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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings NBL Betting Tips - Points to flow in key game

jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke
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Last updated: Fri 06 Feb 2026 10:40
In the anticipation of the South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings matchup, Phoenix is looking to extend their winning streak against Sydney, having won both encounters this season. Phoenix’s impressive offensive form, especially from the 3-point line, and their strong bench performance are key factors. Meanwhile, the Sydney Kings, coming off a week's rest, will rely on their offensive prowess led by MVP hopeful Kendric Davis. Despite their seven-game win streak, Sydney has shown defensive vulnerabilities. Phoenix is tipped to cover the small line, and over 193.5 game points are expected.
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Jeremy Darke 06 Feb 2026
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  • South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 20 NBL matchup
  • Phoenix has won both matches against Sydney this season
  • Kendric Davis and Nathan Sobey are key players to watch for scoring
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phoenix kings nbl
Sydney Kings and South East Melbourne Phoenix to see plenty of points (Getty Images)

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings Preview


It's a top of the table battle and Phoenix are backed to take the point. South East Melbourne can complete the sweep over Sydney this season by covering a small line, while the points can flow at John Cain Arean.

  • S.E.M have beaten Sydney in both matches this season.
  • The last 4 matches between S.E.M and Sydney have gone over the game total of 193.5 points.
  • 9 of the last 10 S.E.M matches have gone over 193.5 points, while the latest 4 Sydney matches have also gone over. 
  • Both Nathan Sobey and Kendric Davis have scored 25+ points in each of their head-to-head matches this season.

South East Melbourne Phoenix Clinical At Right Time


After a slow start against New Zealand the Phoenix turned it on in the second half doubling the scoring efficiency of the Breakers 62-31 after the main break. 

It was once again another clinical three-point night for S.E.M hitting at 35.1% from the perimeter, with both Nathan Sobey (21 points) and Ian Clark 23 points) finding their range for 3 threes and 20+ points for the night.

DJ Mitchell also had one of his better games of the season off the bench, playing 17:20 minutes and dropping 12 points along with 7 rebounds. Mitchell performance once again shows just how deep the Phoenix lineup is outsourcing the Breakers pine 62-32.

The Phoenix bench averages 33.5 points per game, the most of any team in the NBL while also having a +8.5 differential.

Sydney Kings Back From A Week Off


The Kings have had a week off since their 106-92 victory over Cairns last Sunday. 

Despite the eventual 14-point margin it took until the fourth quarter for Sydney to shake the Taipans, down by four heading into the final term of the match after letting Cairns get out to a 17-point lead after the first quarter.

Kendric Davis made his claim once again as the league’s MVP having a complete game against the Taipans with 35 points, 7 rebounds, 6 assists and a steal with just 1 turnover. The NBA hopeful has now averaged 27.16 points over his last 6 matches with a career-high of 40 points against Tasmania. 

The Kings have now won 7 straight matches, but the concern for Brian Gorjian is they have been relying heavily on their offence, giving up 100+ points to their opposition in their last 3 matches. 

Verdict

Both Kendric Davis and Nathan Sobey are backed to score 25+ points with the game total going over 193.5 points. I'm also tipping Phoenix to sneak away with victory.

Best Bet1: S.E Melbourne -1.5 Handicap/Line @10/11 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 193.5 Game Total @10/11 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Kendric Davis 25+ Points @7/8 at Star Sports - 3 Units
Best Bet4: Nathan Sobey 25+ Points @17/10 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
S.E Melbourne -1.5
Handicap/Line
@10/11 - 2 Units
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

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Bet at Hollywood bets
Over 193.5
Game Total
@10/11 - 2 Units
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Bet at bet365
Kendric Davis
25+ Points
@7/8 - 3 Units
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Bet at Star Sports
Nathan Sobey
25+ Points
@17/10 - 1 Unit
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

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