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Italy vs England Betting Tips - Italy can surprise England in Six Nations clash

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: Fri 06 Mar 2026 21:56
The upcoming Six Nations match between Italy and England is set to be an exciting clash, with Italy showing strong form at home and England looking to bounce back from recent setbacks. Despite a 32-0 historical lead in head-to-head matches, England's confidence is shaken following unexpected losses to Scotland and Ireland. Meanwhile, Italy has been steadily improving, displaying resilience in challenging circumstances. As both teams enter the match, England aims to prove they are still contenders, while Italy seeks to capitalize on their recent growth.
Ralph Staniforth 06 Mar 2026
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  • Italy shows improvement with key victories and performances in Six Nations 2026.
  • England's form is shaky after consecutive losses, holding a historical 32-0 lead over Italy.
  • Both teams seek redemption in an eagerly anticipated clash.
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Italy six nations rugby
Italy backed to get close against England (Getty Images)

Italy are a very dangerous side, especially at home and England are low on confidence after successive defeats, which puts them out of the title race.

Key Stats - England have Never Lost to Italy


  • Italy have lost their last 2 matches.
  • Italy have won 3 of their last 4 home matches.
  • England have lost their last 2 matches.
  • England have won 12 of their last 14 matches.
  • England have won their last 32 matches against Italy.

32-0 Lead for England


England have been utterly dominant in this fixture, winning all 32 previous matches.

Positive Signs for Italy in 2026


Italy are once again showing in the 2026 Six Nations that they are a threat to the bigger sides in the game. Their improvement has been superb over the last five years.

In the Six Nations, Italy are fifth with five points having won one of their three matches. However, that doesn’t tell the full tale.

In round one, on a very wet and windy afternoon, Italy scraped past Scotland 18-15 at home. Round two they performed superbly in Dublin, having a try chalked off that could have taken them level in a 20-13 loss.

A fortnight ago, Italy went down 33-8 against a very good French side away from home. For large parts of the game, Italy were in the fight but in the end, raw French power saw Italy fall short.

England Looking to Bounce back After Woeful Fortnight


England have been the biggest disappointment of the 2026 Six Nations to date and regardless of the last two rounds, it is likely to remain that way.

Currently, England hold fourth place with one win and two defeats, and they are six points off Scotland in third place. After a strong 48-7 home win over Wales in the first round, England were on a 12-match winning streak.

That came to a crushing end at Murrayfield in round two where Scotland produced a stunning display in the Calcutta Cup, winning 31-20. That was a setback, but what followed in round three is hard to explain. Ireland, who were struggling for form, went to Twickenham to win 42-21 and humiliate the hosts who were being talked about as 2027 World Cup contenders just two weeks prior.

Italy vs England Starting Lineups & Squads


Italy: 15 Lorenzo Pani, 14 Louis Lynagh, 13 Juan Ignacio Brex, 12 Tommaso Menoncello, 11 Monty Ioane, 10 Paolo Garbisi, 9 Alessandro Garbisi, 8 Lorenzo Cannone, 7 Manuel Zuliani, 6 Michele Lamaro (captain), 5 Andrea Zambonin,4 Niccolò Cannone, 3 Simone Ferrari, 2 Giacomo Nicotera, 1 Danilo Fischetti, caps

Replacements: 16 Tommaso Di Bartolomeo, 17 Mirco Spagnolo, 18 Muhamed Hasa, 19 Federico Ruzza,20 Riccardo Favretto, 21 Alessandro Fusco, 22 Leonardo Marin, 23 Tommaso Allan

England: 15 Elliot Daly, 14 Tommy Roebuck, 13 Tommy Freeman, 12 Seb Atkinson, 11 Cadan Murley, 10 Fin Smith, 9 Ben Spencer, 8 Ben Earl, 7 Tom Curry, 6 Guy Pepper, 5 Alex Coles, 4 Maro Itoje (captain), 3 Joe Heyes, 2 Jamie Georgie, 1 Ellis Genge

Replacements: 16 Luke Cowan-Dickie, 17 Bevan Rodd, 18 Trevor Davison, 19 Ollie Chessum, 20 Sam Underhill, 21 Henry Pollock, 22 Jack van Poortvliet, 23 Marcus Smith

Verdict

Italy are tipped to get withing 8.5 points of England in this Six Nations encounter.

Best Bet1: Italy +8.5 Handicap @10/11 at Hollywood bets - 5 Units
Italy +8.5
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