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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Betting Tips – Braves To Bounce Back In MLB

leigh-copson
Editor
Last updated: Mon 06 Jul 2026 09:15
The Atlanta Braves are tipped to clinch the series against the New York Mets after lighting up Mets pitchers in previous games. Despite both teams having patchy recent form, Atlanta's offense has been potent, averaging 9.3 runs per game in the series. With Reynaldo Lopez starting—who has allowed only 2 earned runs over his last 14 innings—the Braves hold a clear pitching edge. The recommendation is a home win for Atlanta to close out the series, as their hitting and pitching matchups look favorable.
Leigh Copson 06 Jul 2026
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  • Braves expected to rebound and secure series win against Mets
  • Atlanta's offense has averaged 9.3 runs per game this series
  • Reynaldo Lopez provides Braves with a significant pitching edge
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(Getty Images)

Atlanta are tipped to rebound from last night’s loss to wrap up this series with a win.

The Braves have lit up the Mets pitchers throughout this series, despite Sunday’s defeat, and they also have the pitching edge in this one with Reynaldo Lopez getting the start.

Key Numbers – Can Braves Go 3-1 In This Series?

  • Atlanta Braves won 2 of the first 3 games in this series
  • Atlanta Braves are averaging 9.3 runs per game in this series
  • Atlanta starter Reynaldo Lopez has allowed just 2 earned in his last 14 innings
  • The Over cashed in the previous 2 meetings

Braves Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Won Last Meeting

  • Atlanta Braves lead the all-time series 527-433-1
  • New York Mets won 10-9 when the two teams last met on July 5

New York Mets Form – Last 10 Games

New York enter the final game of this series on the back of a win, but in poor form with just three victories in their last 10 games.

DateOppositionW/LScore
Jun-25 vs Chicago Cubs L 3-4
Jun-26 vs Philadelphia Phillies L 1-2
Jun-27 vs Philadelphia Phillies W 6-2
Jun-28 vs Philadelphia Phillies L 4-5
Jun-29 at Toronto Blue Jays L 1-2
Jun-30 at Toronto Blue Jays W 3-0
Jul-01 at Toronto Blue Jays L 3-9
Jul-03 at Atlanta Braves L 3-5
Jul-04 at Atlanta Braves L 3-14
Jul-05 at Atlanta Braves W 10-9

Atlanta Braves Form – Last 10 Games

Atlanta enter this series finale in underwhelming form, having just suffered their sixth defeat in their last 10 games.

DateOppositionW/LScore
Jun-24 at San Diego Padres L 2-5
Jun-26 at San Francisco Giants W 3-1
Jun-27 at San Francisco Giants L 0-5
Jun-28 at San Francisco Giants L 2-3
Jun-30 vs St Louis Cardinals L 3-5
Jul-01 vs St Louis Cardinals W 5-1
Jul-02 vs St Louis Cardinals L 5-11
Jul-03 vs New York Mets W 5-3
Jul-04 vs New York Mets W 14-3
Jul-05 vs New York Mets L 9-10

Starting Pitchers

PlayerTeamRecordERAStrikeoutsInnings
Freddy Peralta New York Mets 5-7 4.81 92 95.1
Reynaldo Lopez Atlanta Braves 4-1 3.31 46 51.2

Verdict

Neither team is in great form, but one thing consistently delivering in this series is this Braves offense.

Atlanta have had few issues stacking up runs, and with Lopez getting the start we should see a better pitching performance than the one we saw last night, resulting in a home win.

Best Bet1: Atlanta Win Moneyline @8/11 at Hollywood bets - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Over 8.5 Total Runs @19/25 at bet365 - 2 Units
Atlanta Win
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leigh-copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

During his career he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final. He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.


Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack.

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