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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers Betting Tips - Phoenix backed for NBL Ignite Cup success

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Mon 08 Dec 2025 17:00

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Jeremy Darke 08 Dec 2025

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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers expert predictions for Wednesday’s Round 12 NBL matchup
Phoenix to cover a 3.5-point alternative handicap
Key players: Sobey & Hamilton for 20+ points; Brown for 5+ rebounds

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Nathan Sobey of the Phoenix (Getty Images)

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL Preview
South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News
Tasmania JackJumpers Form & Team News

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL Preview

South East Melbourne have been given a 6.5 point line to cover, but I am going to bring it down to 3.5 and back them on the alternative handicap. Nathan Sobey, John Brown and Bryce Hamilton should be focused on in the player props markets.

The Phoenix won their only game at Gippsland Regional Sports Stadium in NBL25 (vs. Brisbane 105-86).
Bryce Hamilton has had 20+ points in 5 of his last 8 games.
Nathan Sobey has had 20+ points in 7 of his last 10 games.
John Brown has had 5+ rebounds in 7 of his last 8 games.

South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News

Mixed results for the Phoenix in Round 11, going down cheaply to the Hawks 113-109 but bouncing back emphatically in the Throwdown to crush former league leaders United 11-86.

Two contrasting first quarter performances dictated the results for South East Melbourne. Against Illawarra they fell behind by 18 points and went into panic mode, taking 58 threes in the match, hitting at just 27.6%, well below their league leading 37.1 3P%.

Against Melbourne the Phoenix led by 10 at the first break and 15 at the half finishing the match with 16 three pointers from 31 attempts and a 53.0FG%.

The biggest positive for the Phoenix in Round 11 was the response, a poor performance that was rectified just three days later.

Tasmania JackJumpers Form & Team News

The JackJumpers are hard to predict this season. They a 3-0 against Sydney but haven’t had much to talk about besides that since the middle of October.

I was under the impression that things were about to change with the return fo David Johnson, but another tough trip to New Zealand and Spark arena proved me wrong.

Despite having plenty of rest and the Breakers playing just two days prior, the JackJumpers were slow out of the box facing a 14-point deficit that they never got back in the match, falling 99-86 to New Zealand.

The concern is pace, the Breakers went at them through the middle of the court, driving quick and hard to the basket in the first half and Scott Roth and the Jackies were too slow to respond. Defensively they had no answer and then couldn’t hit a basket and the game was lost in the first 10 minutes.

Verdict

South East Melbourne Phoenix v Tasmania JackJumpers

Nathan Sobey and Bryce Hamilton will go for 20+ for their respective teams while John Brown will collect 5+ rebounds as the Phoenix cover the alternative 3.5-point line as the favourite.

S.E Melbourne -3.5

Alternative Line

@11/18 - 3 Units

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Nathan Sobey

20+ Points

@11/20 - 2 Units

Bet £10 Get £30

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Bryce Hamilton

20+ Points

@8/13 - 2 Units

Bet £20 Get £10

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John Brown

5+ Rebounds

@8/25 - 3 Units

£30 Free Bet

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