Summer 2026 Transfer Odds - 24 Players, From Salah to Vlahovic
bet365 has published destination odds for 24 of the summer 2026 transfer window’s biggest football names. The market highlights firm favorites to stay (Rodri at Man City, Alvarez at Atletico), and strong prices for likely moves (Rogers to Arsenal, Enzo Fernandez to Real Madrid). Value bets exist for surprise destination switches, with Martinelli to Saudi Arabia, Salah to MLS, and Ake to Bournemouth. Most markets focus on Premier League and major European clubs, with deadline-day twists possible. Punters should act early, especially with Saudi moves often clinched in July.
- bet365 posts odds for 24 major 2026 summer transfer targets.
- Stay-put favorites: Rodri (Man City) & Alvarez (Atletico); likely moves: Rogers (Arsenal), Enzo Fernandez (Real Madrid).
- Best value: Martinelli to Saudi, Salah to MLS, Ake to Bournemouth.
bet365 has priced up the destinations for 24 of the summer 2026 window's biggest names. Stay-put favourites dominate the board, but Rodri, Julian Alvarez and Mohamed Salah carry the standout prices.
The summer 2026 window is open and bet365 has pushed out destination markets for 24 of the most talked-about names on the move.
The firmest moves priced are Morgan Rogers to Arsenal at 8/13, Mateus Fernandes to Man United at 4/7, Enzo Fernandez to Real Madrid at 1/2, Alex Grimaldo to Atletico Madrid at 1/2, and Yan Diomande to Liverpool at 1/3.
The firmest odds to stay at current clubs are Rodri to remain at Manchester City at 1/5 and Julian Alvarez to remain at Atletico Madrid at 4/7.
The standout prices for value hunters are Gabriel Martinelli to "Any Saudi Arabian Team" at 5/2, Mo Salah to "Any MLS Team" at 7/1, and Nathan Ake to Bournemouth at 4/1.
Each market settles on the player's club as of 01/09/2026, so a deadline-day twist still pays. Odds were taken at 10:00 on 19/06/2026 and are reproduced below alongside the context behind each price.
How These Markets Settle
bet365's player-destination markets pay out on the club a player is registered with at 1st September, the day after the European summer window closes.
Loans count, free transfers count, and a return to the previous club after a stalled move also counts. Saudi Pro League moves typically clear earlier in the window, so prices on Al Ittihad, Al Hilal Riyadh and "Any Saudi Arabian Team" specials tend to shorten in late July rather than late August.
Premier League Stay-or-Go Markets
The Premier League dominates this round of pricing, with several players carrying short prices to remain at their current club.
Adam Wharton
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 7/4 |
| Liverpool | 15/8 |
| Chelsea | 6/1 |
| Tottenham | 10/1 |
| Man City | 11/1 |
Wharton is the headline Premier League midfielder of the window after a strong second season at Crystal Palace and a regular England call-up. Palace head the market at 7/4, but Liverpool are within a point at 15/8 and have been credited with the most concrete contact. Chelsea at 6/1 reflects a quieter watching brief.
Morgan Rogers
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Arsenal | 8/13 |
| Aston Villa | 4/1 |
| Man United | 7/1 |
| Chelsea | 10/1 |
| Man City | 14/1 |
Rogers is the shortest favourite on the board to move clubs. Arsenal at 8/13 is the strongest price on any switch in the entire market and points to a deal that bet365 expects to land. Aston Villa at 4/1 covers the scenario in which Villa hold out for a higher fee and hold onto their man.
Mateus Fernandes
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Man United | 4/7 |
| Tottenham | 4/1 |
| Real Madrid | 6/1 |
| PSG | 6/1 |
| West Ham | 12/1 |
Fernandes had a breakout campaign at West Ham, despite suffering relegation, and Man United at 4/7 suggests the deal is effectively agreed. West Ham at 12/1 to keep him is the longest stay-put price in this whole market.
