Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Betting Tips - NHL Predictions and Best Bets
Tampa Bay Lightning, fresh off a convincing win over Vegas, travel to face Colorado Avalanche on Friday, 23 October. The article backs Tampa Bay to continue their strong form and secure an away win, highlighting Nikita Kucherov as an anytime goalscorer and suggesting Nathan MacKinnon as a longshot for 3+ points. Despite Colorado’s attacking prowess, their recent defensive inconsistencies make Tampa Bay the preferred pick. Overall, the main recommendation is to back Tampa Bay on the moneyline, with Kucherov to score and MacKinnon’s points prop as value options.
- Tampa Bay Lightning are predicted to win against Colorado, despite being underdogs.
- Nikita Kucherov is backed as an anytime goalscorer, with strong recent performances.
- Nathan MacKinnon is suggested as a value longshot to record 3+ points.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Predictions & Tips
Colorado Avalanche host Tampa Bay Lightning on Friday, 23 October, with the visitors looking to extend their three-game winning streak.
- Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Predictions & Tips
- Key Stats
- Head to Head
- Tampa Bay Lightning Form
- Colorado Avalanche Form
Our main bet is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, while we're also backing Nikita Kucherov anytime goalscorer and taking a bigger-priced shot on Nathan MacKinnon to record 3+ points.
Tampa Bay have won seven of their opening nine games and arrive in Denver following an impressive 6-2 victory over Vegas. The Lightning have been strong defensively, conceding just 2.56 goals per game and allowing an average of only 24.2 shots.
Colorado have been more productive offensively, averaging 4.1 goals per game, but have struggled for consistency at the other end. With the Avalanche losing their last two games, we're backing Tampa Bay to take advantage at an attractive price.
Key Stats
- Tampa Bay have won seven of nine games, including their last three, while Colorado have lost two straight.
- The Lightning are allowing just 24.2 shots per game, compared with 29.8 shots generated.
- Nikita Kucherov has scored three goals in his last two games, collecting five points across those appearances.
Head to Head
The teams split last season's series, Colorado winning 3-2 at home and Tampa Bay winning 4-2 at home. Kucherov has 25 career points against the Avalanche.
Tampa Bay Lightning Form
Tampa Bay have made an impressive start to the season, winning seven of nine games while averaging 3.44 goals scored and 2.56 conceded.
Their latest victory was a convincing 6-2 win over Vegas, with Andrei Vasilevskiy making 32 saves. Nikita Kucherov has been central to their success, recording 13 points in nine games, including three goals across his last two appearances.
The Lightning's power play has been less convincing, operating at just 12.9%, but their performances at even strength have helped compensate.
Colorado Avalanche Form
Colorado have won five of their opening 10 games, with another defeat coming beyond regulation, and enter Friday's matchup following consecutive losses to Philadelphia and New Jersey.
The Avalanche remain one of the NHL's strongest attacking teams, averaging 4.1 goals per game, although they're also conceding 3.1.
Nathan MacKinnon has recorded 16 points this season but has been held scoreless in his last two appearances. He previously responded to a similar two-game drought during last season's playoffs with two goals and an assist in his next outing, making MacKinnon 3+ points an interesting outsider selection.
Verdict
The market still has Tampa Bay as the underdog despite their superior record. Give me the Lightning on the moneyline, and Kucherov to score for a third straight game. The MacKinnon prop is a longshot with value.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Moneyline
@10/9 - 2 Units
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N Kucherov
Anytime Goalscorer
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N MacKinnon 3+
Points
@33/10 - 1 Unit
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Ryan is an Australian sports content writer, producing insights and analysis for NRL, AFL and Basketball. He is also our YouTube host and presenter, can be found on Bets.com.au and is also a co-founder of The Sport Cap and The Basketball Fix.
From humble beginnings in Western Sydney growing up playing and refereeing Rugby League to running European wide Australian Rules Football tournaments there is a mountain of experience in between.
Multiple trips to North America has also deepened the love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.
Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for NRL.
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