Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Betting Tips – Falcons To Cover As Monday NFL Underdogs

Leigh Copson

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Last updated: Tue 29 Sep 2026 13:10

Leigh Copson 1 hour ago

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Falcons expected to cover as road underdogs vs Saints
Key players: Michael Penix Jr. boosts offense, Bijan Robinson excels
Saints struggling with run defense and just 1-2 on season

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Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Betting Tips

Key Numbers – Can Falcons Register Back-To-Back Road Covers?
Falcons Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Won Last Meeting
Atlanta Falcons Aim To Follow Up First Win
New Orleans Saints 1-2 After Home Loss To Las Vegas

Atlanta are tipped to cover as a road underdog in this big NFC South matchup on Monday.

The return of Michael Penix Jr gave this Falcons offense a serious shot in the arm last week, and this unit can enjoy more success against a struggling Saints defense, ensuring the cover.

Key Numbers – Can Falcons Register Back-To-Back Road Covers?

Atlanta Falcons upset Green Bay on the road last week
New Orleans Saints failed to cover and lost their home opener
The Under has hit in 2 of Atlanta’s 3 games so far
The Under has cashed in each of the last 3 meetings

Falcons Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Won Last Meeting

Atlanta Falcons lead the all-time series 58-56
Atlanta Falcons won 19-17 when the two teams last met in January 2026

Atlanta Falcons Aim To Follow Up First Win

Atlanta head out on the road for the second week in a row looking to back up their first win of the 2026 season.

The Falcons opened up the campaign with a trip to Pittsburgh, where they suffered a 20-13 defeat at the hands of the Steelers.

Their home opener then proved to be a dud, as they suffered an embarrassing 34-3 defeat to division rivals Carolina.

Atlanta finally got off the mark in Week 3 though, and they did it in shocking fashion as they knocked off the Packers in Green Bay, 35-14.

Michael Penix Jr went 18/25 for 256 yards, one touchdown and one interception, but it was Bijan Robinson who stole the show with 213 total yards and two touchdowns.

New Orleans Saints 1-2 After Home Loss To Las Vegas

New Orleans go into this matchup having dropped their home opener last time out to fall to 1-2.

The Saints kicked off the season with a visit to Detroit, and came up just short at Ford Field as they lost 31-30 in overtime to the Lions.

They rebounded a week later in Baltimore, upsetting the Ravens 24-17, but failed to follow that up in their first home game.

New Orleans first outing at the Superdome ended in a 35-27 defeat at the hands of Las Vegas.

Tyler Shough went 29/42 for 255 yards, four touchdowns and an interception, with Chris Olave turning his nine receptions into 107 yards.

Verdict

ATL Falcons @ NO Saints

New Orleans’ run defense ranks among the worst in the league, and now it comes face-to-face with Bijan Robinson, who ran riot at Lambeau Field.

Atlanta can lean on Robinson on Monday night to ensure – at worst – they cover the number.

Atlanta +2.5

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US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.

During his career at the Press Association and online sports sites including FreeTips and ExpertPicks.com, he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final.

He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.

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