Jarrod Bowen
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| West Ham | 1/1 |
| Chelsea | 5/1 |
| Aston Villa | 5/1 |
| Newcastle | 6/1 |
| Man United | 10/1 |
Bowen is evens to remain at West Ham and play in the Championship next season, with Chelsea, Villa and Newcastle the most credible movers. The Hammers losing both Fernandes and Bowen in the same window would test the rebuild, and the market is pricing the stay at evens.
Crysencio Summerville
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Man United | 1/1 |
| Tottenham | 8/1 |
| West Ham | 8/1 |
| Roma | 8/1 |
| PSG | 10/1 |
Summerville endured a mixed first season at West Ham and bet365 has Man United at evens to land the Dutchman. Tottenham and Roma are bunched at 8/1 with current club the Hammers.
Marcus Rashford
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Man United | 2/1 |
| Barcelona | 5/1 |
| Bayern Munich | 6/1 |
| Newcastle | 7/1 |
| Real Madrid | 7/1 |
Rashford returns to Old Trafford from a Barcelona loan that ran hot and cold. Man United at 2/1 to retain him is the favourite, but four genuine alternatives at single-figure prices make this one of the more open markets.
Junior Kroupi
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 11/10 |
| PSG | 6/4 |
| Arsenal | 13/2 |
| Liverpool | 12/1 |
| Chelsea | 16/1 |
The French teenager joined Bournemouth from Lorient last summer and the Cherries are 11/10 to keep him despite a lot of interest. PSG at 6/4 makes this effectively a two-horse race, with Arsenal the only other club inside double figures.
Harry Wilson
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Leeds | 2/1 |
| Aston Villa | 9/4 |
| Everton | 6/1 |
| Fulham | 9/2 |
| Benfica | 7/1 |
Wilson's Fulham contract situation has him as one of the more mobile players on the board. Leeds head the market at 2/1, with Villa close behind at 9/4 and Fulham priced at 9/2 to agree new terms.
The Manchester City Block
Three current Manchester City players are among the major transfer rumours, with two priced firmly to stay at the Etihad.
Rodri
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Man City | 1/5 |
| Real Madrid | 10/3 |
The shortest price in the entire market belongs to Rodri at 1/5 to remain at Manchester City. Real Madrid at 10/3 is the only alternative bet365 has priced, which tells its own story about how seriously every other suitor is being treated.
Nathan Ake
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Man City | 7/2 |
| Bournemouth | 4/1 |
| Fenerbahce | 4/1 |
| Everton | 8/1 |
| Leeds | 10/1 |
Ake is the surprise mover. Man City at 7/2 to keep him reads as a market expecting an exit, with Bournemouth and Fenerbahce both 4/1 to land the defender. A return to the Vitality at 4/1 is the headline angle.
John Stones
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 1/1 |
| Everton | 5/2 |
| AC Milan | 7/2 |
| Bournemouth | 12/1 |
| Juventus | 12/1 |
Stones at evens to join Bayern Munich is one of the firmer prices presently. Everton at 5/2 to bring him back to the club reflects strong reporting on a sentimental return.
The Arsenal Watch
Premier League champions Arsenal feature on both sides of the market - chasing Morgan Rogers and Ayyoub Bouaddi, while trying to retain the services of Gabriel Martinelli and Gabriel Jesus.
Gabriel Martinelli
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Arsenal | 13/8 |
| Any Saudi Arabian Team | 5/2 |
| Bayern Munich | 5/1 |
| Atletico Madrid | 6/1 |
| PSG | 10/1 |
Martinelli to stay at Arsenal is only 13/8, with "Any Saudi Arabian Team" at 5/2 priced unusually short. That combined price implies Arsenal are seriously considering a Saudi offer rather than holding firm.
Gabriel Jesus
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Juventus | 3/1 |
| AC Milan | 4/1 |
| Palmeiras | 5/1 |
| Arsenal | 6/1 |
| Everton | 8/1 |
Jesus's Arsenal exit is taken as read. Juventus at 3/1 lead a wide-open Italian race, with a Palmeiras homecoming at 5/1 the romantic outsider.
