, Adelaide are tipped to cause an upset and secure a victory with the prediction of a low-scoring match.
Andrew Hendrie 10 Apr 2026
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  • Jets have lost 2 of their last 3 games; A-League leaders face Adelaide.
  • Adelaide United, unbeaten in 11 of last 12, shows strong form.
  • Under 3.5 goals likely, with Adelaide poised for an upset.
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Jets Adelaide A-League Men
Jets host Adelaide on Saturday (Photo by Getty Images)


Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United Preview


Top of the A-League's top three meet in a game this is tipped to follow a recent trend and stay under 3.5 goals. Adelaide United are overpriced as the outsiders and a chance is taken on the Reds.
  • Jets have lost 2 of their last 3 games
  • Adelaide are unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 games
  • Under 3.5 goals has landed in 5 of the Jets' last 6 games
  • Under 3.5 goals has landed in 4 of Adelaide's last 5 games

Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United Head To Head

Adelaide have won four of the last six A-League meetings, but the Jets have prevailed in the last two - including a 3-2 triumph at Coopers back in Round 16.

Newcastle Jets Still Top Despite A Blip

Newcastle remain on top of the table, registering a 14-1-8 record heading into Round 24.

It's been a brilliant season for the Jets, but they will want to regain their top form ahead of the finals after dropping two of their last three games.

Mark Milligan's side twice came from behind to level against Macarthur through a brace from Xavier Bertoncello, but couldn't do it a third time as they succumbed 3-2 at Campbelltown.

Fortunately for the Jets, the other two sides closest in the title race - Auckland and Victory - failed to pick up maximum points, meaning they still enjoy a three-point buffer.

Adelaide United Up To Third Spot

Adelaide come into this contest with a 10-6-7 record on the season and have moved up to third spot on the ladder, four points adrift of Auckland in second spot.

With Auckland facing fourth-placed Melbourne Victory this weekend, it means there's potential for each team to make major moves and shape the title race.

The Reds are low-key one of the form teams in the competition, going unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 games - although they have drawn four of their last five.

One of those draws came last week, with Adelaide holding Auckland to a 1-1 share of the spoils at Coopers. Ethan Alagich gave Adelaide the lead before the side conceded early in the second half.

Verdict

I'm backing the upset here with Adelaide to secure all three points on the road, with Under 3.5 total goals as the best bet.

Best Bet1: Under 3.5 Total Goals @50/49 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Adelaide Win Full-Time Result @11/5 at bet365 - 2 Units
Under 3.5
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