2026 MLB Home Run Derby Betting Tips – Caminero To Claim Home Run Derby Crown
Junior Caminero is the top pick to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby following an impressive season with the Tampa Bay Rays. Having hit 28 home runs—third-most among the field—Caminero is looking to improve on his runner-up finish from last year. The eight-man line-up features stars from several teams and is led in betting odds by Kyle Schwarber (4.35), with Caminero next at 5.55. The tournament uses a swing-based elimination bracket, with Caminero expected to go one better than his 2025 result.
- Junior Caminero favoured to win 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (odds: 5.55)
- He has hit 28 home runs this season—3rd most among entrants
- Eight participants will compete in a format featuring 20 swings in Round 1 and bracket-style semi-finals
Junior Caminero is tipped to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby.
Caminero came up just short a year ago, but he has upped his game over the past 12 months and has been stacking up home runs through the first few months of the season.
Key Numbers – Can Caminero Better 2025 Runner-Up Result?
- Junior Caminero has hit 28 home runs this season
- Junior Caminero’s 28 home runs rank third in the Home Run Derby line-up
- Junior Caminero has hit 13 home runs across his last 20 games
- Junior Caminero finished runner-up last year
2026 MLB Home Run Derby Line-up
| Player | Team |
|---|---|
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Munetaka Murakami | Chicago White Sox |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Jordan Walker | St Louis Cardinals |
2026 MLB Home Run Derby Odds
| Odds | Player | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 4.35 | Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 5.55 | Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 6.0 | Munetaka Murakami | Chicago White Sox |
| 8.0 | Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals |
| 8.5 | Jordan Walker | St Louis Cardinals |
| 9.5 | Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies |
| 10.0 | Ben Rice | New York Yankees |
| 14.0 | Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox |
2026 MLB Home Run Derby Format
Round 1
The eight contestants compete against each other – each receiving 20 swings – with the top four advancing to the semi-finals. In the evet of a tie, the player with the longest home run during the round advances.
Semi-Finals
The four players are seeded into a bracket, with seed one facing seed four and seed two taking on see three, and the two winning seeds advance. Each player has 15 swings, and in the event of a tie, there will be a 60-second swing-off.
Final
Each player will be given 15 swings to hit as many home runs as they can, with whoever hits the most winning. In the event of a tie, there will be a 60-second swing-off.
Verdict
Junior Caminero lost in the final a year ago, and we are backing him to go one better.
Caminero has cooled off a little since his sensational run between late June and early July, but he is still a man in form and is one of the home run leaders in this line-up.
Caminero has cooled off a little since his sensational run between late June and early July, but he is still a man in form and is one of the home run leaders in this line-up.
Junior Caminero
Winner
@50/11 - 3 Units
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