Liverpool's Two Markets
Darwin Nunez
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Liverpool | 5/2 |
| Barcelona | 6/1 |
| Chelsea | 9/1 |
| Al Hilal Riyadh | 10/1 |
| Juventus | 11/1 |
Nunez at 5/2 to stay at Liverpool is the shortest "stay" price among the five listed options but does not equate to him being at Anfield next season. Barcelona at 6/1 is the headline alternative.
Mohamed Salah
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Fenerbahce | 11/5 |
| Al Ittihad | 3/1 |
| Al Hilal Riyadh | 4/1 |
| Any MLS Team | 7/1 |
| Roma | 8/1 |
The Salah market is the standout of the window. He is leaving Liverpool, but where is he headed? Fenerbahce are favourites at 11/5 ahead of Al Ittihad at 3/1 and Al Hilal Riyadh at 4/1. The "Any MLS Team" line at 7/1 is the value play for those expecting an Inter Miami or LAFC move.
Yan Diomande
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Liverpool | 1/3 |
Diomande's market opens at 1/3 to join Liverpool. The Spanish-born Ivorian winger has been on the Liverpool shortlist all spring.
The Real Madrid Pull
Enzo Fernandez
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 1/2 |
| Chelsea | 2/1 |
| Man City | 10/1 |
| Man United | 25/1 |
| Liverpool | 25/1 |
Ayyoub Bouaddi
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 5/4 |
| Arsenal | 11/4 |
| Lille | 6/1 |
| PSG | 9/1 |
| Liverpool | 10/1 |
The Lille teenager is one of the most contested signings of the window. Real Madrid head it at 5/4, Arsenal are 11/4 and Lille at 6/1 to retain him is the longest of the three home prices in this set.
The Atletico Madrid Targets
Julian Alvarez
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 4/7 |
| Barcelona | 11/4 |
| Arsenal | 5/1 |
| Real Madrid | 8/1 |
| Bayern Munich | 33/1 |
Alvarez at 4/7 to stay at Atletico Madrid is the firm stay-put favourite. Barcelona at 11/4 is the only credible alternative, with the Real Madrid line at 8/1 the eye-catcher for derby drama.
Alex Grimaldo
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 1/2 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 4/1 |
| Chelsea | 10/1 |
| Barcelona | 12/1 |
| Sevilla | 16/1 |
Grimaldo's path to Atletico Madrid is priced at 1/2 - one of the four shortest prices in the entire market. Leverkusen at 4/1 covers a late breakdown.
Dusan Vlahovic
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 7/4 |
| Juventus | 5/2 |
| Fenerbahce | 7/1 |
| Chelsea | 9/1 |
| Tottenham | 10/1 |
Atletico Madrid lead the Vlahovic market at 7/4 ahead of a Juventus stay at 5/2. Fenerbahce at 7/1 is the Turkish twist.
Tottenham and the Tonali Move
Sandro Tonali
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Tottenham | 8/11 |
| Man City | 7/4 |
| Newcastle | 9/1 |
| Arsenal | 16/1 |
| Man United | 25/1 |
Tottenham at 8/11 to land Tonali is one of the shortest "move to" prices in this window. Newcastle at 9/1 to keep him is the longest current-club price.
The Departures
Rafael Leao
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Man United | 11/4 |
| AC Milan | 7/2 |
| Galatasaray | 5/1 |
| Chelsea | 6/1 |
| Arsenal | 7/1 |
Leao's AC Milan future is priced at 7/2 to continue. Man United head the market at 11/4 and Galatasaray at 5/1 lead a busy Turkish chase.
Jadon Sancho
| Club | Odds |
|---|---|
| Besiktas | 4/1 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 9/2 |
| Galatasaray | 5/1 |
| Roma | 5/1 |
| Fenerbahce | 6/1 |
Sancho's market is the most open on the board, with five clubs inside 6/1 and current club Manchester United not listed at all. Besiktas head it at 4/1, with the Dortmund return at 9/2 the most-discussed angle.
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